Warriors vs Suns Expert Picks, Predictions & Betting Splits

• Will we get one more vintage Stephen Curry game?
• The Suns look to make the playoffs in Jordan Ott’s first season
• Continue reading for my Warriors vs Suns expert picks, predictions, and betting splits

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Oklahoma City awaits the winner of the Golden State Warriors (37-45) and Phoenix Suns (45-37). The Warriors won the season series, but Phoenix has a big home-court advantage after a 25-16 mark in the regular season. Prime Video will broadcast the game at 10:00 pm ET on Friday, April 17. Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix will host the contest.

Keep reading for my Warriors vs Suns expert picks, two player predictions, and a look at the game’s betting splits.

Warriors vs Suns Expert Picks

• Warriors Moneyline (+125 at Bet365)

Despite the Warriors’ road struggles this year, I am backing the Warriors to secure back-to-back play-in wins to notch the No. 8 seed and a date with the Thunder. Perhaps the basketball world will get one more vintage “Steph and Draymond” game as both future Hall of Famers come near the end of their careers.

Curry has been in vintage form this season, scoring 26.6 points per game. He has been banged up in recent weeks, but if he is on the court, he is a threat to drop 30 and end a team’s season. Green flashed his peak form in Golden State’s win over the Clippers, putting Kawhi Leonard into a scoring drought almost singlehandedly.

On the Suns’ side, Phoenix hasn’t been firing on all cylinders after reaching a high watermark of 12 games above .500. In the last 16 games, Phoenix is 6-10, not including its play-in loss. The Suns lost multiple games down the stretch despite 30-point and 40-point efforts from Devin Booker.

• Over 219.5 (-110, theScore Bet)

In the regular season, the over cashed in both games played at Golden State, while the under cashed in both games played in Phoenix. Even with the playoff environment, I expect both teams to be able to score reasonably well.

Curry and Booker are tremendous scorers who should pour in at least 25 points each. Golden State has a slew of playoff risers, including Al Horford and Draymond Green, who help, particularly with their passing.

Phoenix has its own sidekicks to Booker in the enigmatic Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks. Brooks and Green combined for 55 points in the Suns’ play-in loss to the Blazers.

Warriors vs Suns Predictions

• Draymond Green O 0.5 Blocks (+105 at DraftKings)

Draymond Green’s defensive impact often goes beyond the box score, but I think he gets at least one rejection on Friday night. He had a block in 29 of 68 regular-season games this year. He had a block in all three games against the Suns, including the December 20th contest in which he only played eight minutes.

I am under no illusions that this is the prime version of Green, but he has historically elevated in the playoffs. Green has raised his blocks per game average from 1.0 in the regular season to 1.3 in the playoffs. In 169 career playoff games, Green has at least one block in 122 of them, including at least three blocks 24 times.

• Devin Booker O 0.5 Threes (-137, PrizePicks)

In the regular season, Devin Booker hit a three-pointer in 55 of 64 games. He attempted at least two in every game and at least three 58 times. Booker made at least one three-pointer in all three games he played against Golden State this season. While this game is technically not a playoff game, Booker has made a three-pointer in 39 of 47 career playoff games.

Warriors vs Suns Betting Splits

As of Friday afternoon, the Warriors vs Suns betting splits are slanted heavily toward the road underdog Warriors in the NBA public betting splits. The Warriors are getting 74% of the ATS handle as 3.5-point underdogs, with an equivalent 74% of bets coming in on them. In contrast, the Suns are getting 26% of the ATS handle and 26% of the bets.

The moneyline is split. In terms of raw bets placed, 54% of bets are on the Warriors at +130, while 46% of bets are on the Suns at -145. However, the minority of Suns bets are larger wagers on a dollar amount, as 88% of the moneyline handle is backing the Suns. The Warriors are backed by just 12% of the moneyline handle.

The public is treating the over like a Black Friday sale. The over is being hammered on 94% of wagers, representing 93% of the betting handle. On the other hand, the under is taking only 6% of bets, spread across 5% of the total handle.

Warriors vs Suns Odds

Phoenix is a slight favorite to advance to face the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder. For Phoenix bettors, take the Suns at -2.5 ATS on Caesars (-110 odds) or -140 odds on the moneyline at theScore Bet. For Golden State bettors, take the Warriors at +3.5 ATS on theScore Bet (-115 odds) or +125 on the moneyline at bet365.

The total is set between 219.5 and 220.5 points. Over bettors should take over 219.5 points at theScore Bet for -110 odds. Under bettors should take under 220.5 points at DraftKings for -112 odds.

Odds from consensus best online sportsbook options on April 17 ahead of tip-off. New to the app? Lock in a BetMGM promo code before tip-off.

Warriors vs Suns: Regular Season

Golden State won the season series three games to one, but the Pacific Division rivals have only played once in 2026. Golden State won both home games, while the teams split the Phoenix matchups.

In the most recent game (Feb. 5th), Golden State had a strong come-from-behind win without Steph Curry. Pat Spencer led all Warriors with 20 points, as Gui Santos (18), De’Anthony Melton (17), and Gary Payton II (15) chipped in with 15-plus each. On the Phoenix side, Dillon Brooks scored 24, as neither Devin Booker nor Jalen Green played.

Warriors vs Suns: How They Got Here

Golden State Warriors

As the No. 10 seed, the Warriors sprung an upset on the Clippers, winning as 5.5-point underdogs. The Warriors had massive struggles on the road during the regular season (15-26), but Steph Curry and Draymond Green poured in vintage performances to lead the Dubs on Wednesday night. Curry had an electrifying 35 points while Green played lockdown defense on Kawhi Leonard.

Phoenix Suns

The No. 7 seed in the regular season, Phoenix lost at home to a plucky Portland squad, 114-110. Devin Booker had a cold night from the field, going 7-for-17 and missing five free throws, but Dillon Brooks (20 points) and Jalen Green (35 points) kept the Suns in it. Phoenix led with 20 seconds left before Deni Avdija had a go-ahead and-one.