Final Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Latest Odds (Oct. 24)
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Published:
- Ole Miss brings a red-hot offense and a 5-1 record into Austin to face Texas
- Texas returns home needing a win to snap a two-game skid
- Read below for my final Ole Miss vs Texas prediction, picks and latest odds for Oct. 24
No. 7 Ole Miss visits No. 19 Texas tonight with kickoff at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Ole Miss arrives with a 5-1 record after steamrolling Vanderbilt and Missouri in consecutive weeks. Texas returns to Austin at 4-2, needing a victory to salvage its momentum after narrow losses to Oklahoma and Florida, both by identical 27-24 scores.
My final Ole Miss vs Texas prediction favors the visitors to cover, with the Rebels’ pass protection central to that case. Compare markets across the top college football betting apps before kickoff.
Final Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction
Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction: Ole Miss +3.5 and Over 53.5
My final Ole Miss vs Texas prediction hinges on the offensive volume the Rebels bring to the table. Ole Miss is churning out 444.5 total yards and 37.5 points per game, outpacing the Longhorns’ 361.3 yards and 30.2 points per game.
The Texas defense is the important counterweight, allowing just 17.8 points and 272.5 yards per game. Ole Miss has been more generous, surrendering 23.8 points and 390 yards per game, which gives the Longhorns a real opportunity to answer on the scoreboard.
Texas has 19 defensive sacks, but its own pass protection has caused them to tumble down the National Championship odds board. The Longhorns have surrendered 17 sacks and coughed up eight turnovers, resulting in a -3 turnover margin.
The Ole Miss vs Texas quarterback matchup features Heisman Trophy odds candidate Trinidad Chambliss, throwing for 1,676 yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions through six starts. His offensive line has allowed just five sacks, or 0.83 per game, the best mark in the SEC and 10th nationally.
On the Texas sideline, Arch Manning has thrown for 1,295 yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, but his protection has been a problem. The 17 sacks Texas has absorbed have disrupted its passing attack and frequently stalled crucial drives.
Ole Miss vs Texas Stats
Ole Miss holds the edge in offensive output and pass protection, while Texas owns the stingier defense. If the Longhorns’ pass rush fails to reach Chambliss, Texas will struggle to match pace with an offense built to control field position.
Final Ole Miss vs Texas Picks
My Ole Miss vs Texas picks back the Rebels catching points and a total that leans on both offenses finding the end zone. Each recommendation is priced on Polymarket using current live buy prices. New users can claim the Polymarket bonus code and get a bonus to use on this game.
Ole Miss vs Texas ATS Prediction
- Pick: Ole Miss +3.5 (54¢ on Polymarket)
Polymarket prices Ole Miss to cover the +3.5 spread at 54¢. That implies a 54% chance before fees, roughly equivalent to -117 in American odds, for a team trending in the right direction.
The Rebels add a ground-and-pound element, with Kewan Lacy averaging 5.7 yards per carry. With Texas dropping two straight and carrying a negative turnover differential, trusting the Longhorns to cover against a surging top-10 team is a big ask.
Ole Miss vs Texas O/U Prediction
- Pick: Over 53.5 (51¢ on Polymarket)
We are also targeting the Over, with Polymarket pricing Over 53.5 at 51¢. The case starts with an Ole Miss offense averaging 37.5 points per game and protecting its quarterback better than anyone in the SEC.
Texas should find opportunities of its own against an Ole Miss defense allowing 23.8 points and 390 yards per game. Ole Miss receiver Deuce Alexander (523 receiving yards, five touchdowns) and Texas receiver Ryan Wingo (345 yards, three touchdowns) give this matchup big-play potential on the perimeter.
A close game that comes down to late possessions also supports the Over. Neither side should be able to sit on a lead, which keeps both offenses aggressive into the fourth quarter.
Ole Miss vs Texas Latest Odds
The Ole Miss vs Texas college football odds on Polymarket are priced in cents, reflecting the implied probability of each outcome. Texas is a modest favorite on the moneyline, while the spread and total sit close to even.
Odds via Polymarket as of October 23.
Texas is a 59¢ favorite to win outright, but the market makes Ole Miss slightly better than a coin flip to cover +3.5 at 54¢. The total is nearly a pick’em, with the Over at 51¢ and the Under at 50¢. Before making any wager today, scan the prediction market apps to find the best lines.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
