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Brewers vs Cardinals Expert Picks, Predictions & Props (Jul 7)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Published:


Jacob Misiorowski delivers a pitch versus the Braves at Truist Park.
Jun 19, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Jacob Misiorowski (32) pitches against the Atlanta Braves during the second inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images
  • Milwaukee holds a clear pitching advantage vs St. Louis today with Jacob Misiorowski starting
  • Taking the Brewers to win on Kalshi (64¢) offers superior value over traditional sportsbooks
  • Check out the Brewers vs Cardinals expert picks, predictions and props for July 7, below

The Milwaukee Brewers hit the road as favorites in the MLB odds today, as they open a new series against the St. Louis Cardinals. The MLB weather forecast is looking very favorable for afternoon baseball, with sunshine and 84 degree temperatures on deck.

Milwaukee arrives boasting a 55-33 record, while St. Louis looks to protect its home diamond with a 47-40 mark. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 PM EST, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO, with the broadcast available on both teams’ regional networks.

Below, I’ll breakdown the Brewers vs Cardinals expert picks, predictions and props to bet for the July 7th contest.

Brewers vs Cardinals Expert Picks and Predictions

  • Milwaukee moneyline (Yes at 64¢ on Kalshi)
  • Under 7.5 Runs (-105 at bet365)
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My favorite bet today is on the Milwaukee moneyline. Traditional sportsbooks list the Brewers at -185, but buying Milwaukee Yes at 64¢ on Kalshi provides a noticeably better payout. Don’t forget to use the Kalshi referral code to score a bonus to bet on MLB.

The statistical gap between these rosters in the MLB starting lineups points toward a road victory. Milwaukee sports a 3.34 team ERA and a 1.17 WHIP, outpacing the Cardinals’ pitching staff (4.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP).

From a totals perspective, playing Under 7.5 runs is my preferred angle. Misiorowski is the NL Cy Young odds favorite, and holds a 1.47 ERA and 0.78 WHIP, indicating the St. Louis lineup will struggle to generate traffic on the basepaths.

The Cardinals have yet to announce their starting pitcher, leaving their strategy for Game 1 undefined. St. Louis batters have no recorded history against the young Brewers ace, forcing bettors to rely on his current season splits.

Over his last 10 outings, Misiorowski boasts a 0.68 ERA and a 0.65 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched. He has maintained his elite strikeout rate (13.23 K/9) while showing impeccable command (1.64 BB/9), dropping the opponent batting average to .137 during that span.

Brewers vs Cardinals Stats

StatisticBrewers (Away)Cardinals (Home)
Overall Record55-33 [2nd]47-40 [8th]
Runs per Game4.98 [17th]3.75 [26th]
Hits per Game8.95 [17th]7.93 [26th]
Walks per Game4.02 [17th]3.05 [26th]
Home Runs per Game0.83 [17th]0.95 [26th]
Stolen Bases per Game1.05 [17th]0.70 [26th]
OPS.714 [17th].692 [26th]

The starkest contrast between these two clubs comes in run production. Milwaukee is effective away from home, plating 4.98 runs per contest. In comparison, St. Louis struggles in front of its home crowd, pushing across 3.75 runs per game.

Milwaukee’s formula relies on applying pressure on the bases, averaging 8.95 hits and 4.02 walks per road game. St. Louis fails to match that volume. However, St. Louis edges out Milwaukee in raw power metrics, hitting slightly more home runs per game at home (0.95) than Milwaukee does on the road (0.83).

Brewers vs Cardinals Odds

Odds as of July 7. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on MLB today.

Brewers vs Cardinals Props

  • Jacob Misiorowski Over 7.5 strikeouts (+114 at DraftKings)
  • Jordan Walker to record 2+ total bases (+125 at DraftKings)
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The best value lies in the MLB props market. I am locking in Misiorowski to record Over 7.5 strikeouts. He sits batters down at a high rate this season, sporting a 13.50 K/9 over 104.0 innings pitched per the batter vs pitcher stats. Getting plus-money odds for eight punchouts from a pitcher averaging 1.5 strikeouts per inning is a distinct analytical edge.

For an alternative look, taking Jordan Walker to record 2+ total bases offers solid value. Walker is slashing .292 with a .529 slugging percentage and 20 home runs, making him a persistent extra-base threat regardless of the matchup.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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