DET Lions vs BUF Bills Public-Betting Splits for TNF (Week 2)

• The Detroit Lions clash with the Buffalo Bills on Week 2 Thursday Night Football
• Both teams won Week 1 games scoring more than 30 points
• See where the public is putting their confidence and money on for this massive TNF tilt

The Detroit Lions are hitting the road for a highly anticipated primetime clash against the Buffalo Bills. This showdown kicks off on Thursday night at 8:15 PM ET/ 5:15 PM PT in the first regular season game ever played at the new Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, streaming nationally on Amazon Prime Video and TSN in Canada.

Heading into this tilt, Buffalo sits as the clear home favorite, leaving Detroit to embrace its role as pesky underdog. I am tracking a fascinating divide in the early market splits, with casual money and professional markers drawing distinct battle lines.

Before you check the latest NFL betting apps for the best numbers, see our preview of the Lions vs Bills game along with expert analysis.

Lions vs Bills Public Betting Splits

When I look at the NFL public betting splits, a massive tug-of-war on the point spread jumps off the screen. Casual bettors are happily taking the points with the road underdogs, hoarding 67 percent of the spread tickets. However, a hefty 71 percent of the actual handle backs the Bills to cover the -4.5 margin.

This massive discrepancy between ticket count and total handle presents a glaring sharp signal for the home team. Large, respected wagers are banking on a comfortable Buffalo victory, fading the popular underdog narrative.

The totals market tells a similarly lopsided story, but with a twist. The public is rushing the window for a low-scoring Under, backing it with 87 percent of the tickets. The Under still holds 66 percent of the cash, but there is a distinct sharp indicator hiding on the Over.

The Over drew just 13 percent of the wagers but commands a disproportionate 34 percent of the money. Contrarian bettors with deep pockets clearly expect a higher-scoring track than the general public. Meanwhile, the moneyline market remains a one-sided skirmish, with 91 percent of tickets backing the favored Bills to win outright.

Fade or Tail the Public: Betting Predictions for Thursday Night Football

When the public zig-zags against the sharp money in a standalone primetime game, I usually fade the casual consensus and side with the professionals.

The public loves Detroit at +4.5, but mathematical models project Buffalo to win this skirmish by a margin of 4.9 points. That model safely covers the current spread. The Bills’ offense is a highly efficient unit, churning out an impressive 36 points and 409 total yards vs Houston Week 1.

Driven by a relentless air raid offense which recorded 323 passing yards, Buffalo possesses the aerial firepower to outpace Detroit. If you want to ride with the sharp money on the spread, claim your BetMGM promo now to grab an advantageous line.

The public is even more exposed on the game total, where an astounding 87 percent of bettors are praying for a low-scoring Under. Fading this overwhelming bias on the Under 53.5 is my sharpest play on the board. For Lions vs Bills NFL player props picks, check out our latest angles.

Projections place the final score around a combined 54.6 points, comfortably clearing the current 53.5-point total. The underlying stats back up the potential for fireworks. Both squads own positive turnover differentials and consistently score. Detroit put 31 points and 369 total yards vs New Orleans in Week 1.

More importantly, the Lions boast elite red zone efficiency, converting a staggering 80.0 percent of their trips inside the 20-yard line into touchdowns vs the Saints. With two elite offenses trading blows, fading the heavy Under action provides a mathematically sound edge. Check the latest NFL odds to find the best total, take Buffalo to cover, and expect an offensive clinic. In addition, SBD has cooked up an exciting Lions vs Bills Same-Game Parlay.