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Mount Saint Mary’s vs American Predictions & Betting Odds – First Four

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in College Basketball

Published:


Mount Saint Mary's vs American
Nov 15, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; American University Eagles forward Matt Rogers (15) with the ball as North Carolina Tar Heels forward Ven-Allen Lubin (22) defends in the first half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images
  • Mount Saint Mary’s takes on American in NCAA Tournament First Four action on Wednesday
  • Mount Saint Mary’s is 6-0 ATS in its last six games
  • Dive in to all the Mount Saint Mary’s vs American Betting predictions, picks, and odds

The Mount Saint Mary’s Mountaineers (21-12 ATS) aim to lock up an NCAA Tournament spot when they meet the American Eagles (16-15 ATS) in Dayton, Ohio, on Wednesday (6:40 pm ET). Both teams earned their status by winning their conference tournaments and face off for a chance to play No. 1 Duke in the round of 64 on Friday. The Mountaineers have won five of their last six games while covering the spread in all six contests. American also finished the regular season on a 5-1 SU run. Bettors can watch Mount Saint Mary’s vs American on truTV. Until then, check out my betting predictions and all the odds below.

Mount Saint Mary’s vs American Prediction

Mount Saint Mary’s is on a roll. Winners of nine of their last 11 games, the Mountaineers finished the regular season a perfect 3-0 ATS in neutral site games. Crucially, Mount Saint Mary’s went 14-5 ATS (73.7%) as an underdog.

The Mountaineers have rewarded bettors lately, going 6-0 ATS in their last six contests as they swept through the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament.

The low total of 129.5 points to this Mount Saint Mary’s vs American First Four contest being a grind-it-out game. I’m backing the underdog Mountaineers to come out on top against an American offense that averaged just 67.6 points per game this season – good for 308th in the country.

Pick: Mount Saint Mary’s +2.5 (-112) at DraftKings

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American vs Public Betting Splits

Bet TypeMSMAMER
Spread48%52%
Moneyline31%69%
Over/Under75%25%

An hour from tip-off, the public is siding the with favorite to win outright, putting 69% of moneyline handle on American as a -148 bet. American is also getting the majority of ATS handle but the margin is extremely thin: 52% to 48%.

The public’s strongest take on the game is the total, where over 129.5 has attracted 75% of game-total handle.

See SBD’s March Madness public betting splits page for the latest numbers.

Mount Saint Mary’s will be looking for their second NCAA Tournament win on Wednesday. The Mountaineers previously won a First Four contest back in 2017.

Mount Saint Mary’s is dominating against the spread this season, as their 21-12 ATS record puts the Mountaineers in the top-20 of Division 1 basketball. Importantly, the Mountaineers thrive as underdogs. When catching 2.5-points or more, they’ve gone 10-5 ATS.

YouTube video

The Mountaineers have carried a ton of momentum through the MAAC tournament, turning in multiple upsets after finishing the regular season just 12-8 in conference play. Their strong defense has kept totals relatively low as the under has hit in five straight Mount Saint Mary’s games, and eight of their last 10.

The American Eagles will aim to dictate the pace of this First Four contest. Per KenPom, American ranks 349th in adjusted tempo in the country. The Eagles will slow the pace down and make the most of every offensive opportunity. The Eagles’ deliberate offensive style often keeps point totals in the 120s. As such, the under is 5-1 in American’s last six games.

The Eagles will be forced to find good first-chance looks in order to be successful, as they are one of the worst rebounding teams in the country. They gather just 29.9 rebounds per game, and their failure to crash the glass could prove costly on Wednesday.

YouTube video

Additionally, the Eagles finished the year just 16-15 ATS. However, American has covered in three of its last four games during their Patriot League tournament title run. Duane Simpkin’s squad is riding a four-game winning streak and has won eight of its last ten contests heading into the First Four.

It’s important to note, American was favored by 2.5 or more in 12 games this season, and finished just 4-8 ATS in those matchups.

Mount Saint Mary’s vs American Odds

Bet TypeMount Saint Mary’sAmerican
Spread+2.5 (-112)-2.5 (-108)
Moneyline+124-148
TotalO 129.5 (-105)U 129.5 (-115)

American is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest college basketball odds. The Eagles are -148 on the moneyline favorites at DraftKings with the Mountaineers coming back at +124. The game total, as mentioned, is 129.5 with the under slightly favored at -115.

Odds as of March 18th, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your college basketball betting action.

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Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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