13 NFL Betting Trends for Week 7: Fading the Cowboys and Exploiting Cleveland’s Road Slump
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- The Week 7 NFL slate continues Sunday with plenty of actionable trends to help guide your betting picks
- I recommend fading heavy road favorites who haven’t shown they’re capable of consistently beating the spread
- See the top 13 NFL betting trends for Week 7, including why fading the Cowboys and Browns is a corect strategy
Week 7 of the NFL season is loaded with divisional clashes, primetime spectacles, and cross-conference battles. Before laying down your hard-earned cash, you need to cut through the noise and find where the value lies.
Navigating NFL odds requires more than just gut instinct. We are breaking down the strongest situational angles, utilizing NFL ATS records and deep-dive analytics. Whether you want to fade the NFL public betting or ride a proven hot streak, these actionable stats are your blueprint for Week 7. Keep reading for the top 13 NFL betting trends, including why fading the Cowboys and Browns is the correct strategy.
Best Week 7 NFL Betting Trends
Once again the Sunday slate starts across the pond. After multiple weeks in England, the scene shifts to France where the Steelers and Saints are set to do battle in Paris.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints
The Steelers are 3-1 ATS (75%) this season as a favorite.
The Steelers bring a methodical ground and pound approach to the Stade de France, boasting a positive turnover margin to control the game script. The Saints offer elite red zone efficiency, but their defensive schemes run hot and cold against disciplined opponents. The Steelers keep their possessions clean, making them a mathematically sound bet to cover the number.
Call to Action: Back the Steelers -3.5 (-102 via BetMGM) to keep their strong ATS record as favorites intact.
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) straight up at home after a win over their last 4 games.
The undefeated Vikings (5-0 SU) deploy an absolute buzzsaw of a defensive front at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Colts bring a turnover-prone air raid offense that has already coughed up the rock 11 times this season. If the Vikings keep jumping passing lanes and dominating the trenches, this matchup will get out of hand quickly.
Call to Action: Lay the points with the Vikings -6.5 at -107 (theScore Bet) to cash in on the Colts’ mistakes.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
The Dolphins are 4-1 (.800) straight up against opponents with a losing record over their last 5 games.
The Dolphins are barely moving the needle on the scoreboard, but they sustain drives with stellar third down conversions to control the clock. The Jets (2-4 SU) have absolutely fallen off a cliff inside the 20, wasting prime opportunities and failing to finish drives. Expect the Dolphins to wear down a struggling divisional rival.
Call to Action: Back the Dolphins on the moneyline at +187 (bet365) as a highly valuable underdog.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are just 1-4 ATS (20%) this season when playing as the betting favorite.
The Ravens find the end zone with ease but repeatedly fail to cover the chalk when laying points. The Bengals match their offensive output punch-for-punch on the scoreboard. With the Bengals extending drives on crucial downs, keeping this contest within the number is a high-probability outcome for bettors. Claim the BetMGM promo code to lock in this line.
Call to Action: Take the Bengals +1.5 at -108 (BetMGM) as the Ravens continue to burn public bettors.
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans
The Browns are an abysmal 3-16 (.158) straight up on the road over their last 19 games.
The Browns simply don’t show up whenever they travel away from home. Both offenses are sputtering, but the Titans boast a disruptive defensive front that severely limits the pocket presence of opposing quarterbacks. Home-field advantage is the definitive tiebreaker in this low-scoring grind.
Call to Action: Grab the Titans on the moneyline at +110 via BetMGM to exploit the Browns’ historical travel woes.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
The Under has hit in 100% (3-0) of the Panthers’ games this season when they are the favorite.
The Panthers look explosive on paper, yet their games as betting favorites consistently devolve into rock fights that fall short of the total. The Buccaneers are allergic to scoring inside the 20, managing under 20 points per game. This total is set too high for a divisional matchup destined to stall out. New users can claim the bet365 promo code and score a bonus to use on this game.
Call to Action: Lock in the Under 44.5 at -110 (bet365) before the number drops.
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
The 49ers are 8-2 (.800) straight up on the road against bottom 10 scoring defenses over their last 10 games.
The undefeated 49ers (6-0 SU) are a top Super Bowl 61 odds contender, lighting the lamp on nearly every red zone trip. The Falcons (2-6 SU against winning teams in their last 8) give the ball away at an alarming rate, making their leaky defensive schemes even more vulnerable. The 49ers will easily steamroll this mismatched unit.
Call to Action: Lay the -2.5 points with the 49ers at -119 (theScore Bet) to capitalize on a massive talent gap.
New York Giants at Houston Texans
The Under is 3-1 (75%) this season in games where the Texans are favored.
The Texans are heavily favored but struggle to cap off long drives with touchdowns due to mediocre red zone efficiency. The Giants are incredibly sloppy with the football, short-circuiting their own possessions with back-breaking turnovers. Points will be at a premium in this sluggish affair, perfectly aligning with historical trends.
Call to Action: Play the Under 42.5 at -107 (BetMGM) and bank on offensive stagnation.
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals
The Broncos are a perfect 3-0 ATS (100%) this season when favored.
The Broncos feature an unrelenting defense that creates havoc and routinely sets up short fields for their offense. The Cardinals (2-8 SU in their last 10 games) cannot find any rhythm, missing out on crucial scoring opportunities with a poor 47.8% red zone conversion rate. When oddsmakers trust the Broncos, they handle their business without breaking a sweat. Grab theScore promo code to tail this pick.
Call to Action: Lay the points with the Broncos -4.5 at -105 (theScore Bet) against a reeling Cardinals squad.
Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders are 4-1 ATS (80%) this season as an underdog.
The Rams move the chains effortlessly, but they frequently leave the backdoor wide open for opponents to cover. The Raiders embrace the underdog role, leveraging a positive turnover ratio to stay fiercely competitive. Catching a field goal with a home team this gritty is a bettor’s wildest dream.
Call to Action: Take the Raiders +3.5 at -107 (bet365) to secure valuable home points.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
The Lions are 6-2 (.750) straight up at home against top 10 scoring defenses over their last 8 games.
Ford Field has become an absolute fortress. The Lions deploy a relentless offensive attack that churns out 393.8 total yards per game, shredding even the stingiest secondary units. The Packers rely heavily on forcing interceptions, but matching the Lions’ sheer scoring volume is a massive hurdle they likely will not clear.
Call to Action: Back the Lions -3 at -118 (BetMGM) to protect their home turf in a divisional slugfest.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
The Cowboys are 1-3 ATS (25%) this season when favored.
The Cowboys consistently underwhelm when laying points, despite moving the sticks efficiently on third downs. The Eagles capitalize on their trips inside the 20 with ruthless efficiency, ensuring they maximize every scoring opportunity to keep the score tight. In a fierce rivalry environment, catching points with the home team is the smartest play.
Call to Action: Grab the Eagles +4 at -110 (theScore Bet) to fade an overvalued Cowboys roster.
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
The Chiefs are 14-5 (.737) straight up in primetime over their last 19 games.
NFL MVP odds contender Patrick Mahomes operates on an entirely different level under the lights, leading an offense that generates 414 total yards per game. The Seahawks struggle mightily to sustain drives, repeatedly flaming out on third down. A clean turnover sheet makes the Chiefs incredibly reliable when the whole world is watching.
Call to Action: Target the Chiefs on the moneyline at +123 (BetMGM) to close out your Sunday betting card.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
