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Reds vs Nationals Player-Prop Picks & Predictions

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Published:


Elly De La Cruz celebrates a home run.
Aug 7, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly de la Cruz (44) celebrates with Reds third base coach Willie Harris (99) while rounding the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Washington Nationals during the third inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
  • The Reds and Nationals play the series finale of their three-game set this afternoon
  • Elly De La Cruz is my top target for an RBI today
  • Check out my favorite Reds vs Nationals player-prop picks and predictions, below

The Washington Nationals (58-61) and Cincinnati Reds (56-60) conclude their series today, with first pitch scheduled for 12:15 PM EST at Nationals Park. Washington secured a decisive 8-2 victory in the previous meeting, and now will try to pull off the three-game sweep.

With both teams hovering below .500 and fighting to climb the standings, I am hunting for value on the diamond. The Reds send right-hander Brady Singer to the mound to contain CJ Abrams. Meanwhile, the Nationals turn to Brad Lord to stifle the electric Elly De La Cruz.

I’m skipping any side or total bet for this contest, focusing on the player prop market instead. Whether you are looking to fade pitching or back an elite slugger, I have broken down the MLB odds below. Keep reading for my Reds vs Nationals player-prop picks and predictions.

Reds vs Nationals Player-Prop Picks and Predictions

When diving into the MLB player props, I rely on recent performance data and situational splits to unveil significant edges. Based on my analysis, here are my top player prop predictions for the matchup.

Elly De La Cruz Ov 0.5 RBIs (+186 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets
RBI Pick
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De La Cruz Ov 0.5 RBI
35%

De La Cruz continues to be the driving force behind the Cincinnati offense. The dynamic shortstop boasts an impressive .860 OPS, fueled by 43 extra-base hits. More importantly, he has been consistently driving in runs in recent outings.

De La Cruz has gone over 0.5 RBIs in four of his last five games, giving us an 80% success rate. He has also exceeded 1.5 total bases in three straight games against the Nationals. Given his recent production, this RBI prop provides excellent bang for your buck. Don’t forget to claim the Kalshi promo code to score a bonus to bet on MLB today.

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Eugenio Suárez Ov 1.5 Total Bases (+132 at Caesars)

Finding plus-money value on a batter who has dominated a specific opponent is always an attractive proposition. Suárez fits that description perfectly. He is 4-0 versus a total bases line of 1.5 in his last four games against Washington.

During that four-game stretch, the veteran slugger is averaging an absurd 5.2 total bases per game. His season-long batting average has fallen off a cliff, but Suárez’s history against Washington makes backing his total bases over a high-value play. It also doesn’t hurt that Nationals Park is extremely hitter friendly per the MLB park factors, boosting the ceiling of all batters today.

Jacob Young Ov 0.5 Hits (-149 at Caesars)

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If you want a heavily favored prop with a high probability of cashing, Washington outfielder Jacob Young presents a compelling case. Young has found his rhythm at home and has been a reliable source of contact at the dish.

Young has gone over 0.5 hits in four of four home games recently, boasting a 100% success rate in that scenario. He is averaging 1.5 hits per game in his home ballpark over that span. His consistency makes laying the juice a sound investment to round out my betting card.

Reds vs Nationals Player-Prop Odds

PlayerHome RunsHitsTotal Bases
Eugenio Suarez+369Ov 0.5 (-195)Ov 1.5 (+132)
CJ Abrams+379Ov 0.5 (-237)Ov 1.5 (+107)
Elly De La Cruz+410Ov 1.5 (+176)Ov 1.5 (-105)
Sal Stewart+423Ov 1.5 (+171)Ov 1.5 (-104)
Daylen Lile+432Ov 0.5 (-233)Ov 1.5 (+113)
JJ Bleday+466Ov 0.5 (-202)Ov 1.5 (+123)
Tyler Stephenson+486Ov 0.5 (-247)Ov 1.5 (+116)
Abimelec Ortiz+512Ov 0.5 (-196)Ov 1.5 (+136)
Dylan Crews+600Ov 0.5 (-205)Ov 1.5 (+143)
Noelvi Marte+660Ov 0.5 (-206)Ov 1.5 (+143)
PitcherStrikeoutsTotal Outs
Brady SingerOv 4.5 (-122) / Un 4.5 (-104)Ov 17.5 (-119) / Un 17.5 (-111)

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I always scan the batter markets to see how the lines align with the MLB batter vs pitcher stats. When evaluating the board, Suárez stands out as the most likely candidate to hit a home run.

Reds Batters vs Brad Lord

BatterABHXBHHRKAVG
Elly De La Cruz321000.667
Matt McLain310000.333
Ke’Bryan Hayes310000.333
Dane Myers200010.000
Eugenio Suárez200010.000
JJ Bleday110001.000
Noelvi Marte110001.000
Sal Stewart100010.000
Jose Trevino000000.000

Nationals Batters vs Brady Singer

BatterABHXBHHRKAVG
CJ Abrams410010.250
Daylen Lile332101.000
Keibert Ruiz300000.000
Jacob Young300000.000
José Tena200000.000
Nasim Nuñez110001.000
Abimelec Ortiz000000.000
Dylan Crews000000.000
Jorbit Vivas000000.000

Daylen Lile has absolutely shelled Singer in their brief history, going a perfect 3-for-3 with two extra-base knocks, including a home run. His total bases prop is incredibly enticing based on those numbers. For Cincinnati, De La Cruz has also found early success against his matchup, recording two hits and an extra-base hit in three at-bats against Lord.

Conversely, I am steering clear of hit props for Keibert Ruiz. He is completely hitless in three career at-bats against Singer, sporting an ugly .000 average and zero hard contact.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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