Flames vs Kings Prediction, Odds & Late NHL Picks

• I’ve made my Flames vs Kings prediction for Saturday’s late Pacific Division game in Los Angeles
• Two teams under .500 meet, and one moneyline price looks too long to me
• See below for my best bet, a lower-risk backup, and the full Flames vs Kings odds

The Calgary Flames and Los Angeles Kings close out Saturday’s NHL board with a 7 PM PT / 10 PM ET puck drop in Los Angeles. Neither club has found much traction so far this season.

Oddsmakers still have a strong opinion here. I think they’re giving the home side far too much credit for a building it hasn’t protected.

Here’s how I’m betting this late Pacific matchup, plus a safer route if you’d rather not sweat a one-goal loss.

Flames vs Kings Prediction

• Best Bet: Flames Moneyline (+145 at BetMGM)

Los Angeles is priced at -175, good for roughly a 63.6% implied chance to win. That’s a steep tag for a team that’s 2-7-0 at home this season. Calgary isn’t a road powerhouse either. The Flames are 2-5-1 away from home, so this isn’t a case of a hot visitor walking into a cold rink.

What I’m betting against is the size of the gap. Calgary sits at 8-10-1 with 17 points in 19 games. Los Angeles is 5-10-2 with twelve points in 17.

The Flames have allowed 66 goals, roughly 3.47 per game, while Los Angeles has given up 60, about 3.53 per game. Neither blueline is keeping the puck out of its own net.

Calgary carries a 39.1% win probability. At +145, the Flames only need to win more than 40.8% of the time to turn a profit.

Two struggling teams with nearly identical goals-against rates should be closer than that. I’ll take the plus money on the road dog.

Flames vs Kings Puck Line Pick: Calgary +1.5

• Insurance: Flames +1.5 (-167 at BetMGM)

This isn’t a second best bet. It’s the same read on Calgary with a cushion attached, and you pay for that cushion.

The puck line at -167 implies a 62.5% probability. A $10 bet returns about $5.99 in profit, compared to $14.50 on the moneyline.

The difference comes down to a one-goal Calgary loss. That result pays on +1.5, but it is the only result that turns a losing moneyline bet into a winning puck-line ticket.

How the Flames Bet Wins or Loses

Here’s how each result plays out for my Flames vs Kings picks:

• Calgary wins in regulation, overtime or a shootout: The moneyline and +1.5 both cash.
• Calgary loses in overtime or a shootout: The moneyline loses, but +1.5 still pays.
• Los Angeles wins by one in regulation: Same split. The moneyline loses and +1.5 cashes.
• Los Angeles wins by two or more: Both tickets lose.

Watch the final two minutes closely. If the Kings lead by one and Calgary pulls its goalie, a single empty-net goal turns the puck line from a winner into a loser.

The other danger is a slow start. Calgary has only won twice on the road, and falling behind early in Los Angeles would put that record to the test.

Flames vs Kings Odds

Odds via BetMGM as of 5:34 p.m. ET on Nov. 13; subject to change. Compare the current NHL odds before puck drop.

The Kings’ -1.5 puck line sits at +135, which translates to about a 42.6% chance of a multi-goal home win. That’s the price you’d need to believe in to side with Los Angeles at a plus number.

The total is set at 6, with the under shaded to -115. Calgary has allowed 66 goals in 19 games and Los Angeles has allowed 60 in 17, so neither defense gives me a strong reason to lean under.

Flames vs Kings Game Info

Calgary visits Los Angeles on Saturday night, with puck drop set for 7 PM PT / 10 PM ET. Starting goalies and injury updates haven’t been confirmed, so check the latest news before you lock in your Flames vs Kings bet.