Friday College Football Player Props: Week 11 Best Prop Bets (Nov. 13)
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Published:
- Friday’s Week 11 slate features three conference games, including No. 4 UCLA hosting Illinois
- Team efficiency numbers and likely game scripts shape every pick on my Friday card
- See my favorite Friday college football player props, including the Week 11 best prop bets, below
Friday night’s college football slate comes with real conference stakes. Florida State visits Pittsburgh at 7 p.m. ET, Illinois takes on undefeated, fourth-ranked UCLA at 9:05 p.m. ET, and 14th-ranked Houston closes the night at Colorado at 10:15 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh, UCLA and Houston all enter as favorites in the college football odds. That shapes the game scripts behind these Friday college football player props, from run-heavy plans for the favorites to extra passing volume for teams playing from behind.
I picked one prop for every team on the card. The full table comes first, followed by my three strongest plays. Keep reading for my favorite Friday college football player props, including the Week 11 best prop bets, below.
Friday College Football Player Props
BetMGM prices as of 12:48 am ET on Nov. 13. Claim the BetMGM promo code to get in on the action.
Only one posted line matches my target exactly: 75 or more yards for Damon Ferguson Jr. pays on the same result as over 74.5. The other five prices are for different thresholds. For example, Hughes can run for 70 yards and clear my target without winning the 75-yard bet. Use the table to compare them before deciding what to play.
Track every market on our college football player props page.
Week 11 College Football Best Prop Bets
Pick 1: Makhi Hughes Over 63.5 Rushing Yards
- Target: Makhi Hughes over 63.5 rushing yards. Available: 75+ rushing yards (-105 at BetMGM).
Houston brings the most productive offense on this slate, averaging 35.4 points and 470.2 total yards per game. The Cougars have 1,869 rushing yards this season and convert 59.3% of their third downs.
Sustained drives mean more carries to go around, and a road favorite tends to lean on the run late. If Houston controls the clock in Boulder, Makhi Hughes has a clear path past 63.5 yards.
Pick 2: Wayne Knight Over 82.5 Rushing Yards
- Target: Wayne Knight over 82.5 rushing yards. Available: 75+ rushing yards (-208 at BetMGM).
Wayne Knight leads UCLA with 789 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns on 128 carries. The unbeaten Bruins score 33.6 points per game and have racked up 1,919 rushing yards as a team.
The National Championship odds contender’s +14 turnover margin also creates extra possessions and short fields. As the home favorite, the Bruins should keep feeding Knight against an Illinois defense with 11 sacks and three interceptions.
Pick 3: Damon Ferguson Jr. Over 74.5 Rushing Yards
- Damon Ferguson Jr. over 74.5 rushing yards (-182 at BetMGM)
Damon Ferguson Jr. comes off a 185-yard performance against Georgia Tech, and Pittsburgh has had a bye week since. The Panthers score 31.2 points per game, have 1,509 rushing yards and convert 83.3% of their red-zone trips.
Florida State’s defense has produced one fumble recovery and six interceptions, so it hasn’t created many short fields. With Pittsburgh favored at home, Ferguson Jr. should get the volume to clear 74.5.
Pick 4: Ashton Daniels Over 219.5 Passing Yards
- Target: Ashton Daniels over 219.5 passing yards. Available: 250+ passing yards (+155 at BetMGM).
Ashton Daniels runs a Florida State offense with 2,167 passing yards, 30.2 points per game and an 88.9% red-zone rate. As a road underdog, the Seminoles may need to throw to keep pace.
Pittsburgh’s defense has 25 sacks and nine interceptions, so this play carries more risk than our top three. See where bettors are leaning on our college football public betting trends page.
Pick 5: Collin Dixon Over 83.5 Receiving Yards
- Target: Collin Dixon over 83.5 receiving yards. Available: 100+ receiving yards (+150 at BetMGM).
Illinois has thrown for 2,132 yards and scored 254 points this season. If the Illini fall behind at the Rose Bowl, a pass-heavy script should send plenty of targets Dixon’s way.
UCLA’s defense has 20 sacks and 17 interceptions, which makes this the riskiest play on the card. It’s a game-script bet as much as a talent bet.
Pick 6: Isaac Wilson Over 212.5 Passing Yards
- Target: Isaac Wilson over 212.5 passing yards. Available: 250+ passing yards (+180 at BetMGM).
Isaac Wilson leads a Colorado passing game with 2,299 yards, though the Buffaloes average just 19.8 points per game. They do convert 80.0% of their red-zone trips.
As a home underdog against a ranked opponent, Colorado could be throwing late. Houston’s defense has 15 sacks and eight interceptions, so Wilson will need clean protection to get there.
For more ways to play Friday’s slate, see our guide to the best college football betting apps.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.