Yankees vs Blue Jays Picks & Player Props to Target

• The Yankees are -170 moneyline favorites tonight versus the Blue Jays
• Toronto’s road offense has been anemic this season averaging only 3.59 runs per game
• Get the best Yankees vs Blue Jays picks and player props to target, below

The New York Yankees (28-18) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (20-25) to Yankee Stadium tonight, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET.

New York enters play fresh off back-to-back losses, but that didn’t stop online sportsbooks from listing them as -170 moneyline favorites in the MLB odds. The Jays on the other hand, enter play following a 4-1 win over the Detroit Tigers, fueled by a home run from Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Below, you’ll find my favorite Yankees vs Blue Jays picks and player props to target for this AL East showdown.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Picks

• Yankees Moneyline (-170 at Bet365)
• Under 9 Runs (+100 at BetMGM)

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My two favorite wagers tonight are the Yankees moneyline and under 9 runs. New York boasts a clear pitching advantage, with the staff carrying a 3.29 team ERA compared to Toronto’s 3.96 ERA.

When digging into the MLB starting lineups, the date reveals that Toronto’s offense has struggled to generate power, mustering a meager .129 ISO and a .371 team slugging percentage.

This lack of extra-base production suggests the Blue Jays will struggle to score against the New York bullpen, which sports a 3.60 ERA at home.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Team Stats

When isolating New York’s performance at Yankee Stadium against Toronto’s output on the road, the statistical divide is glaring. The Bronx Bombers pace the major leagues in runs scored per game at home (6.55) and team OPS (.861).

New York is hitting the ball harder than anyone else in baseball, which is why their World Series odds are so short. Their aggressiveness on the basepaths is also notable, producing 1.20 stolen bases per game at home.

Conversely, Toronto averages just 3.59 runs per game on the road. The Blue Jays rank near the bottom of the league in run production, heavily reliant on stringing together base hits rather than driving the ball for extra bases.

Ryan Weathers vs Patrick Corbin Stats

Ryan Weathers takes the mound for New York, sporting a solid 2-2 record and a highly impressive 3.00 ERA across 45.0 innings. The 26-year-old southpaw has transformed into a strikeout artist, racking up 10.80 strikeouts per 9 innings.

Weathers’ pristine 2.84 xFIP suggests his surface ERA is no fluke. He excels at keeping runners off the basepaths with a sharp 1.11 WHIP and an opponent batting average of .222.

On the opposing side, Patrick Corbin carries a 1-1 record and a 3.93 ERA for Toronto. Corbin’s elevated 1.40 WHIP and .292 opponent batting average indicate he consistently pitches out of trouble.

Registering a pedestrian 5.77 K/9 rate, Corbin relies heavily on balls in play. His expected indicators are alarming, with a 4.55 xFIP pointing toward imminent negative regression. Against a patient New York offense, Corbin’s high-contact profile makes him extremely vulnerable.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

Odds as of May 18. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on Yankees vs Blue Jays tonight.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Player Props to Target

• Patrick Corbin Under 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-153 at BetMGM)
• Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 at Caesars)

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As for my favorite MLB props to target, Corbin simply does not miss enough bats to justify a 4.5 strikeout prop. Across 34.1 innings pitched this season, the left-hander averages just 5.77 strikeouts per nine innings. Because New York is patient at the plate, Corbin will rely on pitching to contact.

Aaron Judge is obliterating baseballs this year with a .598 slugging percentage, 38 runs, and 16 home runs. He’s had plenty of success against Corbin as well, posting a .940 OPS versus the lefty throughout his career per MLB batter vs pitcher stats. Betting him to clear 1.5 total bases at -110 odds is an easy decision.