Player Props & Touchdown Predictions for Falcons vs Bucs on Nov 1
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- The Falcons face the Bucs today in an NFC South clash loaded with player prop value
- Bijan Robinson is set up for major volume in the passing game, and is a good bet to find the endzone
- Keep reading for my favorite player props and touchdown predictions for Falcons vs Bucs on Nov 1
A crucial NFC South clash awaits as the Atlanta Falcons (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U) travel to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at Raymond James Stadium today. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET, broadcast live on FOX.
Key tactical angles for this divisional rivalry center on targeting underneath receiving volume against soft perimeter zones, backing mobile signal-callers when pockets break down, and leveraging durable head-to-head player splits.
With explosive backfield catalysts Bijan Robinson and Bucky Irving both projected to command heavy volume on the ground and through the air, bettors have an abundant board to exploit.
I’m bypassing any side or total play in the NFL odds, choosing to attack the props market instead. Keep reading for my favorite player props and touchdown predictions for Falcons vs Bucs on Nov 1.
Player Prop Picks for Falcons vs Bucs
Here are my top actionable NFL player props for Falcons vs Buccaneers in Week 8.
Prop Pick #1: Bij. Robinson Over 26.5 Rec. Yards (-115, BetMGM)
Generating explosive offense out of the backfield has been a durable staple of Bijan Robinson’s profile against this NFC South rival. Robinson has exceeded 28.5 receiving yards in each of his last three meetings with Tampa Bay, torching the Bucs for 82, 100, and 43 receiving yards while averaging a blistering 75 receiving yards per game over that span.
Tampa Bay allows 233.71 gross passing yards per matchup and 6.65 yards per attempt, frequently playing soft zone coverage that leaves huge cushions underneath.
With Michael Penix Jr attempting over 30 passes in three straight starts, Robinson serves as the primary checkdown weapon and should easily eclipse this modest 26.5-yard total on three to four targets alone. New users can score a bonus to use on this game by signing up with the BetMGM promo code.
Prop Pick #2: Mayfield Over 16.5 Rush Yards (-113, Novig)
When passing lanes collapse downfield, Baker Mayfield routinely uses his legs to keep drives alive. He has cleared 16.5 rushing yards in eight of his last 12 regular season contests, averaging 24.2 rushing yards per game across that span with multiple scrambles of 25+ yards in 2026 alone (30 yards in Week 1, 29 in Week 2). Before making any wager today, scan the prediction market apps to find the best price.
While Atlanta’s defense ranks stout on paper by surrendering just 88.9 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per attempt to opposing running backs, their aggressive perimeter rush opens wide scrambles through the B-gap. Facing constant second-level pressure, Mayfield will tuck and run multiple times on third down to cash this Over.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds for ATL vs TB
Touchdown Predictions for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay
Anytime TD Pick: Bij. Robinson (-178 / 64¢ at Kalshi)
My favorite anytime touchdown pick for this matchup is Bijan Robinson. Backing Robinson at 64¢ (-178 implied odds) to score an anytime touchdown is a premier wager on Sunday because of his immense high-leverage workload in an Atlanta offense that converts 66.7% of its red-zone trips into touchdowns.
Through seven games in 2026, Robinson has already scored five touchdowns (four rushing, one receiving) while dominating backfield volume with 131 carries, 704 rushing yards, and 25 receptions. He serves as the undisputed goal-line and red-zone focal point against a Tampa Bay defense surrendering 21.6 points per game and yielding over 110 rushing yards per contest on the ground.
Operating as both an explosive open-field runner and a safety valve on passing downs, Robinson commands multiple scoring opportunities per contest, giving this contract a significantly higher true probability of cashing than the 64% market price implies.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.