Predictions, Betting Splits & Props to Bet – Mets vs Giants

• The Mets are -130 moneyline favorites over the Giants tonight in San Francisco
• Nolan McLean (0-0, 3.60 ERA) will toe the rubber for New York, while San Fran counters with Tyler Mahle (0-1, 4.50 ERA)
• My favorite predictions, along with betting splits and which props to bet for the Mets vs Giants game can be found below

The New York Mets (3-4) continue their West Coast trip tonight against the San Francisco Giants (3-4) in an early-season clash scheduled for 7:15 PM PT, 10:15 PM ET at Oracle Park.

Both clubs sit just below .500 and are hungry to establish a winning rhythm. The Mets step into this matchup as the road favorites in the MLB odds, fueled by their starting pitching advantage thanks to Nolan McLean.

He will be tasked with navigating a dangerous home lineup featuring Luis Arraez and Rafael Devers. The home underdog Giants counter with Tyler Mahle on the mound.

Below you’ll find my favorite predictions, along with the betting splits and which props to bet for the Mets vs Giants contest.

Mets vs Giants Picks & Predictions

• New York Mets Moneyline (-130 at FanDuel)
• Under 7.5 Runs (-104 at FanDuel)

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The biggest discrepancy in this matchup lies on the mound. As a result, my official prediction is backing the Mets on the moneyline. If the game turns into a bullpen battle, the edge remains with New York, who is a top-5 World Series odds contender.

For the total, the Under is my most logical play. With the Mets carrying a collective 3.01 staff ERA and limiting hard contact, I cannot envision a high-scoring shootout at Oracle Park.

Nolan McLean vs Tyler Mahle Stats

McLean comes into this matchup as an electric arm. He has dominated opposing lineups with staggering pure stuff, generating a blistering 14.40 K/9. Through his first 5.0 innings, McLean has limited hitters to a meager .211 batting average and a solid 1.20 WHIP.

On the mound for the Giants, Mahle has struggled to keep runners off base. His 1.50 WHIP and .312 opponent batting average highlight an early-season issue with allowing base hits, surrendering 11.25 hits per 9 innings.

Mets vs Giants Stats

The most glaring takeaway from this breakdown is the severe imbalance between elite pitching and dormant offenses. Neither club has found its footing in the batter’s box.

The Mets are mustering a dismal 1.75 runs and 5.75 hits per game on the road. The Giants haven’t capitalized on their home-field advantage either, scraping together just 2.00 runs per game.

Conversely, both pitching staffs have been lights-out. The two teams share an identical 3.86 runs allowed per game. The Mets are overpowering opponents, generating a blistering 9.73 K/9 and a stellar 3.02 team ERA.

Mets vs Giants Betting Splits

Analyzing the ticket counts in the MLB public betting market shows consensus. The betting public is aligning with my moneyline prediction. The Mets command 65.8% of the moneyline tickets and 61.8% of the total money.

While my analysis points toward a low-scoring affair, the public expects fireworks. A staggering 81.5% of the tickets are backing the Over. There is no sharp vs public discrepancy here, so I am happily fading the overwhelming public money on the total.

Mets vs Giants Odds

Odds as of April 3rd. Claim the bet365 bonus code to bet on MLB tonight. 

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Mets vs Giants Player Props to Bet

• Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Hits (+231 at DraftKings)
• Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115 at FanDuel)

While the Mets are cold, NL MVP odds contender Juan Soto is the glaring exception. The superstar outfielder averages 1.4 hits per game with a .333 batting average. Given Mahle’s propensity for allowing base hits, my favorite player prop is Soto Over 1.5 Total Hits.

Another strong statistical look in the MLB props is McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts. He brings a blistering 14.40 K/9 trend against a Giants lineup that has already struck out 277 times this season.