Opening Odds for UConn vs South Carolina in NCAAW Final Four

• Undefeated UConn will face South Carolina in the Final Four on April 3rd
• UConn dismantled the Gamecocks in last year’s national championship game
• See the opening UConn vs South Carolina odds for the 2026 Final Four

It’s chalk across the board in the Women’s NCAA Tournament. South Carolina (35-3), the #1 seed in Regional 4, became the fourth one-seed to reach the Final Four on Monday night with a 78-52 victory over #3 TCU.

The win set up a rematch of last year’s title game with reigning-national champion UConn (38-0), the #1 overall seed in the 2026 tournament.

There has been ample turnover on both rosters but the opening UConn vs South Carolina odds portend another lopsided Husky win. UConn routed SC 81-59 in last year’s title game.

UConn vs South Carolina Odds

UConn has opened as a 6.5-point favorite and -305 on the moneyline (75.31% implied win probability). The Gamecocks come back as +265 underdogs to hand the Huskies their first loss of the season (27.40% implied win probability).

The game total has opened at 136.5 with -110 odds on both the over and the under.

Odds as of March 30th at DraftKings.

UConn is also a heavy favorite to repeat as national champs. The current prediction market at Kalshi has UConn trading at 69¢ to win the tournament, equal to -223 odds. South Carolina is trading at just 9¢ (equal to +1011 odds).

Prediction Markets

NCAAW Title Odds

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Kalshi

UConn

70%

UCLA

14%

Texas

12%

South Carolina

9%

LSU

1%

Predict

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UConn’s Path to Final Four

UConn routed its first four opponents by an average of 32.5 PPG. Their closest game was a 70-52 win over #6 Notre Dame in the Elite Eight. They also beat #16 UTSA (90-52), #9 Syracuse (98-45), and #4 North Carolina (63-42).

National player of the year Sarah Strong (18.6 PPG, 7.6.RPG, 3.9 APG) is averaging 19.5 points and 7.8 rebounds in the tournament, upping her already impressive averages.

Reigning NCAA Tournament Most-Outstanding Player Azzi Fudd (17.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 3.1 APG), the projected #1 pick in the 2026 WNBA draft, continues to light it up from deep, averaging 16.0 PPG in the tournament while shooting a blistering 55.0% from three.

The only knock one could reasonably make against this iteration of Geno Auriema’s Huskies is resume. UConn has only played two teams that rank inside the top ten at BartTorvik: #10 Louisville (79-66 neutral) and #7 Michigan (72-69 neutral).

The final score against Michigan is a little deceptive. UConn led by as many as 20 in the second half before taking its foot off the gas.

South Carolina’s Path to the Final Four

The Gamecocks have looked every inch a #1 seed with four lopsided wins by an average of nearly 40 points per game: #16 Southern (103-34), #9 USC (101-61), #4 Oklahoma (94-68), and #3 TCU (78-52).

Leading scorer Joyce Edwards (19.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 2.4 APG) is averaged a team-high 19.3 PPG through the first three rounds.

Two of the Gamecocks’ three losses this season came to Regional 3 top-seed Texas, which will face Regional 2 top-seed UCLA in the other semifinal on Friday (see the opening Texas vs UCLA odds).

The first was a narrow 66-64 setback in Las Vegas during November’s Players Era Championship. The second was a 78-61 rout in Greenville in the final of the SEC Tournament.

SC’s other loss was a 94-82 OT setback at then-#16 Oklahoma.

The 2026 Final Four will take place at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The tip-off times for Friday’s semifinal games are 4:00 pm ET and 6:30 pm ET. The NCAA has yet to announce which game will be in which timeslot.