Monday NHL Player Props: Shots on Goal Picks & Best Bets (Nov. 9)

• Macklin Celebrini’s shots on goal prop leads Monday’s NHL player props card
• Leon Draisaitl had two goals and an assist in Edmonton’s 4-2 win over Vancouver on Saturday
• See my NHL prop picks, season stats and shots on goal leaders for November 9 below

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Monday’s NHL slate has a few strong spots for player props. I’m skipping the moneylines and puck lines today and focusing on individual numbers.

The New York Rangers visit the Edmonton Oilers at 8 pm ET, two days after Edmonton beat Vancouver 4-2. Draisaitl scored twice and added an assist in that win, while Connor McDavid set up three goals.

The Philadelphia Flyers visit the Canucks at 9:30pm ET, and the New York Islanders take on the San Jose Sharks at 10pm ET. Here are my NHL player props for Monday, starting with a shots on goal pick on Celebrini, who is in his third NHL season.

NHL Prop Picks

Odds as of November 9. Search for the best NHL betting sites and apps right here.

1. Macklin Celebrini Shots on Goal vs Islanders

• Pick: Macklin Celebrini Over 3.5 shots on goal (+120 at FanDuel)

Celebrini has 71 shots on goal through 17 games this season, which is just over four per night. That already puts him above tonight’s 3.5 line before you look at the matchup.

The matchup helps him too. He has cleared 3.5 shots on goal in three straight games against the Islanders and averaged 6.7 shots in those games. He has also gone over this total in seven of his last eight games after a loss, averaging 5.0 shots in those games.

New York allows 28.13 shots per game, so this isn’t a bet on the Sharks outshooting the Islanders. It’s a bet on how much of San Jose’s volume runs through one player. At +120, four shots pays better than even money.

2. Evan Bouchard Assists vs Rangers

• Pick: Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists (-178 at FanDuel)

Bouchard quarterbacks Edmonton’s power play, and his home numbers back this pick. He has an assist in seven of his last eight games at Rogers Place.

Tougher opponents haven’t slowed him down. He has a helper in 11 of his last 12 games against top-10 scoring defenses and has averaged 1.2 assists per game in that span.

The Rangers are a tougher matchup than most. They allow just 26.22 shots and 2.56 goals per game. Still, Bouchard has 21 assists this season, and Edmonton’s top players are coming off a big night against Vancouver. The -178 price is the shortest of my three NHL player props, so I want Bouchard on the top power play when the lineups come out.

3. Brock Boeser Points vs Flyers

• Pick: Brock Boeser Over 0.5 points (-146 at FanDuel)

To wrap up my NHL prop picks, I’m backing Boeser to get on the scoresheet. He has a point in six of his last seven games and is averaging 1.1 points per game in that stretch.

The Canucks are coming off Saturday’s 4-2 loss in Edmonton, and Boeser has produced in that spot. He has a point in 10 of his last 11 games after a loss.

Philadelphia allows 29.11 shots and 3.17 goals per game. I like Boeser for a point because either a goal or an assist wins the bet. At -146, he needs to find the scoresheet about 59% of the time to break even.

Season Stats for Tonight’s Top NHL Prop Targets

Player totals entering Monday’s games. FanDuel prop prices as of Sunday evening.

McDavid leads this group with 47 points, and 37 of them are assists. That makes him the first name to check when comparing points and assists markets. Draisaitl has 34 points, a team-high 16 goals in this group and 70 shots on net.

On the blue line, Bouchard has 31 points and 21 assists, while Adam Fox (22 points, 20 assists) drives the Rangers’ offense from the back end. Celebrini has 21 points and 71 shots, the most shots among the players listed with a shot total.

What Would Change These NHL Prop Picks?

The number matters most on Celebrini. Three shots lose an Over 3.5 bet, even if all three are good chances. I want the plus price for asking him to put four on net. If the line rises to 4.5, the same handicap asks him for an extra shot and I would pass at this price.

For Bouchard and Boeser, I’ll check special-teams usage before puck drop. A move off the first power-play unit would matter more to either play than a minor change on the third forward line. An assist for Bouchard or a point for Boeser can come in one man-advantage shift.