Upcoming Match-ups

2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds & Picks: Is Justin Thomas a Good Bet?

Justin Thomas following through on his swing
Justin Thomas is listed as the favorite to win the World Golf Championship in Mexico. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • Star studded field competing at the WGC-Mexico Championship
  • Will Justin Thomas shake off last week’s meltdown for his 10th tour victory?
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious

Nearly all the big names in golf converge for the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. 47 of the top 50 players in the world are teeing it up with Justin Rose, Jason Day, and Adam Scott the lone exceptions.

This venue has only been played twice so there is not a ton of course history with Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson winning the two times it has been contested at Club de Golf Chapultepec.

2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds

Golfer Odds to Win 2019 WGC-Mexico Championship at Bovada
Justin Thomas +900
Dustin Johnson +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Jon Rahm +1600
Rickie Fowler +1600
Bryson DeChambeau +1600
Tiger Woods +1800
Brooks Koepka +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Phil Mickelson +2800
Jordan Spieth +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Bubba Watson +3300
Paul Casey +3300
Tony Finau +3300

*Odds taken Feb 19; Follow the link in the table above to see all options

Justin Thomas returns to WGC-Mexico Championship with unfinished business

Justin Thomas is the favorite this week for good reason. Not only is he coming off a runner-up finish at the Genesis Open, but he also finished second at this event last year after a blistering weekend and had a tied for fifth showing the year before.

That playoff loss to Phil Mickelson last year was electric after Thomas holed out for eagle from the fairway on the 72nd hole. Despite the near misses, Thomas is in incredible form, also posting two other third places finishes this year.

Normally betting on the favorite doesn’t yield much money but with a stacked field and +900 odds, bet Thomas with confidence this week.

Last 5 WGC-Mexico Championship Winners

Year Winner
2018 Phil Mickelson
2017 Dustin Johnson
2016* Adam Scott
2015* Dustin Johnson
2014* Patrick Reed

*2014-16 tournaments were played at Trump National Doral Miami

Tiger Woods competing in 2nd WGC event since 2014

History lesson time – not only has Tiger racked up 14 career majors but he also obliterated fields at World Golf Championship events.

This will mark just his second WGC start since 2014 (T-31st at WGC-Bridgestone last year).

Most Career World Golf Championship Victories

Golfer Wins
Tiger Woods 18
Dustin Johnson 5
Phil Mickelson 3
Geoff Ogilvy 3
10 tied with 2

This will be the first time Tiger tees it up on this course, however, and he’s coming off two decent – not great – starts to 2019 (T-20 at Torrey Pines and T-15 at Riviera.)

He’s been making strides in his game but last weeks slug-fest was taxing on his body.

Pass on placing a wager to begin the week. But with a recent affinity for starting tournaments off slowly, keep an eye out when his odds lengthen for a potential in-play bet which offers better value.

2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Jordan Spieth (+2800): He’s too good to not figure out his recent weekend blowups at Pebble Beach and Riviera.
  2. Marc Leishman (+3300): He’s been quietly dominant, racking up five top-four finishes in his last seven events, including one victory.
  3. Sii Woo Kim (+4500): Trending up with a third and T-4th finish in last two events for the 2017 Players Champion.
  4. Tyrrell Hatton (+6600): Finished a shot out of a playoff here last year and also posted another top-10 the year before.
  5. Henrik Stenson (+6600): He hasn’t been sharp lately but any time you can get Stenson at these odds, you have to take it.
Author Image

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.