Rays vs Yankees Predictions, Props & Betting Splits (May 24)

• The Yankees are -135 moneyline favorites over the Rays this afternoon
• New York is trying to snap a three-game losing streak
• Below, you’ll find my top Rays vs Yankees predictions, props and betting splits for May 24

The Tampa Bay Rays (34-15) and New York Yankees (30-22) continue their divisional series this afternoon, with first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, and regional coverage available on local broadcast networks.

Tampa Bay enters this matinee matchup looking to build on recent road success, having secured a 4-2 victory over New York last time out. The Yankees will attempt to bounce back after squandering an 11-hit offensive showing in that contest. Online sportsbooks like their chances, pegging New York as -135 favorites in the MLB odds.

Below, you’ll find my to Rays vs Yankees predictions, props and betting splits for the May 24th AL East clash.

Rays vs Yankees Predictions

• Yankees Moneyline (-135 at Caesars)
• Under 7.5 Runs (-115 at Caesars)

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My top two bets today are the Yankees moneyline and under 7.5 runs. Per the MLB starting lineups, New York possesses a clear power advantage over Tampa Bay in this matchup. The Yankees lineup boasts a .192 ISO and 170 extra-base hits compared to the Rays’ .129 ISO. With Aaron Judge mashing 16 home runs and holding a .920 OPS, I expect the home side to manufacture enough runs to secure an outright victory. Tampa Bay relies heavily on stringing together weak contact, which is difficult to sustain against high-strikeout starting pitching.

Both offenses face top-tier arms this afternoon. Tampa Bay starter Drew Rasmussen maintains a 3.19 ERA and a pristine 1.00 WHIP, holding opponents to a .213 average. On the opposite side, Ryan Weathers counters with dynamic bat-missing stuff. With runs sitting at a premium commodity in this specific pitching environment, playing the Under offers strong value. I anticipate a tight, low-scoring battle that minimizes damage with runners in scoring position.

Drew Rasmussen vs Ryan Weathers Stats

Sunday’s matchup between these two World Series odds contenders features a fascinating clash of styles on the mound, pitting Tampa Bay’s precision command against New York’s overwhelming strikeout stuff. Rasmussen relies on location to keep opposing offenses off balance, issuing just 1.69 walks per nine innings over his last 48.0 frames. He consistently minimizes base traffic, inducing weak contact to support his rock-solid 3.19 xFIP.

Weathers steps onto the rubber sporting an elite strikeout profile. The left-hander is punching out 10.91 batters per nine innings while maintaining a respectable 2.32 BB/9 over his last 50.1 innings of work. Although his traditional 3.58 ERA suggests he has been slightly generous with runs, his underlying 2.75 xFIP indicates he is pitching much better than surface-level metrics imply.

Rays vs Yankees Team Stats

The most glaring mismatch in this matchup is the stark contrast in power. New York leads all home offenses in runs per game, OPS, and average exit velocity. When the Bronx Bombers connect in their own ballpark, they inflict maximum damage, which supports my backing of their moneyline.

Conversely, Tampa Bay ranks dead last in the majors in road exit velocity. However, they offset this weakness by finding defensive holes, ranking fourth in road batting average. The Rays play small ball exceptionally well, relying on contact bats like Yandy Díaz to manufacture runs and support their 1.16 stolen bases per game.

Rays vs Yankees Props

• Ryan Weathers Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-140 at DraftKings)

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Weathers consistently misses bats, evidenced by his elite 10.91 K/9 rate. Getting this strikeout prop at 5.5 is a highly favorable spot given his current trajectory and 2.75 xFIP. His ability to pitch deep into the middle innings ensures adequate volume to clear this threshold. Weathers doesn’t have much history against the Tampa Bay lineup per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, but he has cleared this prop line in six of nine starts this season.

Rays vs Yankees Odds

Odds as of May 24. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on the Rays vs Yankees today.

Rays vs Yankees Betting Splits

Analyzing the MLB public betting splits reveals that the public is heavily backing the home favorites, with New York drawing 79.6% of the moneyline tickets. However, the Yankees hold just 53.7% of the total stake, leaving Tampa Bay with a healthy 46.3% of the money despite drawing only 20.4% of tickets.

For the total, the Over has attracted 70.3% of tickets and 65.2% of the money, setting up my Under recommendation as a direct fade of public consensus.