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Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Aug 3, 2023 · 3:05 PM PDT

Nate Diaz
Jun 12, 2021; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Nate Diaz during UFC 263 at Gila River Arena. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
  • Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz goes Saturday, August 5th at 8 PM EST
  • Paul is a favorite in this weekend’s crossover clash
  • Check out the Paul vs Diaz odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz goes down at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, and broadcasts on DAZN pay-per-view. The former is favored over the latter in the Paul vs Diaz betting odds, priced at -390.

Let’s analyze the Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz odds as we provide our best bet for this bout.

Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Odds

Fighter Odds
Jake Paul -390
Nate Diaz +280

Paul is a favorite in the boxing odds at -390, meaning the boxer has a 79.6% implied win probability.

This cruiserweight contest matches up two of the more polarizing pugilists out there today.



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Odds as of August 1st at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Paul vs Diaz.

Jake Paul’s Betting Outlook vs Diaz

Paul aims to rebound from the first defeat in his combat sports endeavors.

‘The Problem Child’ is aiming to do what Conor McGregor couldn’t do and that’s knock out Nathan Diaz.


Following that aforementioned loss, the YouTuber/ former Disney star continues his boxing efforts with a familiar matchup style with an undersized MMA fighter.

Paul steps into the ring for his ninth bout overall across amateur and pro seemingly more motivated than ever.

 Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Recent Fights

Tommy Fury, loss via SD Fight 1 Tony Ferguson, win via submission (MMA)
Anderson Silva, win via UD Fight 2 Leon Edwards, loss via UD (MMA)
Tyron Woodley, win via KO Fight 3 Jorge Masvidal, loss via doctor’s stoppage (MMA)
Tyron Woodley, win via SD Fight 4 Anthony Pettis, win via UD (MMA)


The boxing disruptor is also navigating an MMA debut under the PFL banner and it seems to be an intriguing time for Paul. The times are intriguing for Diaz as well, albeit for different reasons, as he is now navigating free agency following a 15-plus year UFC tenure.

Nate Diaz’s Betting Outlook vs Paul

Diaz readies to make his pro boxing debut here after a lengthy tenure with the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The former UFC lightweight title challenger and TUF season 5 champion is known for training with decorated light heavyweight champion Andre Ward during his prime years and the Stockton native was praised for his abilities by the hall of famer.

YouTube video

Both have the same reach but the physiques are very different. Diaz normally fights at 170 or 155 lbs while Paul more normatively fights at 185 or 190 pounds.

The youth advantage is also in the favor of Paul who has far less mileage than Diaz. Although that can also be interpreted as an experience deficit by some.

Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Tale of the Tape

6-1 Record 0-0
4 Knockouts 0
6’1 Height 6’0
76″ Reach 76″
Orthodox  Stance Southpaw

Paul vs Diaz Prediction

This prizefight is scheduled for ten rounds, and some gamesmanship led to things being charged here. After some attempted posturing from Paul, Diaz bit on changing this eight-rounder to ten frames and this will officially be the longest bout of Paul’s career.

Diaz’s infamous cardio in a longer bout is an intriguing prospect to any long-time combat sports fan, and I think plays a difference here. Nate Diaz has notched some significant upsets before, and I foresee him doing the same, especially showing out in the later rounds this Saturday night.

Pick: Nate Diaz (+280)


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