The Best Player Props to Target in Spurs vs Blazers (Game 3)

• The Spurs and Blazers square off in Game 3 of their 1st Round series tonight in Portland
• San Antonio star Victor Wembanyama (concussion) is trending towards playing
• See below for the best player props to target in Spurs vs Blazers Game 3

The big news heading into Game 3 of the Spurs vs Blazers series tonight is the status of Victor Wembanyama. The San Antonio superstar suffered a concussion in the Spurs Game 2 loss, but it looks like he might be able to suit up tonight. As of 6:30 pm ET, online sportsbooks are expecting him to be in the lineup, listing San Antonio as road favorites in the NBA odds.

If Wemby does play, I’ll be looking to fade him on the glass in my best player props to target in Spurs vs Blazers Game 3. Keep reading for the reasons why, plus find out why I’m banking on Scoot Henderson to continue to put up big offensive numbers.

Spurs vs Blazers Player Prop Odds

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My top NBA props bet tonight is Henderson over 12.5 points. He’s easily soared over that number in both playoff games so far, and was on the floor for a season-high 38 minutes in Game 2.

On the other side, I’ll be wagering on under 11.5 rebounds for Wemby, a bet that will be completely refunded if the alien doesn’t wind up playing.

Wembanyama is the key to any kind of Spurs run in the NBA Championship odds, so we can safely assume San Antonio won’t put him in danger. If he does suit up though, there’s a chance he suffers a setback or the Spurs just manage his minutes carefully, both outcomes that increase the likelihood that I cash my bet.

Spurs vs Blazers Player Props to Target

• Scoot Henderson over 12.5 Points (-118 at Caesars)
• Victor Wembanyama under 11.5 Rebounds (-119 at Caesars)

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So far this series, oddsmakers have struggled to properly adjust to the extreme usage shifts in Portland’s backcourt. Henderson has been tasked with anchoring the Blazers’ scoring attack, and he has answered the call flawlessly this postseason. The sportsbooks have inexplicably hung his points prop at a wildly low 12.5, presenting the biggest value on the board.

Henderson has completely torched San Antonio’s perimeter defense. He boasts a staggering 24.5 points per game in this series, shooting 64.3% from the field and 53.8% from deep. Generating a 24.47% Usage Rate, he is the undisputed engine of Portland’s fast-paced offense.

Wembanyama’s prop lines meanwhile, are inflated by his towering reputation, but the series stats paint a completely different picture. The market has his rebounding total set at 11.5, a number he hasn’t even sniffed against Portland’s frontcourt rotation.

Wembanyama has managed just 9 total rebounds this series. While the Spurs dominate the boards collectively, guards and role players are aggressively rebounding instead. Castle has pulled down 7 rebounds per game, and reserve center Luke Kornet is grabbing 7.5 per game. Portland defense has restricted opposing team offensive rebounds to just 11.5 per game on their home floor this season, and ranked seventh in total rebounding during the regular season.

Fading a generational talent can be uncomfortable, but his questionable concussion status, and his presence in the paint will undoubtedly be managed. The under here is a massive advantage.