The Three Best Player-Prop Picks for Rays/Guardians (Game 3)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Rays and Guardians meet in Game 3 of the ALCS on Thursday afternoon
- Jose Ramirez possesses immense playoff pedigree, creating value on his total bases props
- Check out the three best player-prop picks for Rays/Guardians Game 3, below
Following a gritty 3-1 victory by the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64, 43-38 away) in Game 2 to square the series at 1-1, the American League Championship Series shifts to Ohio as the Cleveland Guardians (85-77, 41-40 home) host Game 3 at Progressive Field. First pitch is slated for this afternoon at 1:00 PM ET, with the hometown Guardians installed as moderate -132 moneyline favorites in the MLB odds behind flame-throwing right-hander Gavin Williams.
This article dives deep into the most actionable MLB player props available. From pitching strikeouts to hitter bases, betting advice await those willing to shop for the best prices across various prediction markets. Keep reading for the three best player-prop picks for Rays/Guardians Game 3, below.
Hitter Props for Rays/Guardians Game 3
Note: Prices below are cents-per-contract from Kalshi. Use SBD’s Kalshi odds converter to see how these prices translate to American odds (e.g. 50 cents = +100 odds).
Pitcher Props for Tampa Bay/Cleveland Game 3
*Make sure to compare prices with the best prediction market apps.
Three Best Player-Prop Picks for Rays/Guardians Game 3
Finding betting value in a playoff environment featuring World Series odds contenders requires combining historical statistical profiles with hyper-specific performance trends. These three player props boast exceptionally high hit rates relative to their current market odds.
Pick 1: Gavin Williams Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+117 / 46¢ at Kalshi)
The Guardians right-hander acts as a dominant force when pitching in front of his home crowd at Progressive Field. Prediction markets like Kalshi currently offer the Yes contract at 46¢, presenting elite value that outpaces traditional sportsbooks. New users can sign up with the Kalshi promo code and score a bonus to use on today’s game.
Williams has gone over 6.5 strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances across all competitions, securing a staggering 90.9% hit rate. During that 11-game home stretch, he has compiled 111 punchouts—averaging 10.1 strikeouts per game and reaching double-digit strikeouts six separate times.
That dominance has carried straight into October, where Williams fanned 11 and 12 batters across two postseason home starts against the White Sox. During the 2026 regular season, he delivered a lethal 12.54 K/9 and an 8.33 strikeout average at home, including a 9-strikeout outing across 7.2 innings against Tampa Bay on April 29. With his strikeout arsenal firing at peak levels in Cleveland, Williams has a clear path to clear seven punchouts once again.
Pick 2: Jonny DeLuca 1+ Hits (-122 / 55% at Novig) – CLAIM SBD’S NOVIG PROMO CODE TODAY
Superstars usually command the most betting attention, but Tampa Bay outfielder Jonny DeLuca remains an absolute model of consistency when hitting away from Tropicana Field. DeLuca is 10-1 versus a total bases over/under of 0.5 across his last 11 starts, equating to an elite 90.9% success rate. Even better, he has recorded at least one base hit in seven straight road games, tallying 12 hits and 23 total bases in that span with four multi-hit efforts and two multi-home run games.
DeLuca enters Game 3 in blistering playoff form as well, having collected multiple hits in back-to-back ALCS contests against Cleveland after going 2-for-4 in both Game 1 and Game 2. Drawing an extra-base hit or sneaking a single through the infield clears the line, making the -122 price at Novig a tremendous bargain.
Pick 3: Jose Ramirez 2+ Total Bases (+163 / 38¢ at Kalshi)
Cleveland relies heavily on its franchise cornerstone when the lights shine brightest. Backing his total bases over acts as a direct investment in his established playoff pedigree. Jose Ramirez has cleared 1.5 total bases in four of his last six postseason games, batting .333 with two home runs, a triple, a double, and 18 total bases over that span (3.0 total bases per game).
Kalshi prices the Yes contract at 38¢ (+163 implied), creating significant edge relative to a hitter who routinely clears this line in high-leverage postseason environments. Ramirez already collected three hits for three total bases in Game 1 of this series and has hit safely in four of his last five playoff contests. When the Guardians need offense in October, Ramirez consistently steps up with multi-base production.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
