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Historical NBA Rookie of the Year Futures from Past Seasons

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk

Updated:


  • This page lists the NBA ROY odds from all prior seasons since 2019
  • The seasons are listed below in reverse-chronological order
  • Looking for the latest NBA ROY odds?

Starting with the 2019-20 season, SBD has annually tracked the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. This page preserves the NBA ROY futures from each season since that time, allowing readers to look back and see how the lines shifted during the season.

Use the jump links below to go to a specific NBA season:

2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019

Odds to Win 2025 NBA Rookie of the Year

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NBA MVP Odds Movement Timeline

  • March 5: The Spurs might just make it two Rookie of the Year wins in a row. After opening the season averaging +725, Stephon Castle is now getting -245 to win to be named ROY in 2025.
  • November 25: The #16 overall pick, Jared McCain, has shot from +6620 to the +279 favorite in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. Top-pick Zaccharie Risacher has fallen to second at +405.
  • June 27: Second-overall pick Alexandre Sarr of the Wizards is the early favorite to win 2025 NBA ROY at +425, followed closely by #1 pick Zaccharie Risacher of the Hawks at +575.

2024 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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Notes on the NBA MVP odds movement over the course of the 2023-24 season include:

  • Mar. 26, 2024: Victor Wembanyama absolutely ran away with the ROY award. Before the books recently closed, Wemby was getting odds as short as -5000.
  • Jan. 12, 2024: Holmgren (-208) is now favored over Wembanyama (+145).
  • Nov. 4, 2023: A massive 38-point, 10-rebound game during a 132-121 road upset of the Suns, led San Antonio’s Wembanyama to shorten to roughly -400.
  • Oct. 26, 2023: Wembanyama has improved modestly (-130 to -140) in the early going of the regular as has new NBA ROY second-favorite Chet Holmgren (+385 to +320).
  • July 10, 2023: First-overall pick Wembanyama is the odds-on favorite in the early 2024 NBA Rookie of the Year odds at -152 on average, but #2 pick Scoot Henderson (+341) and Chet Holmgren (+385), who missed most of last season due to injury, are both close behind.


2023 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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  • January 24, 2023: Banchero’s odds have only improved over the month of January and he is now the -1197 NBA ROY favorite and presumptive winner.
  • January 5, 2023: Banchero is still a huge favorite (-751 on average) but Mathurin (+560) is refusing to go away.
  • November 13, 2022: Oddsmakers believe Banchero has this wrapped up just a month into the season. The #1 overall pick is -600 on average.
  • October 23, 2022: A week into the new season, Orlando’s Banchero (+130) has consolidated his place atop the board. Indiana’s Mathurin has moved to second at +375.
  • August 25, 2022: After the announcement that Chet Holmgren would miss the season with ligament damage, top-two favorites Banchero (+200) and Murray (+450) both saw their odds shorten.
  • June 23, 2022: On the eve of the 2022 NBA Draft, Paolo Banchero out of Duke is listed as a slight +300 favorite over Auburn’s Jabari Smith Jr.

2023 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Paolo Banchero (ORL) -3500
Bennedict Mathurin (IND) +1200
Walker Kessler (UTA) +2500
Jaden Ivey (DET) +7500
Jalen Williams (OKC) +10000
Jabari Smith Jr (HOU) +20000
Keegan Murray (SAC) +20000
Andrew Nembhard (IND) +25000
Mark Williams (CHA) +30000
Dyson Daniels (NO) +30000
Tari Eason (HOU) +30000
Jalen Duren (DET) +30000
Jeremy Sochan (SA) +30000
Nikola Jovic (MIA) +30000
Malaki Branham (SA) +30000

Odds as of March 5, 2023, at Caesars. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook bonus code


2022 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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  • [March 29] While Mobley remains a heavy odds-on favorite, after leaving Monday’s game with an ankle injury his status for the rest of the regular season is unclear
  • [March 11] Scottie Barnes has moved back ahead of Cunningham as second favorite, but Mobley is still a heavy odds-on favorite
  • [March 2] As the Cavaliers have proven they are for real as an Eastern Conference playoff team, Evan Mobley has asserted himself as a heavy odds-on favorite
  • [February 17] While the top three are unchanged, Josh Giddey’s odds have shortened to fourth choice on the board on the strength of his three straight triple-doubles. He’s also as short as +850 and second choice at FanDuel Sportsbook
  • [February 9] No change in the ROY race ahead of the deadline, as Mobley is still a heavy favorite
  • [February 3] Mobley’s odds continue to shorten, and Scottie Barnes has faded into the +600 to +800 range alongside Cade Cunningham
  • [January 27] It’s looking more and more like Mobley will be your 2022 Rookie of the Year, as no other player is shorter than +600 odds at FanDuel
  • [January 18] Mobley remains the odds-on favorite, while Franz Wagner’s price has seen a slight improvement as he continues to excel down in Orlando
  • [January 12] With the Cavs holding a top six spot in the East and Mobley a main contributor – the big man out of USC has shifted to an odds-on favorite to win ROY
  • [December 23] No change in the hierarchy of the ROY odds, with Evan Mobley still the favorite
  • [December 17] The top three remained the same, while Jalen Green has now faded nearly totally out of the race
  • [December 10] Mobley has averaged nearly 13 points and 9 boards along with 2.7 blocks per game over the last two weeks, now at average odds of +160
  • [December 3] Cunningham and Barnes continue to improve, while Evan Mobley has returned from his elbow injury to re-enter the race. All have average odds between +250 to +300
  • [November 24] Cunningham is fresh off a triple-double for the frisky Pistons, and his odds have shortened in to favorites position
  • [November 17] Cade Cunningham has been shaking off the rust of his early season ankle sprain, with his average odds shortening to +340. Scottie Barnes remains the favorite, while Evan Mobley’s odds may see a fade with him suffering an elbow sprain that may keep him out 2-4 weeks
  • [November 9] With Cleveland off to a surprisingly competitive 7-4 start, Evan Mobley has inched ahead of the pack as the current favorite at +325 odds on average. This is shaping up to be an all-time race for ROY with four to five legitimate contenders
  • [November 3] Barnes is the new favorite at FanDuel, as Jalen Green’s scoring numbers have been up and down while Barnes has had a positive affect at both ends of the floor for the Raps
  • [November 1] Scottie Barnes continues his torrid start for the Raptors, and his odds have shortened ahead of all but Jalen Green – with the Florida State product now +340 at FanDuel
  • [October 26] While Jalen Green remains the favorite as Cade Cunningham’s odds trickle higher before his return to action, three players have seen their odds take a leap. Most impressively 24-year-old Chris Duarte is starting and starring for the Pacers, shortening all the way from +3800 to an average of +775. Scottie Barnes and Evan Mobley have also seen their prices improve after strong opening weeks
  • [October 15] As Cunningham has dealt with an injury during the preseason, Rockets G Jalen Green is now the favorite heading in to the season next week
  • [October 5] Cunningham and Jalen Green remain neck and neck favorites as the preseason has begun
  • [September 9] Jalen Green has seen his odds shorten nearly to the price of Cade Cunningham, with both expected to have productive seasons
  • [July 30] No surprise at the top of the opening set of odds, with Cunningham a heavy +250 favorite to win Rookie of the Year after being selected first overall to Detroit. With Michigan sports betting off and running, Pistons fans will want to jump in on that price before it shortens further. Jalen Green will likely be given the chance to put up big numbers early in Houston – his odds are set at +450. An interesting flyer could be taken on Ayo Dosunmu, who slid to the 2nd round but will be a fan favorite in his hometown of Chicago

2022 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Evan Mobley -400
Scottie Barnes +330
Cade Cunningham +1100
Josh Giddey +5500
Franz Wagner +10000

Odds as of March 29th at FanDuel Sportsbook.

For those of you located in Ontario, online sports betting is live with a whole host of Ontario sportsbook apps now available for Canadians. BetMGM Ontario and Caesars Sportsbook Ontario are some of the major sportsbooks to be welcomed into Ontario first.


2021 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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  • [May 18] With the regular season wrapped up, the award is Ball’s to lose, as LaMelo has seen his odds shorten on average to -1950
  • [May 11] Ball’s odds continue shortening, down to -900 with one week left in the season
  • [May 4] As LaMelo Ball has dazzled with his passes and impact on the court for the Hornets in his return as Charlotte fights for playoff position, his average odds have shortened to -450
  • [April 27] Ball has yet to return to the court, but still remains a heavy odds-on -305 favorite to capture ROY honors
  • [April 20] LaMelo Ball is set to return for the playoff-contending Charlotte Hornets in 7-10 days, and the news caused a major move in the odds, as he’s now an average price of -275. Anthony Edwards slid back to odds of +203
  • [April 15] Anthony Edwards has returned to odds-on favorite status as he continues his high volume role in Minnesota
  • [April 8] No movement in the ROY odds this week, as Edwards remains slightly favored over Tyrese Haliburton with LaMelo Ball out for the year
  • [April 1] Tyrese Haliburton has been a big contributor as the Kings push for the play-in tournament, and his odds have shortened to an average of +160. Edwards remains the +100 favorite on average
  • [March 22] Unfortunately for Hornets and NBA fans in general, LaMelo Ball’s sensational rookie season looks to have come to an end after the rookie guard suffered a broken wrist. #1 overall pick Anthony Edwards game has picked up over the last few weeks, and with Ball’s absence the T-Wolves rookie has become the -155 odds-on favorite. LaMelo still has odds of +200 to hold on to the award
  • [March 16] Fresh off a career-high 34 points in an upset of the Trail Blazers this week, Anthony Edwards has seen his average odds improve to +800
  • [March 9] Ball has strengthened his grip even further, now at average odds of -550
  • [March 3] There’s not much of race for ROY anymore, as LaMelo Ball is still the heavy -455 favorite on average
  • [February 24] Struggling with both injuries and more sporadic playing time, James Wiseman and Immanuel Quickley have seen their odds fade. Ball remains the heavy favorite
  • [February 16] Now averaging 14.6 PPG, 6.2 RPG and 6.1 APG in a significant role with Charlotte, Ball is a virtual lock to win the award at odds of -425
  • [February 10] LaMelo Ball continues to play high level basketball for the Hornets, and his odds have shortened to an average of -340 to win ROY
  • [February 1] Immanuel Quickley stayed hot on Sunday, dropping 25 points in a close loss to the Clippers. A key part of Tom Thibodeau’s rotation, Quickley’s odds have improved to +850 on average, while he’s been as long as +6250
  • [January 27] Wiseman has seen his average odds go back to improving, now at a price of +750
  • [January 20] Tyrese Haliburton has asserted himself as LaMelo Ball’s primary challenger, now at average odds of +325
  • [January 12] Ball became the youngest player to ever record a triple-double at 19, and the market has shifted in his favor, as he’s now odds-on favorite with an average price of -172 to win ROY
  • [January 6] LaMelo Ball has edged back ahead of Wiseman in favorite position, while Kings guard Tyrese Haliburton has jumped into the top five, now at average odds of +725
  • [December 29] With a starting role locked and loaded for the Warriors, James Wiseman has ascended to the +250 favorite to win 2021 ROY
  • [December 22] On opening night, Anthony Edwards has inched back ahead of Obi Toppin as the second favorite behind Ball, now at average odds of +575
  • [December 15] After solid preseason showings, LaMelo Ball remains the favorite, while Obi Toppin has surged to second favorite, at average odds +520, shortened from +650
  • [November 19] LaMelo Ball is likely to have a long leash and a chance to run the Hornets offense, which puts him in pole position as opening favorite. Anthony Edwards goes to Minnesota with odds of +465 and James Wiseman will man the C spot for Golden State at average odds of +540

2021 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds at DraftKings
LaMelo Ball -2000
Anthony Edwards +900
Tyrese Haliburton +10000
Immanuel Quickley +10000
Saddiq Bey +25000
Patrick Williams +25000
Payton Pritchard +50000
JaeSean Tate +50000

Odds as of May 18th

Getting drafted by his hometown Knicks, former Dayton sensation Obi Toppin should have a chance to put up big numbers in New York while wowing crowds at the Garden. Killian Hayes also has a big opportunity for a rebuilding Pistons team.

NBA Teams with the Most Rookie of the Year Winners

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The Golden State Warriors haven’t always been the toast of the NBA. Long before they were winning back-to-back championships they were routinely finishing near the bottom of the standings.

Those poor finishes netted them first rate players like Chris Webber, Mitch Richmond, Jamaal Wilkes, Rick Barry, Wilt Chamberlain, and Wood Sauldsberry, all of whom won Rookie of the Year honors.

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Past 10 NBA Rookie of the Year Winners

Year Player Team Draft Position
2020 Ja Morant Memphis Grizzlies 2
2019 Luka Doncic Dallas Mavericks 3
2018 Ben Simmons Philadelphia 76ers 1
2017 Malcolm Brogdon Milwaukee Bucks 36
2016 Karl-Anthony Towns Minnesota Timberwolves 1
2015 Andrew Wiggins Minnesota Timberwolves 1
2014 Michael Carter-Williams Philadelphia 76ers 11
2013 Damian Lillard Portland Trail Blazers 6
2012 Kyrie Irving Cleveland Cavaliers 1
2011 Blake Griffin Los Angeles Clippers 1
  • Since 1990, the NBA Rookie of the Year award has gone to the first pick in the draft 14 times
  • Since 1990, the NBA Rookie of the Year award has only been given to a second-round selection just once (Malcolm Brogdon in 2017)

Past Rookie of the Year Winners by Position

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  • The award has gone to a primary ball-handler in eight of the past 11 years
  • Power forwards and centers won five of the first six NBA Rookie of the Year awards
  • The NBA Rookie of the Year award has only been won just three times by a player who was 6’0” tall or shorter: Ernie DiGregorio (1974), Damon Stoudamire (1996), Chris Paul (2006)

NBA Rookie Records

Record Player Season
Most points in a season: 2,707 Wilt Chamberlain (Warriors) 1959-60
Most minutes played in a season: 3,695 Elvin Hayes (Rockets) 1968-69
Most rebounds in a season: 1,941 Wilt Chamberlain (Warriors) 1959-60
Most assists in a season: 868 Mark Jackson (Knicks) 1987-88
Most steals in a season: 211 Dudley Bradley (Pacers) 1979-80
Most blocks in a season: 397 Manute Bol (Bullets) 1985-86
Most three-pointers made in a season: 158 Kerry Kittles (Nets) 1996-97

Wilt Chamberlain was a rookie in name only when he entered the league in 1959. The Big Dipper led the Association in scoring, rebounding, and minutes played that season and became the first player in NBA history to win Rookie of the Year and MVP honors in the same season.


2020 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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  • [August 10] With the Pelicans disappointing bubble showings and Zion stuck on a minutes restriction, Ja Morant is all but a lock at odds of -20000 to take home this year’s honors
  • [July 15] It will be virtually impossible for Zion to catch Ja for the ROY award, as Morant is at average odds of -6250 with just eight regular season games remaining
  • [June 10] Not much has changed in the race during the suspension of the season, as Ja Morant is still the near lock at -3000, while Zion Williamson is +900. No other players are on the board
  • [March 30] While the season is suspended, Ja Morant has moved to an extremely heavy -2000 favorite
  • [March 2] Despite Zion’s strong recent showings against LeBron & the Lakers, his average odds have taken a slight hit, moving to +198
  • [February 25] ROY is down to a two man race at the current time, with Ja Morant listed at -250 and Zion Williamson still giving chase at +170
  • [February 18] Zion’s race to catch Ja Morant continues, as his average odds are now down to +170 during the All-Star break
  • [February 7] After his first eight games, Zion is seeing his odds shorten, now at an average of +288
  • [January 28] As he has seen his role grow in recent weeks, Michael Porter Jr. has reappeared on the board, with odds of +1200
  • [January 2] With Zion expected to return to the court at the end of the month, his odds sit at +800, while Morant has a firm hold of the race at average odds of -250
  • [December 20] Ja Morant is now the odds-on favorite for ROY at -150, as Zion Williamson’s fall continues to +700 as he remains sidelined
  • [December 10] As Zion Williamson’s return to the court has been pushed back once again while he recovers from injury, his odds have fallen to an average of +408
  • [December 2] With Ja Morant out for a few weeks with back spasms, perhaps RJ Barrett (+500) or Tyler Herro (+1200) can mount a charge with both Morant and Williamson on the shelf
  • [November 27] Morant strengthened his grip as he shortened to +190, while Golden State’s Eric Paschall entered the fray at +1200 after a strong run of play
  • [November 20] Ja Morant’s impressive first month has put him in the driver’s seat with +200 odds, while preseason contender R.J. Barrett has faded to +400 as the Knicks struggles continue
  • [November 6] Kendrick Nunn’s improbable rise from undrafted free agent to ROY contender continues, with odds now at +700, just behind the top contenders.
  • [November 1] After the first week and a half of play, Morant remains the favorite at +275, but R.J. Barrett is hot on his heels at +300. Miami’s Kendrick Nunn and Philly’s Matisse Thybulle have also been given odds for the first time.
  • [October 22] Full field odds have been released in the wake of Zion Williamson’s 6-8 week absence due to a torn meniscus, which has put his odds at +300, behind new favorite Ja Morant of the Grizzlies, who is +200.
  • [October 9] With his explosive preseason debut doing nothing but keeping the hype going, Zion Williamson is the obvious favorite, with average odds of -140
  • [August 27] To the surprise of nobody, Zion Williamson is still the heavier favorite, with average odds of -150
  • [August 7] Odds have been adjusted on several players with Rui Hachimura moving from +4000 to +2500, Cameron Reddish from +3500 to +5000 and De’Andre Hunter from +1800 to +2500

With all due respect to LeBron James, no player has ever entered the NBA with more hype than Zion Williamson, a high-flying highlight machine whose every movement is shared obsessively on social media. The 6’7″, 280-pound wrecking ball was a first-team All-American and the consensus National College Player of the Year during his first – and only – season at Duke, and appears to be more than ready to lay waste to the NBA.

2020 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Team Draft Position Odds
Ja Morant Memphis Grizzlies 2 -20000
Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans 1 +800
Kendrick Nunn Miami Heat Undrafted (2018) +6600

Odds taken August 10th

As the season enters its second half, can Zion Williamson mount a charge in his return to the court, or is it Ja Morant’s to lose? Keep an eye on Michael Porter Jr., who had the pedigree of a #1 pick before his injury troubles and could continue to put up big numbers if the Nuggets commit to him in their rotation.


2019 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

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Deandre Ayton may have been chosen first in the 2018 NBA Draft, but his odds to win the Rookie of the Year award lag behind those of Mavericks guard Luka Doncic. The 20-year-old Slovenian sensation led Dallas in points, rebounds, assists and steals during his freshman season and appears destined for a long and fruitful NBA career.

2019 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Team Draft Position Odds
Luka Doncic Dallas Mavericks 3 -3500
Trae Young Atlanta Hawks 5 +750
Deandre Ayton Phoenix Suns 1 +10000

*Odds taken 06/24/19

Can anyone catch Doncic? “Cool Hand” finished the 2018-19 regular season second among all rookies in scoring, rebounds, and assists.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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