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Manny Pacquiao vs Yordenis Ugas Best Prop Bets

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Aug 19, 2021 · 10:55 AM PDT

Manny Pacquiao vs Yordenis Ugas Best Prop Bets
Manny Pacquiao, left, of the Philippines, and Yordenis Ugas, of Cuba, pose for photographers during a news conference Wednesday, Aug. 18, 2021, in Las Vegas. The two are scheduled to fight in a welterweight championship bout Saturday in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
  • Manny Pacquiao vs Yordenis Ugas goes down on Saturday, August 21st, 2021 at 9 PM EST
  • What are the best prop bets for this welterweight war?
  • Check out the fight odds, analysis, and predictions below

Manny Pacquiao vs Yordenis Ugas Props has been popping up ahead of this weekend’s pugilistic proceedings. This clash of WBA welterweight titleholders is accruing attention, and oddsmakers are taking notice.

There are a few of these bets that do in fact present good value in this PBC Fox Sports pay-per-view affair.

Pacquiao vs Ugas Props – Goes the Distance Odds

Goes the Distance Odds at DraftKings
Yes -195
No +140

Odds as of August 19th

Strategic Approach from Both Boxers

Will the judges’ scorecards play a role in the outcome of this one? A worthy question to posit as we head into Saturday night’s pugilistic proceedings.

The stylistic proclivities of both men are usually mindful of a strategic approach that lends itself well over the entirety of the bout’s duration generally.

More than half of Ugas’ career wins have seen him go the distance will Pacquiao has had 23 of 62 career victories via points/ decision.

An important bit of context to note is that the majority of Manny Pacquiao’s stoppages occurred when he fought in smaller weight categories. His KO rate certainly subsided, and different in-ring considerations began to be integrated into his style as he got closer to that welterweight territory.

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Regardless of which combatant you favor in this fight, the likelihood of this bout going the full twelve rounds is quite likely.

With the confluence of Pacquiao’s general methodology at 147 pounds and the stoppage rate of Ugas, I see this one going the distance.

Pick: Yes (-195)

Winning Method Odds

Outcome Odds
Pacquiao by Decision or Technical Decision +110
Pacquiao by KO or TKO +175
Draw +2000
Ugas by Decision or Technical Decision +400
Ugas by KO or TKO +1000

Pacquiao by Decision

Manny Pacquiao’s blinding speed and volume heavy approach has guided him well towards championships from 112 pounds up to 154 pounds.

He has a certain level of transferrable power across a remarkable eight weight categories. But it’s more of a put you on the seat of your pants, get a knockdown kind of thing. Rather than earth-shattering, one-shot KO power in the higher weight divisions.

The 46 percent finishing rate of Ugas offers insights into why the WBA Regular champion winning via stoppage is at +1000.

I see a scenario unfolding whereby the scores get read aloud, and Manny Pacquiao’s hand gets raised in victory thereafter.

Pick: Pacquiao by Decision or Technical Decision (+110)

Round Betting Odds

Round Pacquiao Odds Ugas Odds
Round 1 +6500 +10000
Round 2 +5000 +10000
Round 3 +3500 +10000
Round 4 +2200 +8000
Round 5 +1800 +6500
Round 6 +1600 +6500
Round 7 +1400 +6500
Round 8 +1400 +6500
Round 9 +1600 +6500
Round 10 +1800 +8000
Round 11 +2200 +10000
Round 12 +2800 +10000

Pacquiao’s Unbearable Onslaught

The mid-rounds are the favorable range if you’re inclined to go with either warrior winning via some form of stoppage.

The early rounds will be more oriented to feeling things out and collecting intel on the opponent. Conversely, the later rounds aren’t as likely because both of these combatants will be tactful and play a game of kinetic chess that’s considerate of scoring points in those closing frames.

Ugas is a sharp, game competitor who has the pacing ability to sustain his effort through championship rounds. The mid-30’s sweet science practitioner has age on his side to keep up this pace as he enters the ring with a seemingly sharp Pacquiao but a man who is turning 43 in December all the same.

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I’m bullish on the round betting because as mentioned I do see this one encroaching to that final bell.

Ultimately though if you were to go with a specific round/ victor, I would say Manny Pacquaio via volume-heavy TKO in either the seventh or eighth frame.

Pick: Manny Pacquiao round 7-8 (+1400)

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