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Predictions, Picks & Player Props for Yankees vs Tigers (Jun 23)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Published:


The Yankees celebrate in the dugout following a Ahmed Rosario home run.
Jun 22, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; New York Yankees third baseman Amed Rosario (14) receives congratulations from designated hitter Jasson Dominguez (24) after he hits a two run home run in the seventh inning against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
  • Back the Yankees to bounce back against the Tigers tonight
  • Runs will be at a premium with Carlos Rodón and Casey Mize dealing
  • See my favorite predictions, picks and player props for Yankees vs Tigers on June 23, below

The New York Yankees (46-30) take the field as road favorites in the MLB odds tonight against the Detroit Tigers (33-44). First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET at Comerica Park in Detroit, with the MLB weather forecast predicting a perfect night for baseball.

The Tigers are riding high after pulling off a 5-3 upset victory over the Yankees last night. Detroit played a clean, error-free game and leaned on a clutch home run from Riley Greene to secure the win. However, New York will be eager to bounce back and snap their three-game losing streak.

Below, you’ll find my favorite predictions, picks and player props for the Yankees vs Tigers matchup on June 23rd.

Predictions and Picks for Yankees vs Tigers

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My top two picks tonight are the Yankees moneyline and Under 8 runs. When breaking down this matchup, the statistical divide in the MLB starting lineups points toward a clear side. The Yankees boast a superior offense, logging a .768 team OPS and 392 total runs compared to Detroit’s .710 OPS and 319 runs.

On the mound, The World Series odds contender holds the edge as well, fielding a collective 3.37 ERA against Detroit’s 3.84 mark. Given their distinct advantages at the plate and a more stable pitching staff, I trust New York to avenge their recent loss.

Tigers starter Casey Mize has been sharp, carrying a 2.58 ERA across 52.1 innings. On the other side, Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodón boasts a respectable 3.50 ERA with dominant strikeout stuff. I expect pitching to dictate the pace of this matchup, keeping runs at a premium

Carlos Rodón vs Casey Mize Stats

StatisticCarlos Rodón (NYY)Casey Mize (DET)
W-L Record3-22-4
ERA3.502.58
WHIP1.251.01
FIP3.662.67
K/910.258.94
BB/9 (Last 10)5.002.24
Opp. Batting Avg.197.211
IP per Start5.145.23

Despite a 2-4 personal record stemming from sparse run support, Mize is excellent at preventing traffic on the basepaths. He boasts a 1.01 WHIP and yields just 2.24 walks per nine innings over his last 10 appearances.

Rodón brings elite swing-and-miss stuff to the mound. The left-hander is punching out batters at a 10.25 K/9 rate, stifling opponents to a .197 batting average. However, he has surrendered 5.00 walks per nine innings over his last 10 outings.

Yankees vs Tigers Stats

StatisticNew York Yankees (Away)Detroit Tigers (Home)
Runs per Game4.85 [8th]4.32 [21st]
Batting Average (AVG).240 [17th].241 [21st]
On-Base + Slugging (OPS).731 [9th].726 [16th]
Average Exit Velocity89.5 mph [2nd]89.1 mph [5th]
Earned Run Average (ERA)3.37 [1st]3.84 [7th]
WHIP1.18 [3rd]1.26 [12th]

New York enters this series with the league’s top-ranked ERA (3.37) and a stifling 1.18 WHIP. Detroit features a competent pitching staff anchored by a 3.84 ERA, but their 1.26 WHIP suggests they allow more traffic on the basepaths.

At the plate, New York’s road offense ranks inside the top 10 for runs per game (4.85) and average exit velocity (89.5 mph). Conversely, Detroit averages just 4.32 runs per game at Comerica Park and lacks the top-to-bottom firepower to reliably match New York.

Odds for Yankees vs Tigers

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Player Props for Yankees vs Tigers

  • Carlos Rodón Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-147 at Caesars)
  • Jasson Domínguez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+139 at Caesars)
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In the MLB props market, I am targeting Rodon Over 5.5 K’s. Rodón has been a strikeout machine this season, carrying an elite 10.25 K/9 rate into his start. He has comfortably exceeded 5.5 strikeouts in 10 of his last 15 regular-season games (67%). Against a Detroit lineup that strikes out frequently, I expect Rodón to easily clear this hurdle.

If you are searching for plus-money value, Domínguez is a reliable source of production. He has exceeded 1.5 total bases in five of his last seven games according to the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, hitting at a 71% success rate in that span.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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