DJ Moore Traded to Bills – See All of Buffalo’s Updated Futures Odds

• DJ Moore has been traded to the Bills in exchange for a 2nd round pick in this year’s Draft
• Moore ranks sixth among wideouts in receptions, yards and receiving 1st downs since 2018
• See all of Buffalo’s update futures odds following the trade

Bills fans have been glamouring for an upgrade to the team’s wide receiver room for years and on Thursday they finally got it. Buffalo traded a 2026 2nd round draft pick to Chicago in exchange for DJ Moore and a 5th round selection, and Moore’s addition has caused online sportsbooks to shorten the Bills price across multiple futures markets.

Prediction Markets

2027 Super Bowl Odds

Learn more about Prediction Markets

Kalshi

Seattle

12%

Los Angeles R

9%

Buffalo

8%

Kansas City

7%

San Francisco

7%

Baltimore

6%

Chicago

6%

Detroit

6%

Green Bay

6%

Los Angeles C

6%

Predict

Buffalo is now trading at 8c over at Kalshi to hoist the Lombardi next season, which equates to +1150 in traditional sports betting terms. The Bills began the day at +1200 in the Super Bowl odds, and some online sportsbooks have shortened their number to as low as +1000.

Josh Allen and Co. were already the favorites in the AFC Championship odds, and the news today shortened their price from +530 to +500. Buffalo’s NFL Division odds however, remain the same at -130, as they’ll be seeking their sixth AFC East title in seven years, after finishing second to New England last season.

Odds as of Mar. 5 at Kalshi. New customers can claim the Kalshi promo code and get a bonus to bet on NFL futures.

Why a Moore-Bills Marriage Makes Sense

Anyone who watched even a few quarters of Bills football last yeaer could see the receiving corps lacked juice. Buffalo had the ninth fewest receiving yards by wide receivers in 2025, and two of their top pass catchers in terms of yards and receptions were tight ends. Josh Allen threw for his fewest yards and touchdowns since his sophomore season in 2019, and posted his lowest QBR in the past six campaigns.

Moore will certainly help improve those numbers, as he’s been very productive since arriving on the NFL scene. Since 2018, he ranks sixth among wideouts in receptions, yards and receiving first downs, and produced over 3,000 yards in three seasons in Chicago.

Another thing working in his favor, is a connection to new head coach Joe Brady. Moore played in Carolina where Brady served as offensive coordinator in 2020 and 2021, producing two of his best seasons as a pro. Moore averaged a career-best 18.1 yards per reception in 2020, and eclipsed 1,100 yards in both campaigns.

Why Buffalo’s Updated Futures Odds Haven’t Moved More

Now that the Bills have addressed one of their biggest needs, it’s important not to overreact. While Buffalo’s updated futures odds have been shortened across most markets, they haven’t moved significantly. That’s because this is not a game-changing move in my opinion for a few reasons.

First, the price has much higher than most would have anticipated. A second round pick is a significant asset, and Moore is coming off the least productive season of his career (50 catches, 682 yards). Among qualified receivers, he ranked 41st in total EPA, and 83rd in yards per route run, posting nine games with 3 or fewer catches. His separation score is lower than current Bills number one Khalil Shakir, while 95 other NFL receivers had a higher catch percentage in 2025.

DJ Moore 2025 Receiving Stats

Second, is the free agent talent Buffalo has now priced themselves out of. Both Alec Pierce and Mike Evans are more productive players, and would be more useful assets to Allen. Those two boast elite size and speed metrics, and would give Allen more opportunities for shots downfield and bigger catch radiuses around the goal line.

Allen, the NFL MVP odds favorite, did not see his price in that market move upon news of the Moore trade, while the Bills NFL win totals projection also stood pat at 10.5 (-140).

The third reason to be skeptical of how impactful Moore might be is the Bears willingness to let him go. Sure, they have two good young receivers in Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze, but it’s hard to imagine taking away a quality asset from Caleb Williams at this stage of his career. Williams finally showed promise in 2025, and Chicago should want to surround him with as many receiving weapons as possible.

Of course, the Bears might just be clearing cap space to make a run at Maxx Crosby, but with Ben Johnson in control this is an offense first team, that wants to prioritize skill position talent.

Ultimately, Moore isn’t a top-15 wide receiver in this league, and his presence isn’t going to drastically change Buffalo’s championship fortunes. The AFC projects to be weak again next year, and Buffalo was going to be in the mix regardless if they made this move or not.

Given Moore’s salary, $23.5 million guaranteed in ’26 and ’27, you could argue this trade hurts the Bills team building prospects, but either way the move doesn’t position them to challenge either Seattle or the LA Rams as the Super Bowl favorite.