Kentucky vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds on Feb 15

• The unranked Texas Longhorns are 2.5-point home favorites over the #15 Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday
• Kentucky will be without starting guards Jaxson Robinson and Lamont Butler
• Check out the Kentucky vs Texas prediction, picks, and odds below

When it comes to college basketball right now, there’s the SEC and then there’s everyone else. The powerhouse conference has nine teams on pace to be March Madness locks, with four other serious contenders. One of those on the bubble is Texas (15-10, 4-8 SEC), and the Longhorns will look to strengthen their tourney resume with a win over #15 Kentucky (17-7, 6-5 SEC) on Saturday. Online sportsbooks like their chances, pegging Texas as home chalk in the college basketball odds. Tip-off for this SEC showdown is scheduled for 8:00 pm ET from the Moody Center, in Austin, TX, with ESPN providing the broadcast coverage.

Kentucky vs Texas Odds

Texas is currently favored by 2.5-points in a contest with a total of 158.5. The spread has moved a point in Texas’ favor per the college basketball public betting trends, while the total has stood pat. Texas is listed at -130 on the moneyline, with Kentucky coming back as +110 underdogs.

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Kentucky vs Texas Injury Report

The Wildcats injury report is a big reason why money is coming in on the Longhorns. Kentucky will be without starting guards Lamont Butler (shoulder) and Jaxson Robinson (wrist). The ladder sat out the Wildcats upset win over Tennessee last time out, while Butler reaggravated his shoulder issue that caused him to miss three of the previous four games.

Robinson, a BYU transfer, is the team’s second leading scorer this season. He’s averaging 13 points a game, while shooting 38.1% form three. Butler is the team’s primary ball handler, leading them in assists per game (4.6), while ranking third in scoring. The senior is arguably the team’s best defender as well, and it’s not surprising the Wildcats defense had shown signs of improvement upon his return.

Texas meanwhile, is dealing with injuries of its own. The biggest is to second leading scorer Arthur Kaluma, who’s listed as doubtful. Kaluma averages 13 points and 8 boards per night, shooting 48% from the field, and 39.7% from three.

Kentucky vs Texas Prediction & Pick

• Kentucky Moneyline (+110) at BetMGM

The injuries to Robinson and Butler are painful, but they’re not crippling. With Robinson out on Tuesday, Kentucky still shot 50% from the field and 50% from three versus the Volunteers top-five ranked defense. They have an abundance of offensive depth, and feature four other players who average in double-figures.

Even when Butler went down versus Tennessee, the offense didn’t sputter. They outscored the Vols 21-12 in the aftermath, and enter play ranked third in the nation in offensive efficiency. They’re a top-11 March Madness odds contender, and project as a 3-seed in the NCAA tournament.

The concern is always the defense, but it has looked significantly better over the last week. They held South Carolina to 57 points last Saturday, and then Tennessee to 64 points, on 42% shooting. The matchup against the Longhorns isn’t imposing, especially in Texas’ end.

The Longhorns rank 52nd in defensive efficiency, and middle of the pack in scoring defense in the SEC. Texas has lost eight of 12 games in 2025, and is fresh off a humiliating 23-point home loss to #2 Alabama. The Tide put up 103 points in that outing, handing the Longhorns a third loss in a row.

Texas now ranks 48th in strength of record, and is just 6-10 straight up versus top-100 competition. Projected lottery pick Tre Johnson and his 19 points a night are a luxury, but with Kaluma likely out, the offense falls off a cliff behind him. Only one other Longhorn averages double-digit points per night. That simply isn’t enough scoring to keep up the Kentucky flame throwers.