Updated Odds to Win Survivor Season 50 After Latest Episode

• Survivor 50: “In the Hands of the Fans” just completed its ninth episode of the season
• Prediction markets have some surprising names to be crowned champion of such an historic season
• See the latest odds to win Survivor Season 50, along with analysis of their gameplay

For the first time, 24 players have been invited to compete in Reality TV’s ultimate competition – Survivor. Through nine episodes, 14 contestants are gone, leaving ten left to claim the ultimate prize, and we’re tracking the latest odds to win Survivor Season 50.

In last night’s episode, a Survivor first occurred – fan favorite Christian Hubicki lost a “journey” challenge, and in doing so, was forced to become the first contestant to vote for themselves. His torch was ultimately snuffed, leading him to become the fourth member of the jury. The fallout from Rick Devens (and Christian) planting a fake idol early in S50 came to a head with many players squarely targeting Rick, who has a massive bullseye on himself for “finding” it last tribal council.

Prediction markets like Kalshi are getting in on the fun, tabbing some front-runners to win this season of Survivor. The ultimate showdown concludes Wednesday, May 20th, at 8:00 pm ET to see who the champion will be for Season 50. Fair warning, while this clearly isn’t revealing any future spoilers, the fact that prediction markets are ignoring certain contestants might be pointing to them not lasting very long or winning. The tribe, or in this case, me, has spoken.

Tracking Odds to Win Survivor Season 50

New users looking to get in on the action can claim the Kalshi referral code to receive a $10 Sign Up Bonus after completing $10 in trades.

The supersized season is moving along at a rapid pace, with over half of the original players leaving. I noted in a Survivor odds article two weeks ago that it was downright stunning that Christian wasn’t among the contenders in the prediction markets, which made me highly suspicious that certain factions of the public know who the final 3 will be. That proved prophetic, as sadly, the show lost one of its more entertaining players of the season.

Aubry Bracco is getting the majority of love amongst traders, with a whopping 79% of the total to emerge victorious, up from 69% two weeks ago. Personally, that makes me very worried that the season has been spoiled already, and people know she’s the champion (despite the deciding vote being on a live finale on May 20th). Fan favorite and all-time Survivor legend Cirie Fields is getting the second most support at 10%, down from 18%. Rounding out the top five are Rizo Velovic (5%), Joe Hunter (5%), and Jonathan Young (3%).

Players you won’t see among the top-five choices include Rick Devens (and his hilarious fake idol), Emily Flappen, Ozzy Lusht, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick and Tiffany Nicole Ervin. That gives me pause, and makes me very suspicious that they won’t be in the running. Below, I’ll break down the updated top contenders to see who might be the champ.

Who Will Win Survivor Season 50

Aubry Bracco

I continue to confess that this number has sent off alarm bells to me, wondering what people know that most fans don’t. It’s not that Aubry isn’t a capable player, having competed in three previous iterations of the series (best finish was a runner-up in Survivor: Kaoh Rong). She’s been a perfectly capable player, and has found her footing after a rocky beginning that saw her in the crosshairs of Genevieve.

Two episodes ago, she flushed her “hidden” immunity idol, and everyone was highly critical of that, but since then, is in better, flying under the radar. In particular, the latest episode saw Aubry mending fences with Jonathan. She claims she wants to make “big moves” which gives me flashbacks to too many past players who claim that, then do absolutely nothing. I still don’t see her as the ultimate Survivor champion, so the fact she’s such an overwhelming favorite makes me think that this season has been spoiled, unfortunately.

Cirie Fields

If Cirie Fields can finally get over the finish line and win Survivor, an entire community of fans will rejoice. It’s truly remarkable that she hasn’t got it done yet, despite competing four times (and once on Australian Survivor), along with countless other reality shows. She’s been playing a flawless game thus far, with her top boys Ozzy and Rizo in tow, and immediately shutting down any attempts of eliminating her allies.

So far on Season 50, it’s truly been stunning that her name hasn’t been brought up much to eliminate her, other than Jenna and Jonathan, very early in the season. You’d think an icon that has such experience would immediately be toast, but she’s on nobody’s radar. Even though she’s a distant second in the odds, it’s just so fun watching Cirie dominate yet another reality show. Seeing her finally get her crown is enough for me to hope it happens, so I’m wagering on her.

Rizo Velovic

The self-proclaimed “RizGod” has taken a bit of a back seat following a few episodes where his past game play and current situation were under the microscope. He often appears attached at the hip with Cirie, so it seems like they’re a package duo destined for the final 3 tribal council.

Early this time around, he drew the ire of Charlie because Rizo proclaimed he didn’t vote for his #1 on S49 to win (Sophi), which gave Charlie flashbacks to when his #1 Maria didn’t choose him in the final tribal council, costing him the $1 million prize. However, that was all a lie, since Rizo was trying to downplay his kinship with Savannah, his real #1. There was a standoff, which Rizo ultimately won by eliminating Charlie.

He’s really managed to get in good with a lot of players and is proving his mettle against top-tier competition. With the amount he’s been shown on S50, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him claim the title of Sole Survivor. However, of note, in the “scenes from the next episode” his name was bandied about as a possible target.

Joe Hunter

Joe’s gameplay could be considered polarizing in that he wants to compete with integrity and honor, and loathes the lying and backstabbing that occurs. In his OG season (48), it was incredibly frustrating for fans that he and others failed to make any moves and just played a boring, safe game, which ultimately cost him. Joe is very good at the physical aspect of the game, however, claiming his second straight individual immunity challenge of the season Wednesday.

This time around, he got into a heated argument with Rick Devens in an early episode, which reportedly was even more explosive than was shown on TV. He had another standoff with Rick in the latest instalment, where he claims personal growth for not chewing him out for the ‘fake idol’ fiasco at the previous tribal council. My issue with going all-in with Joe is that he doesn’t do anything flashy or strategic, which cost him in season 48, and to date, won’t really play to a jury that he deserves the $1 million dollar prize.

Jonathan Young

Jonathan Young is Survivor’s answer to a real-life Hercules. The man is an absolute beast, destroying challenges single-handedly. His original season was very entertaining to see him bulldoze everyone in competitions, but he lacked a cerebral social game, which ultimately was his downfall. This go around, he’s getting a ton of play in confessionals, where the show clearly wants us to go along for the ride with him.

To date, he’s surprisingly not been on the chopping block, given his physical prowess, and also his feuds with Dee and Christian. We certainly know show host and producer Jeff won’t be filling his shoes anytime, competing in the latest immunity challenge and dropping seven minutes into it.

A player like Jonathan has nowhere to hide in a game like Survivor, so I don’t expect him to make it all the way to the end. The fact he’s among the top-five choices is a bit of a head scratcher, unless, again, the prediction markets know much more than the general public does.

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