Raiders vs Saints Anytime TD Picks & Player Props
By Jordan Tomiyama in NFL News
Published:
- The New Orleans Saints welcome the Las Vegas Raiders into the Superdome for this Week 3 matchup
- Who will put on a show? Tyler Shough or Kirk Cousins?
- Keep scrolling to see the best prop bets, latest odds, and picks for this tilt
Get hyped for a massive Sunday afternoon showdown as the Las Vegas Raiders hit the road to clash with the New Orleans Saints! Kickoff goes down at Caesars Superdome on September 27, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS. This non-conference battle is PACKED with offensive firepower, making it an absolute goldmine for NFL props.
New Orleans quarterback Tyler Shough is airing it out with 331 passing yards per game, feeding absolute targets like Chris Olave and Travis Etienne Jr. On the flip side, Kirk Cousins takes the bump under center for Las Vegas. He will lean on Ashton Jeanty to move the chains. Time to lock in some ACTION and find the absolute best betting value on the board!
Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints Player Props
The three two below set out (a) the main passing props for Raiders/Saints and (b) the rushing and receiving props for the skill-position players.
Passing Props and odds via Caesars Sportsbook
Tyler Shough has seen his passing yards total bump up from an opening of 249.5 to 252.5. This upward movement directly reflects New Orleans generating 383.5 total yards per game. Meanwhile, his pass completions line dropped slightly from 23.5 down to 22.5.
Over on the Las Vegas sideline, the passing expectations are slightly lower. Cousins watched his passing yards total slide from 213.5 to 211.5. Both quarterbacks carry passing touchdown totals of 1.5. Bettors looking for an edge should monitor NFL passing yards props right up until kickoff.
Odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook as of September 27, 2026, at 12:50 PM ET.
Rushing and Receiving Props
Notice the massive line movement regarding Alvin Kamara. His rushing yards plummeted from an opening of 32.5 down to 27.5, and his receptions dipped from 3.5 to 2.5. Las Vegas running back Ashton Jeanty experienced a very similar adjustment.
Jeanty saw his rushing total drop from 70.5 to 68.5, while his rushing attempts inched down from 18.5 to 17.5. For the pass catchers, Chris Olave holds steady at a massive 77.5 yards. Keep a close eye on these numbers over at the NFL receiving yards props page.
Touchdown Props and odds via BetMGM
Value hunters, pay attention! Checking alternative markets like Kalshi reveals incredible payouts for these NFL TD scorer odds. Ashton Jeanty holds the absolute shortest Anytime Touchdown price on the board at an enticing -116.
If you want to dial up a dinger with a massive payout, consider the First Touchdown market. Travis Etienne Jr brings heavy upside at +675 to strike first. Kamara’s First Touchdown odds drifted from +650 to a massive +1050, showing the market is shifting away from him early in games.
Odds provided by BetMGM as of September 27, 2026, at 12:54 PM ET.
Player Betting Trends
Ready to cash some tickets? Scroll down to check out the most actionable situational data for this matchup. These player trends are pure GOLD when analyzing the board.
- Kirk Cousins has exceeded 31.5 passing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games against the New Orleans Saints (33.2 passing attempts/game average).
- Ashton Jeanty has exceeded 17.5 rushing attempts in 3 of his last 4 games as an underdog (21.8 rushing attempts/game average).
- Travis Etienne Jr has exceeded 38.5 rushing yards in 15 of his last 20 games (62.2 rushing yards/game average).
- Alvin Kamara has failed to exceed 13.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 games (11.5 receiving yards/game average).
- Brock Bowers has exceeded 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 games as an underdog by fewer than 7 points (6.6 receptions/game average).
Top Prop Bets for Raiders vs Saints
Here are the BEST props to hammer for this matchup.
Travis Etienne Jr 40+ Rushing Yards (49¢ / +104 at Kalshi)
Backing Travis Etienne Jr to reach the 40-yard rushing milestone is anchored in remarkable week-to-week consistency. Over his last 20 regular-season games dating back to late 2024, Etienne has exceeded 38.5 rushing yards in 15 of those contests, averaging 62.2 rushing yards per game over that span. That 75% hit rate demonstrates that Etienne routinely reaches this baseline even in mixed game scripts.
The Saints’ offensive line continues to pave efficient running lanes, helping sustain extended drives with a 50.0% third-down conversion rate. They now face a Las Vegas defensive unit that has conceded an average of 100.5 rushing yards per game and over 4.0 yards per carry to start 2026, after allowing over 120 rushing yards per contest in 2025. Given Etienne’s established workload and high per-carry efficiency, clearing 40 rushing yards at +104 plus-money is an exceptionally strong value..
Michael Mayer Over 2.5 Receptions (46¢ / +117 at Kalshi)
Michael Mayer’s role in the Las Vegas passing attack has expanded significantly into a consistent secondary possession receiver. Over his last seven starts dating back through the tail end of the 2025 season, Mayer has recorded at least three receptions in six of those games, including performances with 3, 6, 3, 9, 3, and 3 catches. In 2026, he has drawn 11 targets across the first two weeks (7 vs. Miami and 4 vs the Chargers), securing nine receptions.
With defenses dedicating substantial coverage resources and bracket help toward slowing down Brock Bowers and the perimeter receivers, Mayer has emerged as Kirk Cousins’ favored short-to-intermediate outlet over the middle. Facing a New Orleans defense that allows over 220 passing yards per game and routinely yields high completion rates to tight ends in underneath zones, Mayer needs only standard offensive involvement to haul in three passes at generous +122 plus-money odds.
Ashton Jeanty Anytime Touchdown (49¢ / +104 at Kalshi)
Ashton Jeanty’s anytime touchdown appeal is fueled by a true bell-cow volume floor in the red zone. Through his first two games of the 2026 season, Jeanty has dominated backfield touches for Las Vegas, logging 23 carries against the Dolphins and 21 carries against the Chargers. Expanding to his last four games as an underdog dating back to 2025, Jeanty has carried the ball at least 18 times in three of them, averaging 21.8 rushing attempts per game.
That massive carry volume translates directly to unrivaled goal-line priority, as Jeanty handles virtually every high-leverage snap inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. With New Orleans having surrendered multiple rushing touchdowns over the first two weeks and ranking among the league’s more vulnerable red zone run defenses, Jeanty is virtually guaranteed multiple opportunities to cross the goal line, making plus-money odds (+104) on an anytime score a top-tier play!
Odds provided by Kalshi as of September 27, 2026, at 1:02 PM ET.
Raiders vs Saints Odds
- Spread: New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-102 at Bet365) | Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-115 at Bet365)
- Moneyline: New Orleans Saints -190 at Caesars Sportsbook | Las Vegas Raiders +155 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Total: 44.5 (O-105 / U-112 at BetMGM)
Odds provided by Bet365, BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook as of September 27, 2026, at 1:09 PM ET.
The New Orleans Saints enter this contest as 3.5-point home favorites, reflecting their positional advantage inside the Caesars Superdome. The moneyline prices New Orleans at -190, establishing them as the clear frontrunners to defend their home turf. Check out the latest NFL odds to track any late line movement.
Oddsmakers have set the game total at 44.5 points, with slight juice leaning toward the over at -105. This moderate total suggests expectations for a relatively balanced, efficient game script rather than a massive shootout.
Injury Report and Betting Impact
The most significant injury news centers around Las Vegas tight end Brock Bowers missing practice with a knee injury. His potential absence directly elevates Michael Mayer on the depth chart. With Bowers sidelined, Mayer projects to see a serious spike in target share.
On the defensive side, starting free safety Treydan Stukes did not practice. Isaiah Pola-Mao would step into the secondary against New Orleans. For the Saints, starting defensive tackle Nathan Shepherd was limited. If he cannot go, John Ridgeway III would see increased snaps.
Jordan has worked in sports media for the last seven years, writing articles, managing social media, and covering sporting events for various media outlets. Jordan's work focuses on NBA, WNBA, college basketball, and the NHL.
