Pacheco vs. Aleem Predictions, Odds & Best Bets – Expert Picks

• Diego Pacheco looks to take another step toward gold when he takes on former title challenger Immanuwel Aleem
• The undefeated Pacheco enters the fight as a massive 20-1 favorite
• Check out the best analysis, predictions and bets for the full Pacheco vs. Aleem card below

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Although he remains outside the current super middleweight title picture, Diego Pacheco (25-0) can take another step toward that goal with a win over Immanuwel Aleem (22-4-3) on Saturday night.

The public remains high on the 25-year-old Pacheco despite a late scare in his last win over Kevin Lele Sadjo. After dominating nearly the entire fight, Pacheco seemingly fatigued late and was knocked down and nearly upset in the final rounds. The Mexican-American still managed to win the WBC Silver super middleweight title and retain the WBO International super middleweight belt on the scorecards.

Following the near-upset, Pacheco faces a similar opponent in the 32-year-old Aleem, who enters the matchup off a competitive vacant title fight with WBC interim 168-pound titleholder Lester Martinez. Aleem was also a massive underdog in that championship bout, but he managed to hurt and stun Martinez on multiple occasions in the championship rounds.

Diego Pacheco vs. Immanuwel Aleem Fight Card Odds

Odds as of July 18, 2026, on Bet365 Sportsbook. Check out the best boxing betting apps in 2026 to place a wager.

Unsurprisingly, all three featured fighters are monstrous favorites in the event’s trio of headlining bouts. While Pacheco is priced at a whopping -2000, he is not the biggest favorite on the card. That honor goes to former Olympic gold medalist Andy Cruz, who is lined at -5000 to return to the win column against Abraham Montoya in the co-main event.

California prospect Albert ‘Chop Chop’ Gonzalez is the third gigantic favorite, listed at -1400 against Aaron Lopez Alameda in the antepenultimate bout. The 24-year-old is taking a significant step up in competition against Alameda, who has gone the distance with former champions Angelo Leo and Luis Nery.

Diego Pacheco vs. Immanuwel Aleem Prediction

• Diego Pacheco by decision (+105 on Bet365)

Diego Pacheco is in for a substantially more challenging fight than the oddsmakers are giving credit to. While Aleem has a clear cap to his career, he is easily the most accomplished fighter Pacheco will share the ring with and more than proved his championship grit in his last outing.

Pacheco is still the more talented fighter with more tools in his bag, especially from the outside. His lanky frame will once again be a massive issue for Aleem, giving the 25-year-old a seven-inch height and nine-inch reach advantage. Pacheco has already mastered the ability to maximize every inch of his reach to disrupt opponents’ rhythm, especially early in fights, which allows him to bank early rounds in bulk.

Diego Pacheco carries POWER 💥

He looks to edge closer to world titles when he faces Immanuwel Aleem this Saturday on DAZN 📺 pic.twitter.com/H2r85ZpCLb

— Ring Magazine (@ringmagazine) July 16, 2026

But for as many advantages as Pacheco has, he will be forced to use them for all 36 minutes. Aleem lacks the footwork to deal with a bigger fighter like Pacheco, yet he will not stop applying pressure and looking to land his big right hand. Aleem will switch stances all fight and rely on his chin to walk through power shots to get past the youngster’s length.

The biggest key for Aleem will be his cardio, which remains supremely underrated for his physique and style. He was the fresher fighter late in his title fight against Martinez, allowing him to hurt the champion on more than a few occasions once he found his timing. Pacheco showed in his last fight with Sadjo that constant movement and volume can wear on him late.

Aside from the Sadjo fight, cardio has not been a huge concern for Pacheco throughout his career. However, if he lets Aleem land the same shots that Sadjo did, it could be a rough night for the Californian. Pacheco should win enough early rounds to still win the fight on the scorecards, but we are taking a small sprinkle on the underdog.

Andy Cruz vs. Abraham Montoya Prediction

• Andy Cruz by KO/TKO (-136 on Bet365)

Andy Cruz is the biggest favorite of the card for a reason. Despite coming off a loss to Raymond Muratalla, he remains widely viewed as a future champion. He also gets the benefit of facing a tough but beatable veteran stepping in on less than three weeks’ notice after losing his initial opponent.

Montoya is experienced, but Cruz is the better boxer in every aspect. The Cuban is faster, with better footwork and defense, and is gifted with a throwaway opponent whose only purpose is to get him back on track.

Andy Cruz looks to put on a show on his ring return 🇨🇺🥇 #PachecoAleem | July 18 | Live on DAZN ▪️ pic.twitter.com/lJBCtjRRBu

— DAZN Boxing (@DAZNBoxing) July 7, 2026

Montoya will face a massive speed disadvantage, which could very well lead to Cruz shutting his lights out. Cruz is not a massive power puncher, owning just three knockouts in seven professional fights, but the skill and speed gap will be vast. While Montoya has yet to be knocked out in 32 professional fights, he has not faced anyone nearly as talented as Cruz.

The lack of preparation time for Cruz would be concerning if Montoya posed any threat to his status atop the lightweight division. But aside from experience, Montoya, who is just 3-5 in his last eight fights, has nothing the 30-year-old has not seen countless times before. With the Mexican stepping into this fight on short notice just three months after his last fight, a hard-fought split decision win, this one should not be overthought.

Albert Gonzalez vs. Aaron Alameda Prediction

• Albert Gonzalez by decision (-125 on Bet365)

On paper, Aaron Lopez Alameda is a big step up for the 24-year-old Albert Gonzalez, who has yet to face anyone of name value. Alameda has only lost three fights — two against a pair of champions and one to up-and-coming undefeated prospect Yan Santana.

On the other hand, Alameda has no credible wins on his 31-3 record. The southpaw has never beaten anyone with 10 or more victories and an 80 percent win rate. He is also just 2-3 when fighting outside of Mexico. Beating Gonzalez would be the biggest win of his career by a country mile.

Chopping his way to the top 🪓

Watch Albert "Chop Chop" Gonzalez's Spotlight episode now on @DAZNBoxing 🔥 pic.twitter.com/pS73Ll5jQY

— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) July 15, 2026

Everything is slanted toward Gonzalez to continue his hot streak in California. The Riverside native enters this fight on a three-fight knockout streak and would undoubtedly shoot himself up the 126-pound rankings with another stoppage victory.

However, stopping Alameda will be much easier said than done. The 32-year-old has never even been knocked down in his 34-fight career, including going the distance with IBF featherweight champion Angelo Leo and former WBC super bantamweight champion Luis Nery. Gonzalez becoming the first to knock out Alameda would be a huge feather in his cap, but unlikely for a fighter with a mediocre 59 percent knockout rate.