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Inoue vs Nakatani Fight Props & Odds – Will the Monster KO Nakatani?

Chris Wassel

By Chris Wassel in Boxing

Published:


Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani is the mega fight that finally will take place. Can Inoue deliver the KO here?
Mar 18, 2025; Bunkyo, Tokyo, JPN; Professional Boxer Naoya Inoue walks onto the mound before throwing a ceremonial first pitch before the game against the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers during the Tokyo Series at Tokyo Dome. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images
  • Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani props are live to bet ahead of Saturday’s championship fight.
  • My prime prop to target is Inoue by KO/TKO/DQ to win the fight.
  • Check out the best Inoue vs Nakatani fight props and odds, including whether the Monster gets the elusive KO.

The Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani fight is being hyped as one of the year’s best before it even takes place. It seems ideal as two undefeated Japanese champions go toe-to-toe in this bout early Saturday morning (around 8:00 am ET).

Inoue, the four-time World champion (twice undisputed in different divisions), is a big favorite on the moneyline, now at -400 on DraftKings (-410 via FanDuel and -500 via Caesars). As always, more options tip the scales from the props. Once more, the prop market always delivers for us at the most crucial time.

Here are some Inoue vs Nakatani prop bets and odds for this colossal fight from the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan.

Inoue vs Nakatani Method of Victory Props

MethodOdds
Inoue by KO/TKO/DQ+110
Inoue by Decision+175
Nakatani by KO/TKO/DQ+550
Nakatani by Decision+800
Draw+1600

All odds at DraftKings as of May 1. Check out the DraftKings promo code before wagering on the Inoue vs Nakatani fight.

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With the latest updates, the numbers still lean on Inoue to stay undefeated. It appears that this fight will not go the distance as Nakatani wants to put on a show. Does that leave him open later in the fight? This is one to take a chance with Inoue still at +110 via DraftKings for the KO/TKO/DQ. Again, the challenger is also 32-0 and is desperate to take down one of the pound-for-pound kings.

The public gets absorbed into fights like this one. That is where Inoue thrives in the super bantamweight division. Online sportsbooks saw little movement here. Again, seeing that Caesar’s number may lead the public to throw a few more dollars on Nakatani (+380 moneyline at Caesars at press time).

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Inoue vs Nakatani Total Rounds Props

Round BetOdds
Over 10.5 Rounds-125
Under 10.5 Rounds-110

Yes, as Brady Trettenero wrote earlier in the week, there are plenty of aspects to consider in this fight. Nakatani has two advantages over Inoue. He is three inches taller, and Nakatani is a Southpaw. Inoue has looked a little unsteady at times against Southpaws, but sometimes comes up with his most brilliant performances (err, comebacks), too. Almost two years ago, Luis Nery put Inoue on the deck, and the Japanese champion came back, knocked the Mexican fighter down three times and secured a sixth-round KO.

I believe the Under is winning the rounds props without hesitation. At -110, it baffles me that this goes the full 12 rounds. Sure, it can, but Inoue was visibly irate after his last fight. This is one to jump on and maybe one of the alternates (say Under 9.5 if this opens up).

You know the nature of the two fighters well. This fight will be entertaining, but I like the attacker (err, Monster) in this kind of fight. Nakatani harnesses his power through combos and counters. Inoue wants to keep the pace up and attack by poking, prodding, then striking. Yes, Inoue can get caught, but Nakatani arguably becomes more vulnerable to Inoue’s hand speed when he attempts to counter.

Bring On More Inoue vs Nakatani Bets

Inoue vs Nakatani Moneyline

FighterOdds
Naoya Inoue-400
Junto Nakatani+300

Honestly, there are better options than the moneyline. As we mentioned, the Nakatani moneyline is worth a look at +380 via Caesars, but does that last much longer? It’s a great question.

The intriguing part of this bout is how the flow of the fight goes. Will these two fighters play cat and mouse, or will they go toe-to-toe from the beginning? Inoue has tried to fight a little “safer” in his last few fights. That is not his style. The champion figures to go after Nakatani and is desperate to put on a show. Nakatani wants to take the Monster out and does not want it to go to the scorecards. This sets up to be the highest level of entertainment.

Do not forget that DAZN carries the fight, and the whole card too, on their standard (not PPV) package. For those on the East Coast, this fight takes place around breakfast. A few wagers for the road include that Round 7-9 group bet for Inoue at +340 via DraftKings. The other involves picking Inoue and 2+ knockdowns (now at +175). We have seen how fighters like David Benavidez and Shakur Stevenson counter specialists.

I believe Naoya Inoue gets the knockout he has been missing on Saturday. Good luck, and don’t forget to scope out the best online sportsbook options before puck drop on this Inoue vs Nakatani showdown.

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Chris Wassel
Chris Wassel

Sports Writer

A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.

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