D-backs vs Guardians Player-Prop Picks for August 2

• The Arizona Diamondbacks are +125 road dogs to complete a sweep of the Cleveland Guardians
• In the player prop market, Merrill Kelly has labored this year, managing just a 5.84 K/9
• Read below for the my Diamondbacks vs Guardians prop picks and updated odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been an offensive juggernaut in their series with the host Cleveland Guardians, as they seek a sweep on Sunday.

With their 12-8 win on Saturday, Arizona has put up 16 runs so far in this series, and they might need to put up a few more, as they try to support struggling starter Merrill Kelley.

He’s one half of the MLB probable pitchers on tap for today, which includes Cleveland stud Gavin Williams.

Not surprisingly, both feature in my player prop picks below.

Action gets underway at 1:40pm ET from Progressive Field in Clevealnd, with MLB TV providing the broadcast coverage.

Let’s break down this matchup as I share my top picks and betting prediction and updated MLB odds.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Player-Prop Picks

Pick: Gavin Williams Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-164 at FanDuel): Cleveland starter Gavin Williams has been a dominant force, registering an elite 11.34 K/9 and a 3.71 ERA across 133.1 innings. Williams averages well over a strikeout per inning and has consistently missed bats all season.

Pick: Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100 at FanDuel): Conversely, Arizona starter Merrill Kelly has labored through 109.1 innings, managing just a 5.84 K/9 alongside a 4.85 ERA. His low strikeout rate indicates a reliance on pitching to contact, which spells trouble against a disciplined lineup.

Pick: Chase DeLauter to Record an RBI (+130 at FanDuel): DeLauter is Cleveland’s primary run producer, driving in a team-best 52 runs during the current campaign. He homered on Saturday for his first RBI in four games.

In case you’re betting the game line my primary play for this contest is Cleveland on the moneyline (-145 at Caesars). The Guardians possess a distinct run-prevention edge in the late innings, backed by a bullpen generating 10.15 K/9. Arizona boasts a 60.9% win rate when favored this season, but they struggle in spots where their starting pitching is outmatched.

I also recommend betting Under 8.0 total runs (-105 at Caesars). Williams dictates the pace and limits baserunners, making it difficult for the Diamondbacks to string together hits. The public is leaning toward the Over, but fading that consensus aligns with my read on Cleveland suppressing offensive output.

ARI Diamondbacks vs CLE Guardians Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Be sure to use the BetMGM promo code to bet on Rangers vs Rays or any other MLB game.

Cleveland enters this matchup as solid home favorites, sitting at -138 on the moneyline, while the visiting Diamondbacks are +128 underdogs to complete the sweep (both odds courtesy of FanDuel).

For bettors looking to the runline, the home team is priced at +152 to win by multiple runs. The D-backs are getting 1.5 runs on the spread, but it comes with juice: the payout is at -170 odds at bet365.

The game total sits at an even 8 runs, with the Over slightly favored at -110 juice, while the Under offers -107 odds from DraftKings.

The betting markets saw minor movement since opening. The runline opened at Cleveland -1.5 (+150) before shifting to +143, while the moneyline crept up from an opening number of -140. These shifts toward the Guardians on both the moneyline and runline directly correlate to heavy public backing.