Nationals vs Orioles Predictions & Player-Prop Picks on Jun 28

• Baltimore is a sizable home favorite this afternoon vs Washington
• Nats starter Zack Littell has struggled to limit hard contact, creating opportunities for the Baltimore lineup
• Check out the Nationals vs Orioles predictions and player prop picks on June 28, below

The Baltimore Orioles (39-44) look to bounce back against the Washington Nationals (41-42) today, with first pitch set for 1:35 PM ET. The teams wrap-up their series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after splitting the first two contests on Friday and Saturday. The MLB weather forecast is projecting a perfect day for baseball, with sunshine and warm temperatures on deck.

Washington powered yesterday’s win with 13 hits, including a home run from Luis García Jr. Baltimore, meanwhile, managed only seven hits and lost despite a strong outing from starter Brandon Young.

With elite bats such as Pete Alonso and Gunnar Henderson capable of changing the story quickly, the Orioles have been pegged as big favorites in the MLB odds. That’s a sentiment I agree with, so keep reading to find out why, plus see the Nationals vs Orioles predictions and player prop picks for June 28, below.

Nationals vs Orioles Predictions

• Orioles Moneyline (-190 at BetMGM)
• Over 9 Runs (-102 at BetMGM)

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My top two bets today are the Orioles moneyline and Over 9 runs. When breaking down this interleague matchup in the MLB starting lineups, the starting pitching duel immediately stands out as the key factor. Baltimore sends Kyle Bradish to the mound, a reliable arm who owns a 3.64 ERA and an excellent 9.51 strikeouts per nine innings (K/9) across 89.0 innings.

On the other side, Washington gives the ball to Zack Littell, who has struggled to find consistency. He carries an inflated 6.31 ERA over 51.1 innings pitched.

With the clear advantage on the mound, Baltimore is in a strong position to defend Camden Yards. Littell’s vulnerability, combined with Washington’s 4.71 team ERA, gives the home offense enough of an edge to secure the win.

Washington’s pitching staff allows 4.71 earned runs per game this season. With Littell’s high ERA setting the tone, I expect Baltimore’s power bats to find gaps and generate scoring chances, making the over the logical angle.

Kyle Bradish vs. Zack Littell Stats

Bradish stands out with his strikeout rate and has lowered his ERA to 3.36 over his last 59.0 innings, averaging 5.90 innings per start. That gives Baltimore a strong chance to control the game into the later innings.

Littell has had trouble with hard contact, reflected in his 6.52 FIP and low 5.61 K/9. His biggest issue is durability; he has averaged only 4.61 innings recently. That could force Washington’s bullpen into action early.

Washington has been highly productive on the road, scoring 5.17 runs per game, fourth-best in MLB, while stealing 1.07 bases per game. That speed should put constant pressure on Baltimore’s defense. By contrast, the Orioles have been conservative at home, averaging only 0.49 steals per game.

Still, Baltimore has an offensive advantage because of Washington’s 4.71 team ERA. Sluggers such as Alonso and Henderson have the exit velocity needed to punish mistakes and put runs on the board.

Nationals vs Orioles Odds

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Nationals vs Orioles Player Prop Picks

• Kyle Bradish Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-152 at DraftKings)
• James Wood Over 1.5 Total Bases (+121 at DraftKings)

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In the MLB props market, I’m betting Bradish Over 5.5 K’s. Bradish’s 9.51 K/9 makes this line very reachable. He has the arsenal to pile up strikeouts consistently against this Washington lineup, giving this prop strong statistical value.

For a value play on the Washington side, James Wood offers appealing plus-money odds. He owns a .505 slugging percentage and has hit 20 home runs this season per the batter vs pitcher stats. Backing him to record multiple total bases is an attractive option.