Richmond vs NC State Odds, Props & Predictions for Friday CFB (Sep. 11)

• Richmond looks to spring a massive upset
• NC State lost by 26 in its season-opening loss
• Read below for my top Richmond vs NC State predictions and prop angles

Welcome to Week 2 of the college football season. I am breaking down an intriguing Friday night non-conference matchup kicking off at 7:00 PM ET at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium.

The Richmond Spiders ride into this one carrying the momentum of a tight 28-21 victory over Howard. On the opposite sideline, the NC State Wolfpack are massive favorites despite showing serious offensive flaws out of the gate.

Finding the best college football player prop best bets requires digging into the raw data. I am bypassing the heavily juiced game lines to focus strictly on where the actual value lies in the touchdown markets.

Richmond vs NC State Odds

Currently, sportsbooks have not released traditional passing, rushing, or receiving yardage markets for this contest. When those traditional yardage markets are unavailable, I immediately pivot to touchdown props.

Here are the available touchdown markets for tonight’s game.

Player	Anytime TD Scorer	To Score 2+ TDs
Duke Scott	-220	+250
Cedrick Bailey	+100	+600
Joshisa Trader	+147	+950
Davion Gause	+161	+1200
Preston Douglas	+167	+1300
Vander Ploog	+183	+1300

Odds as of September 11 at 2:30 PM ET.

The betting markets anticipate a lopsided affair, positioning NC State as overwhelming -11111 moneyline favorites with a 32.5-point spread. The total sits at 50.5 points.

Despite those massive game lines favoring the home Wolfpack, the prop markets paint a fascinating picture. Several names have seen heavy line movement since opening, giving us clear indicators of where sharp money is flowing. I always want to make sure I use our DraftKings promo when grabbing these prices.

Richmond vs NC State Props

Before we get to my Richmond vs NC State player props, let’s look at the underlying usage and matchup context.

Richmond brings a surprisingly potent offense into this environment. Averaging 30.5 points per game and 340.5 total yards, they have shown a clear ability to move the chains. The passing offense is working, generating 460 yards compared to 221 yards on the ground so far this year.

Most importantly for our touchdown angles, Richmond boasts a stellar 75.0% red zone efficiency rate. They have converted six of their eight trips inside the 20-yard line into points.

NC State presents a staggering contrast. The Wolfpack offense mustered eight points in its 34-8 season-opening loss to Virginia. They are averaging a meager 168 total yards of offense, split between 92 passing yards and 76 rushing yards.

Their inability to sustain drives is glaring. NC State is converting just 30.8% of their third down conversions, which drastically limits their scoring opportunities and their ability to win the field position battle.

Richmond vs NC State Predictions

Because traditional yardage lines are off the board, my sports betting picks for this matchup focus entirely on the touchdown markets. I am targeting players in high-scoring environments who are seeing significant market momentum.

Here are my top Richmond vs NC State predictions for tonight.

Richmond vs NC State Player Prop Bet #1: Preston Douglas Anytime Touchdown Scorer

I am following the heavy market action on Preston Douglas here. His anytime touchdown price opened at a long +430, but sharp money has hammered this number all the way down to +167.

Douglas caught three passes for NC State in the opener, giving him an established role in the passing game. I am backing an offensive rebound against Richmond and looking for that involvement to translate into a scoring opportunity. I am pulling the trigger on this plus-money opportunity. The sophomore tight end is looking for his first career touchdown.

• Pick: Preston Douglas Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+167 at DraftKings)

Richmond vs NC State Player Prop Bet #2: Duke Scott To Score 2+ Touchdowns

Duke Scott is heavily favored to find the end zone at least once, with his anytime touchdown odds sitting at a board-leading -220. That price is simply too steep to bet straight up.

However, targeting his multi-touchdown prop at +250 is an excellent way to extract value. I am counting on NC State to create more goal-line opportunities against Richmond after a difficult opener against Virginia. Given that he is viewed as the most probable player to cross the goal line, getting a +250 payout for him to do it twice is a fantastic angle.

Last season, Scott scored four touchdowns, including a double dip versus FCS Campbell. He also scored against Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech.

• Pick: Duke Scott To Score 2+ Touchdowns (+250 at DraftKings)

Richmond vs NC State Player Prop Bet #3: CJ Bailey Anytime Touchdown Scorer

CJ Bailey offers a straightforward, coin-flip price on a high-probability outcome. His odds have settled at an even-money +100 after opening slightly favored at -110.

Bailey led NC State with 33 rushing yards against Virginia, which is the rushing involvement I want for this touchdown angle. Will Wilson scored the Wolfpack’s lone touchdown, so Bailey faces competition for goal-line chances. I am backing his mobility in a matchup where I expect NC State to sustain more drives. I will take the even money here.

Bailey has 11 career rushing touchdowns: five in 2024 and six in 2025. He has scored in four of six career non-conference* games.

*NC State vs Virginia in 2025 was officially a non-conference game.

• Pick: CJ Bailey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100 at FanDuel)