Best Bets, Odds & How to Watch #4 UNC vs #1 UConn
By Michael Harrison in College Basketball
Published:
- The undefeated UConn Huskies are massive favorites in the Sweet 16 against the UNC Tar Heels
- UConn puts their 52-game winning streak on the line Friday in Women’s March Madness action
- Keep reading for my UNC vs UConn picks, plus the latest odds for the Women’s March Madness contest
How to Watch North Carolina vs UConn
It’s a Regional 1 showdown between #4 Tar Heels and #1 Huskies. UConn has a 9-4 edge all-time between these two programs, winning the last seven meetings.
Tip off for this UNC (28-7) vs UConn (36-0) Sweet 16 clash is set for 5:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM CT Friday from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. It’ll be broadcast across the United States on ESPN and TSN in Canada. You can also stream the game on the ESPN app, Fubo TV, Hulu or YouTube TV.
UNC vs UConn Picks and Predictions
- UNC +27.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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It just goes to show how incredible Geno Auriemma’s Huskies squad is that I feel I’m “going out on a limb” by suggesting the Tar Heels will cover a gargantuan 27.5 point spread. I’ll get to why in a moment, but not before giving UConn their props and adulation.
After all, UConn has not only won 52 straight, but they’ve come out on top of the first two games of the tournament by 38 (over UTSA) and 53 versus Syracuse. In fact, the defending champs have won by at least 32 points in eight straight.
After scoring just seven points in the first duel, senior guard Azzi Fudd was fantastic versus Syracuse, dropping a game-high 34 points on 13-of-18 shooting. Sophomore forward Sarah Strong, who led the Huskies in scoring on the campaign, has been consistent in the tourney, registering 18 points in both skirmishes. UConn has blitzed the early competition, outscoring UTSA and Syracuse 188-97.
However, UNC is no slouch, with 82-51 and 74-66 victories, paced by sophomore guard Lanie Grant’s 35 total points. Senior forward Nyla Harris has put up 31 points and grabbed an impressive 20 boards. The Tar Heels are searching for their first Elite 8 appearance since 2013-14. Expecting them to upset the Huskies straight up is fools gold (+5000 on DraftKings), but I do think they can cover the massive 27.5 spread.
These two combatants didn’t meet this season, but in the two previous years, UNC made it competitive, losing by only twelve and eleven points, respectively. While they aren’t a powerhouse on either side of the floor, the Tar Heels have been competitive enough this season, ranking inside the top-35 in PPG and points allowed per outing. They’ve won 15 of their last 17, which should provide at least a temporary challenge for the behemoth Huskies.
UNC vs UConn H2H Team Stats
It should come as no surprise that UConn is dominant on both sides of the floor, given their remarkable 52-game winning streak. The Huskies rank first in Net Rank, points allowed, and second in points per contest.
The Tar Heels are 30th in scoring and 33rd in points allowed. These two schools have met twice in the last three seasons, both times on neutral courts. UConn was victorious 76-64 in 2023 and 69-58 in 2024.
North Carolina vs UConn Odds
If you’re looking to back UNC as a wild longshot as a straight-up upset winner, do yourself a favor and head to DraftKings. They have the Tar Heels priced at +5000, compared to other books that don’t even have the moneyline listed, since it’s expected to be so lopsided. The prediction market Kalshi is trading the Huskies at the equivalent of a -4900 moneyline, which is better than DK’s -100000.
Odds as of March 26, 2:40 pm at DraftKings and Kalshi. Make sure you use SBD’s exclusive DraftKings promo code to bet on the Women’s NCAA Tournament.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.