- 2021 LCS Spring Week 4 season runs from February 26th to February 28th
- Dignitas has been an early pleasant surprise as they’re currently 6-3 and tied for second
- See the best bets and value picks for Week 4 in the article below
We’re officially at the halfway point of the League of Legends Championship Series, with LCS Spring Week 4 right around the corner. One full round robin is complete, and the landscape is starting to shape up. It’s safe to say that although Cloud9 sits all alone in first place, the rest of the standings hold quite a few surprises.
Despite winning the 2021 LCS Lock-In Tournament and being an early contender for the best team in North America, Team Liquid have only managed a 5-4 record. However, the LoL 2021 World Championship odds have Liquid and C9 tied at +6000 to win it all come the end of the year.
The real surprise has been Dignitas. With a couple of weak opponents in Week 4 of the League of Legends Championship Series season, they finds themselves in my top three picks of the week.
Immortals vs Dignitas Odds
|February 26th, 2021||Kill Handicap||Total Kills||Moneyline|
|Immortals||+5.5 -110||O 25.5 -120||+120|
|Dignitas||-5.5 -125||U 25.5 -120||-163|
All odds taken Feb. 25 at Bet365
Consistent Disrespect Towards Dignitas
Look, I get it. Nobody truly had lofty expectations for Dignitas entering the season. While other teams made big international splash signings, Dignitas relied mostly on local talent. Entering the LCS Lock-In tournament prior to the LCS season, Dignitas was given +4000 odds to win it all. To be fair, they crashed out of that event going 1-3 in the group stage.
Things have changed since then. After facing each team once through the first three weeks of the LCS, Dignitas is 6-3. Not to mention, they took down a tough TSM squad just last week. That should be enough of a sample size to warrant some respect. However, the odds still appear to be slighting them, which gives us some solid value on a team that seems to be coming together faster than expected.
At -163 odds on the moneyline, I think Dignitas should be favored by quite a bit more. Team Liquid plays Immortals later in the week, and they are -500 favorites. I’m not saying that Dignitas is as good as Team Liquid, but they’re 6-3 and already crushed Immortals in Week 2.
Dignitas also plays CLG in Week 4, and even though they’re more heavily favored, it’s also worth a look.
Pick: Dignitas ML (-163)
Golden Guardians vs Immortals Odds
|February 27th, 2021||Kill Handicap||Total Kills||Moneyline|
|Golden Guardians||+6.5 -120||O 22.5 -120||+162|
|Immortals||-6.5 -120||U 22.5 -120||-225|
Golden Guardians Chance to Upset
It might seem like I’m picking on Immortals a little bit, and I suppose to a certain extent I am. They’re currently sitting with a 4-5 record, but I believe oddsmakers are overvaluing their record. The main area of concern has been their early game.
On average, Immortals trail by nearly 1400 gold at the 15-minute mark, which is worst in the league by a fairly large margin. Immortals have won two straight games over weak opposition, which likely gave them a little boost in the odds.
There’s not too much to be excited about with the Golden Guardians here, but at +162 there’s a good bit of value considering that they won their first head-to-head. They’re also fresh off a win against 100 Thieves. Perhaps things are looking up for the Golden Guardians.
Pick: Golden Guardians ML (+162)
Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses Odds
|February 28th, 2021||Kill Handicap||Total Kills||Moneyline|
|Cloud9||-7.5 -125||O 29.5 -120||-188|
|Evil Geniuses||+7.5 -110||U 29.5 -120||+137|
Cloud9’s High Kill Strategy
Cloud9 is slightly favored in this intriguing Week 4 matchup, but in this scenario, I’m more interested in the total kills. The over/under is set fairly high at 29.5 and yet I don’t think it’s set high enough. Cloud9 is currently the best team in the league, and they’re also the bloodiest.
They’re currently averaging 19 kills per game, with about 13 deaths per game. For a team with only two losses, 13 deaths in a game is quite high, which tells you that they’re quite fond of getting into scuffles.
Evil Geniuses are also no strangers to mixing it up as they have the second-highest kills per game with over 15. Evil Geniuses won the first head-to-head between these teams, and there were a combined 36 kills. I’d expect something very similar in their rematch.
Pick: Total Kills Over 29.5 (-120)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.