Reds vs Cardinals Best Bets, Player Props & Splits

• I’m expecting a convincing Cardinals victory tonight against the Reds
• Cincy starter Brady Singer is 2-5, with a 6.18 ERA and 1.69 WHIP this season
• Get the top Reds vs Cardinals best bets, player props and betting splits, below

The St. Louis Cardinals welcome the Cincinnati Reds to Busch Stadium to open a new series tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET, with the MLB weather forecast expecting a perfect night for baseball.

Coming into this matchup as home favorites in the MLB odds, the Cardinals are looking to build momentum after a 5-3 victory over the Texas Rangers, a game where St. Louis flexed its offensive muscle with 11 hits.

Meanwhile, the road underdog Reds hope to bounce back from a 5-2 defeat to the Kansas City Royals. I’m not expecting that to happen, so keep reading to find out why and see the Reds vs Cardinals best bets, player props and splits, below.

Reds vs Cardinals Best Bets

• St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+142 on Caesars)
• Over 9 Runs (-105 on Bet365)

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My favorite bets tonight are the Cardinals run line and over 9 runs. The pitching discrepancy in the MLB starting lineups is the primary driver in this matchup. Cincinnati’s probable starter, Brady Singer, has struggled significantly, carrying a 6.18 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 51.0 innings.

On the other side, Kyle Leahy offers a more stable outlook for St. Louis with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. The Cardinals also boast a superior overall team pitching staff, carrying a 4.14 ERA compared to the Reds’ 4.78 mark.

Kyle Leahy vs Brady Singer Stats

Leahy has provided a stable presence in the rotation, compiling a 5-3 record. Over his last 10 outings, the right-hander has sharpened his command, posting a 3.96 ERA and boosting his strikeout rate to 8.10 K/9. He averages 5.00 innings per start, holding batters to a .280 average during that stretch.

Singer is mired in a difficult campaign. His 6.88 FIP and .323 opponent batting average highlight his inability to induce weak contact. Over his last 10 appearances, his strikeout rate has dipped to 5.94 K/9. Singer averages just 4.70 innings per start, placing early stress on the bullpen.

Reds vs Cardinals Stats

When analyzing the tale of the tape, the most glaring discrepancy lies on the mound. The Reds’ pitching staff bleeds runs, ranking 27th in the majors with a 4.78 ERA. St. Louis holds a distinct advantage in the quality of their contact, boasting an 88.8 mph average exit velocity at home.

From a trend perspective, St. Louis boasts a 66.7% win rate when favored this season. Conversely, game totals for Cincinnati have consistently avoided low scores, with the Under cashing at just a 32.8% rate. Given Singer’s struggles to keep the ball in the yard, expecting ample run production is the logical approach.

Reds vs Cardinals Player Props

• Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105 on DraftKings): Moving to the MLB props market, where my favorite bet is Jordan Walker over 1.5 total bases. Walker slashes .291 with a .537 slugging percentage. He is primed for a multi-base outing against a contact-heavy pitcher.
• Jordan Walker 1+ RBI (+131 on DraftKings): I’m also betting Walker to record an RBI. With the Reds allowing frequent baserunners, Walker will step to the plate with premium run-producing opportunities. Per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Walker leads the Cards in average, home runs, RBI, slugging and OPS.

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Reds vs Cardinals Odds

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Reds vs Cardinals Splits

As for the Reds vs Cardinals MLB public betting splits, the Cardinals are commanding 80.9% of the moneyline tickets and a substantial 76.1% of the total stake. Both casual bettors and larger bankrolls are united on St. Louis, reflecting the clear pitching advantage Leahy holds over Singer.

The betting splits for the game total show lopsided action. A massive 91.0% of the tickets and 93.0% of the total handle are backing the Over. The runline market continues this trend, with St. Louis drawing 63.3% of the tickets and a dominant 79.7% of the runline stake. The public expects a comfortable multi-run victory.