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Spurs vs Trail Blazers Game 3 Predictions, Picks & Injury Reports for Game 3

Jordan Tomiyama

By Jordan Tomiyama in NBA Basketball

Published:


De’Aaron Fox attempts a layup
Apr 19, 2026; San Antonio, Texas, USA; San Antonio Spurs guard De’Aaron Fox (4) drives to the basket against Portland Trail Blazers forward Jerami Grant (9) during the second half of game one of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Frost Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images
  • The San Antonio Spurs head into Game 3 potentially without Victor Wembanyama against the Portland Trail Blazers
  • Will this be a high-scoring game, or will it be a defensive slugfest?
  • You HAVE to keep reading to see the latest odds, predictions, and injury reports

The Spurs are marching into the Moda Center to clash with the Blazers for Game 3 of their Western Conference First Round playoff series on April 24, 2026, with tipoff at 10:30 PM ET, live on Amazon Prime Video. As a die-hard hoops fan and sharp bettor, I am absolutely HYPED for this matchup! The scene shifts to the Pacific Northwest, and everyone is sweating the status of Spurs superstar Victor Wembanyama. If he sits in concussion protocol, the home underdogs will be licking their chops. But do not count out the Spurs’ road warrior mentality just yet, especially with De’Aaron Fox ready to step onto the hardwood and rain buckets. In this preview, I am serving up my top picks, breaking down the public money, and delivering the actionable intel you need. Keep scrolling to find exactly where I am placing my money to build that bankroll!

Spurs vs Blazers Picks & Predictions

NBA odds currently have the road favorite Spurs laying -2.5 points, down from the opening -3.5 due to the news about Wembanyama. Even if their defensive anchor is in street clothes, I am HAMMERING the Spurs -2.5 (-110 on DraftKings). The Spurs are an absolute WAGON away from home, boasting a 5-2 (71.4%) ATS record on the road over their last seven games. Even better, they step up against fierce competition, going an elite 9-2 (81.8%) straight up on the road against opponents with a winning record in their last 11 such matchups.

Next up, the total sits at 219, and I am locking in the Under 219 (-105 on Caesars Sportsbook). The public is obsessed with shootouts, but smart money knows both these squads run a slow half-court offense. The Spurs rank 9th in postseason pace (96.5), and the Blazers are right there at 9th (96.5). Furthermore, Unders are a massively profitable 8-2 (80.0%) in the Blazers’ last 10 games. This series is an absolute GRIND, averaging exactly 209.0 combined points through the first two matchups.

  • Player Prop Pick: De’Aaron Fox over 19.5 points (-115 at BetMGM)

For my top player prop, I am attacking De’Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points (-115 on BetMGM). With Wembanyama potentially sidelined, Fox will have to put this offense on his back and aggressively attack the paint to get to the charity stripe. Facing a Blazers defense allowing 107.0 points per 100 possessions, Fox will get all the high-volume pick-and-roll creation he can handle. Group these three plays into a Same Game Parlay if you want a MONSTER payout!

Odds as of April 24, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET from Caesars Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings


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Spurs vs Blazers Team Stats & Head-to-Head

Let’s look at the tale of the tape. Through the first two games of this series, the Spurs have outscored the Blazers 214-204, proving they can dominate the hardwood when it matters.

StatisticSpursBlazers
Points Per Game107.0 [8th]102.0 [11th]
Opponent Points Per Game102.0 [6th]107.0 [9th]
Offensive Rating111.5 [7th]105.2 [12th]
Defensive Rating105.2 [5th]111.5 [10th]
Field Goal %45.9% [7th]42.8% [12th]
3-Point Attempts Per Game28.5 [14th]38.0 [4th]
3-Point %38.6% [3rd]30.3% [12th]
Assist-to-Turnover Ratio1.4 [12th]1.8 [5th]
Pace96.5 [9th]96.5 [9th]
Total Rebound %51.5% [6th]48.5% [11th]

How do these two squads stack up against each other? The Spurs are absolutely lethal from beyond the arc, splashing 38.6% of their threes (3rd in the postseason). Meanwhile, the Blazers are chucking up a massive 38.0 attempts per game but bricking most of them at a 30.3% clip (12th). The Spurs also dominate the glass with a 51.5% rebound rate. The Blazers’ only real saving grace has been ball security; the veteran presence of Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson has them dishing dimes, resulting in an elite 1.8 assist-to-turnover ratio. But if Wembanyama is out, the Blazers’ interior game—which has generated 82 paint points to the Spurs’ 86 in this series—could completely flip the script.

Spurs vs Blazers Public Betting Splits

I always follow the money, and the NBA public betting percentages are screaming at us right now! The spread market shows solid consensus, with the Spurs commanding 59% of tickets and 45% of overall money. Bettors are clearly trusting the road favorite to handle their business.

The total market is where things get WILD. The public is hammering the Over with 80% of tickets and 77% of the handle. But like I said earlier, fading that heavily juiced public action is my premier play.

The real sharp vs public indicator lies on the moneyline. The Spurs have 56% of the tickets but a MASSIVE 72% of the handle. That glaring 18.4% gap tells me the big bankrolls and sharp money are riding with the Spurs to secure this crucial Game 3 victory.


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Spurs vs Blazers Injury Report

If you are throwing money down, you MUST monitor the bench boss’s injury report. Here is the latest update heading into tip-off.

Player NamePositionInjuryStatusFantasy/Betting Impact
Victor WembanyamaCConcussion ProtocolQuestionableMassive impact on interior defense; elevates De’Aaron Fox’s offensive usage.
Jordan McLaughlinPGAnkleOutDepletes the Spurs’ backcourt rotational depth off the bench.
David Jones GarciaSFAnkleOut for SeasonLimits emergency wing depth for the Spurs.
Damian LillardPGAchillesOut for SeasonLong-term absence; the Blazers’ backcourt identity is already established without him.

The entire betting market hinges on Wembanyama’s questionable tag. If the big man cannot clear protocol, the Spurs’ elite 102.8 Defensive Rating takes a devastating hit. This directly impacts the game plan, forcing a slower half-court offense and putting the rock squarely in De’Aaron Fox’s hands to create his own shot. The Blazers are already accustomed to life without Damian Lillard, who has been sidelined since September 2025, but the Spurs’ rotational depth will be severely tested without McLaughlin and Jones Garcia.

Spurs vs Blazers Odds

Bet TypeSpursBlazers
Spread-2.5 (-110 at DraftKings)+2.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Moneyline-120 at bet365+100 at bet365
Total PointsOver 219 (-105 ar Caesars Sportsbook)Over 219 (-105 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds as of April 24, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET from Caesars Sportsbook, bet365, DraftKings

The oddsmakers originally opened this spread at -3.5 in favor of the Spurs, but sharp money quickly snagged the points when Wembanyama hit the injury report, dropping it to the current -2.5. If we remove the vig to find the true implied win probabilities, the Spurs sit at 54.55% to win, leaving the home underdog Blazers at 43.65% (for a total of 100%).

If you are looking for a straight-up moneyline play, a $20 bet on the Spurs (-120) yields a solid $16.67 profit. Conversely, dropping that same $20 bill on the Blazers (+100) pays out a sweet $20.00 profit if they can defend their home court!


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Jordan Tomiyama

Jordan has worked in sports media for the last seven years, writing articles, managing social media, and covering sporting events for various media outlets. Jordan's work focuses on NBA, WNBA, college basketball, and the NHL.

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