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College Football Week 2 Weather Report – Wind, Rain & Temperature Impact

Ryan Potts

By Ryan Potts in College Football

Published:


Apr 15, 2023; Austin, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) on the sidelines during the second half of the Texas Spring Game at DKR- Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports
  • Ohio State and Texas will be a hot one – even with a late start
  • Oklahoma State might need thunderstorms to help the Cowboys pull an upset against Oregon
  • See below for my college football weather analysis and betting angles

For sharp bettors, analyzing depth charts and recent form is only half the battle. Mother Nature can be the ultimate wildcard on Saturday, September 12. She can turn high-flying, air-raid offenses into ground-and-pound slogs.

When unexpected wind or rain rolls into open-air stadiums, the elements swing totals, passing props, and betting lines in an instant. I am keeping a close watch on massive non-conference clashes, particularly the Ohio State Buckeyes at the Texas Longhorns and the Oregon Ducks visiting the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

College Football Weather Forecasts & Betting Impacts for Week 2

When preparing my betting slips, keeping an eye on the skies can help in finding closing line value. High winds, heavy rain, and extreme temperatures dictate play calling. This directly affects red-zone efficiency and third-down conversions.

Heat is the main concern in Texas, while thunderstorm chances put Stillwater, Blacksburg and Iowa City on my radar. The table below shows the Saturday forecast around each game window. All kickoff times are ET; temperatures are approximate and forecasts can change.

MatchupKickoff (ET)Game-window temperatureForecast
Wake Forest vs PurdueNoon75–80°FMostly sunny to partly sunny
South Florida vs ArmyNoon74–78°FSunny
Old Dominion vs Virginia TechNoon77–82°FThunderstorms possible around kickoff
Penn State vs TempleNoon79–83°FPartly sunny, improving through the afternoon
Oregon vs Oklahoma StateNoon85–92°FThunderstorms possible during the game
Arizona State vs Texas A&MNoon88–95°FMostly sunny and hot
Washington State vs Kansas StateNoon78–85°FMostly cloudy after morning storm chances
Ohio State vs Texas7:30 p.m.Upper 90s, cooling into the low 90sMostly sunny, then clear
Iowa State vs Iowa7:30 p.m.Upper 70s, cooling into the low 70sThunderstorms possible during the evening

I am giving temperature and storm timing more weight than blanket rain symbols. A morning shower that clears before kickoff has different implications from lightning or heavy rain during the second half.

Ohio State vs Texas Weather: Heat in Austin

The showdown in Austin is the focal point of the weekend. The Austin forecast puts Saturday’s high near 101°F. For the 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff, I expect temperatures in the upper 90s before cooling into the low 90s later in the game.

I see heat and defensive rotation as more relevant than a rain-driven Under here. Sustained drives could test depth as the game progresses, but temperature alone does not establish an edge on the spread or total. Arizona State vs Texas A&M also faces a hot game window, with temperatures climbing from the upper 80s into the mid-90s.

Oregon vs Oklahoma State Weather: Storm Timing

Up in Stillwater, Boone Pickens Stadium is another venue I am circling. Oregon historically thrives on offensive tempo, while Oklahoma State relies on execution in the trenches.

The Stillwater forecast starts near 85°F at noon ET, with temperatures rising and thunderstorm chances during the game window. I am watching the timing of any storms more closely than the daily rain icon. Heavy rain could affect ball handling and footing, while lightning could interrupt play; neither is a guaranteed outcome.

Blacksburg also has a thunderstorm chance around noon ET for Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech. In Manhattan, the stronger morning storm signal comes before Washington State vs Kansas State, with mostly cloudy conditions around kickoff.

Iowa State vs Iowa Weather: Evening Rain Risk

The Iowa City forecast includes a 55% daily precipitation chance and wind around 8 mph. The hourly outlook puts temperatures in the upper 70s near kickoff, cooling through the evening with intermittent thunderstorm chances. The daily rain percentage does not mean it will rain throughout the game.

Week 2 Weather-Based Betting Angles

I would need sustained wind or game-time rain to materially change my view of a total. A 15-mph wind is a useful point to investigate, not an automatic Under bet, and gusts matter differently from steady wind. Heat can also tire defenses rather than suppress scoring.

Weather can offer unique betting opportunities closer to kickoff or even during the game. Be prepared to pull the trigger on a key over or under as the weather comes into view.

Ryan Potts

Ryan Potts is a veteran football and baseball content creator. He was previously a credentialed NFL media member, covering the draft, combine, and Super Bowl. He has been featured on Atlanta sports talk radio and Arizona student radio. Ryan is a journalism graduate from the University of Arizona.

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