Golden Globe Awards: Odds for 2018’s Nominees

The nominations for the 75th Golden Globes (Jan. 7th, 2018, 5:00 p.m PT/8:00 p.m. ET on NBC) have been officially announced and it appears, for the most part, that the Hollywood Foreign Press got it right in both the film and television categories.

If you are the type that likes to keep score, Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water, Steven Spielberg’s The Post, and Martin McDonagh’s Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri got the most love on the movie front. On the small screen, HBO’s Big Little Lies picked up six nominations, while FX’s Feud: Bette and Joan followed with four. Meanwhile, Fargo, The Handmaid’s Tale, and This Is Us all landed three golden nods.

Of course, debating the snubs is always as popular as discussing the nominees and, per usual, there are a few head-scratchers this year. Both Wonder Woman and The Big Sick were praised by critics and did solid box-office numbers, yet didn’t make the cut. In the Best Animated Film category, The Lego Batman Movie was passed over for … Boss Baby? Seriously?

As for snubs on the TV side, Veep has to be the biggest. The HBO comedy didn’t get one single nomination even though it has dominated at the Globes (and Emmys) in the past. HBO’s other big hit, Game of Thrones, got a nomination for Best TV Drama, but didn’t receive any nominations for its actors. Ouch.

It’s hard to complain too much about this year’s group of nominees, though. On the whole, most of the nominees deserved recognition, and if you are going to include a so-called “snub,” you would have to leave someone else off the list.

Below, we have set the early odds for the major categories in both TV/film. The biggest and best online sportsbooks will have their own odds up soon enough. If you see a big discrepancy between those numbers and the odds below, you may be looking at a good value bet. But keep in mind, awards shows like these are akin to elections. Movie studios and producers mount campaigns, of sorts, for their movies, shows, and actors, and momentum/buzz can play as big a role in the outcome as quality. So the odds at this stage can and will shift by the time host Seth Meyers takes the stage.

Movies

Best Picture – Drama

• Dunkirk: 3/2
• The Post: 2/1
• Call Me by Your Name: 17/3
• The Shape of Water: 15/1
• Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 19/1

Best Picture – Comedy or Musical

• Lady Bird: 2/1
• Get Out: 3/1
• The Disaster Artist: 4/1
• I, Tonya: 17/3
• The Greatest Showman: 25/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

• Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour: 2/3
• Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name: 3/1
• Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread: 9/1
• Tom Hanks, The Post: 25/1
• Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

• Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 3/2
• Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water: 2/1
• Meryl Streep, The Post: 17/3
• Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game: 9/1
• Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

• James Franco, The Disaster Artist: 7/13
• Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out: 3/1
• Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes: 19/1
• Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman: 25/1
• Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

• Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird: 1/3
• Margot Robbie, I, Tonya: 17/3
• Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes: 19/1
• Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul: 25/1
• Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

• Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project: 1/1
• Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 2/1
• Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name: 9/1
• Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water: 100/1
• Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World: 150/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

• Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird: 3/7
• Allison Janney, I, Tonya: 4/1
• Mary J. Blige, Mudbound: 23/2
• Hong Chau, Downsizing: 100/1
• Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water: 100/1

Best Animated Film

• Coco: 3/17
• Loving Vincent: 9/1
• The Breadwinner: 50/1
• Ferdinand: 50/1
• The Boss Baby: 100/1

Best Director – Motion Picture

• Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk: 1/4
• Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water: 9/1
• Steven Spielberg, The Post: 19/1
• Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 25/1
• Ridley Scott, All The Money in the World: 100/1

Television

Best Television Series – Drama

• The Handmaid’s Tale: 1/1
• Game of Thrones: 2/1
• Stranger Things: 9/1
• This is Us: 19/1
• The Crown: 60/1

Best Television Series – Comedy

• Will & Grace: 3/2
• Master of None: 2/1
• Black-ish: 3/1
• The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: 100/1
• SMILF: 150/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Drama

• Sterling K. Brown, This is Us: 7/13
• Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor: 17/3
• Jason Bateman, Ozark: 17/3
• Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul: 25/1
• Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Drama

• Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale: 1/4
• Claire Foy, The Crown: 9/1
• Caitriona Balfe, Outlander: 19/1
• Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce: 25/1
• Katherine Langford, 13 Reasons Why: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

• Aziz Ansari, Master of None: 1/1
• Anthony Anderson, Black-ish: 3/2
• Eric McCormack, Will and Grace: 19/1
• William H. Macy, Shameless: 25/1
• Kevin Bacon, I Love Dick: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

• Issa Rae, Insecure: 2/1
• Alison Brie, Glow: 2/1
• Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: 3/1
• Pamela Adlon, Better Things: 12/1
• Frankie Shaw, SMILF: 150/1

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Big Little Lies: 2/3
• Feud: Bette and Joan: 3/1
• Fargo: 9/1
• The Sinner: 25/1
• Top of the Lake: China Girl: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Robert De Niro, The Wizard of Lies: 1/1
• Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks: 3/2
• Ewan McGregor, Fargo: 19/1
• Jude Law, The Young Pope: 35/1
• Geoffrey Rush, Genius: 50/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies: 1/4
• Jessica Lange, Feud: Bette and Joan: 9/1
• Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies: 19/1
• Susan Sarandon, Feud: Bette and Joan: 25/1
• Jessica Biel, The Sinner: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies: 1/3
• David Thewlis, Fargo: 17/3
• Alfred Molina, Feud: 19/1
• Christian Slater, Mr. Robot: 24/1
• David Harbour, Stranger Things: 100/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Laura Dern, Big Little Lies: 3/7
• Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale: 3/1
• Chrissy Metz, This is Us: 50/1
• Shailene Woodley, Big Little Lies: 50/1
• Michelle Pfeiffer, The Wizard of Lies: 100/1