UConn vs Michigan Live Odds at Halftime – Michigan a -1011 Favorite Late
By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball
Published:
- The 20226 national championship game between Michigan and UConn is underway
- Michigan leads by four at halftime and is a -355 favorite to hold on
- This page will track the live Michigan vs UConn odds throughout the game
The Midwest #1 Michigan Wolverines and East #2 UConn Huskies will contest the 2026 National Championship Game on Monday night at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Wolverines opened as sizable favorites and only got shorter over the last 48 hours.
The table below will display the live odds from prediction site Kalshi over the course of the 40-minute game. Under the table, find running commentary on the live odds along with time stamps.
Note that Kalshi lists prices in cents, which I have converted to standard American odds.
Michigan vs UConn Live Odds (Spread, Total, ML)
Odds last updated at 10:47 pm ET (Michigan leads 60-51. Moneyline from Kalshi. Spread and total from DraftKings.
It looks as though Michigan will enter the title game as a 6.5-point ATS favorite and -285 on the moneyline (74¢ price at Kalshi). The game total has gone up two full points from the opening line, from 145.5 to 147.5.
The graphic below shows the live moneyline prices at Kalshi. If you haven’t signed up yet, click “Predict” below to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code.
Live Odds Timeline:
- 10:57 pm ET: Michigan leads 60-51 with just 3:48 to go. The Wolverines are now -1900 chalk. Barring a miraculous UConn push, that will be the final update for the night.
- 10:43 pm ET: Michigan leads by seven (52-45) with just 7:16 to go. UM is -8.5 (-115) ATS and -809 on the moneyline.
- 10:32 pm ET: With 11:33 remaining, Michigan leads by nine (48-39) and is a -1011 favorite to win the national championship.
- 10:26 pm ET: The Wolverines have their first double-digit lead of the game (48-37) and are hyper-short -1567 favorites. The spread is now Michigan -12.5 while the total is 135.5.
- 10:20 pm ET: Michigan can stretch its lead to nine at the stripe. The Wolverines have shortened to -733 on the moneyline and -9.5 (-105) ATS.
- 10:15 pm ET: Both of UConn’s starting guards have three fouls just 2.5 minutes into the second half. UConn still trails by four and is a +355 to win.
- 9:48 pm ET: Michigan leads 33-29 at halftime. They are 7.5-point ATS favorites and -355 on the moneyline. UConn is +335 to come back to win. The total has dropped to 137.5 after the teams combined for just 62 points in the first 20 minutes.
- 9:40 pm ET: Here come the Wolverines! A quick 6-0 run puts Michigan up 29-25. Their moneyline has shortened to -355. it was just -203 at the under four timeout.
- 9:33 pm ET: At the under four timeout, UConn leads by two (25-23). The Huskies are +194 on the moneyline, their best odds of the day. The total is now 137.5.
- 9:29 pm ET: With the score 23-23, the Wolverines are -223 favorites. The Huskies starting backcourt is in foul trouble (two apiece on Ball and Demery).
- 9:21 pm ET: The game total continues to plummet; it’s dropped to 135.5, a 12-point decline, with 7:00 left in the first half.
- 9:18 pm ET: With an 18-15 lead, UConn is now +203 to win outright.
- 9:15 pm ET: The total has dropped to 140.5 after the teams combined for just 31 points in the first ten minutes; that’s a seven-point drop.
- 9:10 pm ET: Jayden ross will be at the free-throw line and can give UConn its first lead of the game if he hits both. The Huskies’ moneyline shortened further to +257 with 11:57 left in the first half.
- 9:08 pm ET: UConn hit a couple threes to make it a one-point game. The UConn moneyline improved from +400 to +335.
- 8:59 pm ET: Up 9-4 early, Michigan’s ML odds have shortened to -426. The total has dropped from 147.5 to 143.5 after the teams combined for just 13 points in the first 4:19 of action.
- 8:54 pm ET: After a scoreless first 90 seconds, the total has dropped to 144.5.
- 8:25 pm ET: Thirty minutes from tipoff and Michigan remains a 74¢ (-285) favorite. The spread, which had been MICH -7.5 earlier in the day, is now down to MICH -6.5 (same as the opening line). The total has climbed from the opening number of 145.5 to 147.5 with modest -113 juice on the under.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
