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Genesis Invitational Picks, Odds & Predictions for 2025

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in Golf

Published:


Scottie Scheffler watching a tee shot at the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge
May 28, 2023; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Scottie Scheffler watches his shot from the second tee during the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Genesis Invitational tees off Thursday, February 13th
  • Scottie Scheffler is the +400 favorite to win the title over Rory McIlroy
  • See the 2025 Genesis Invitational odds, picks, and best value bets below

The third signature event on the 2025 PGA Tour calendar is the Genesis Invitational, hosted by Tiger Woods. Normally it’s played at famed Riviera Country Club, but due to the devastating wildfires in Los Angeles, Torrey Pines South Course will host a tournament for the second time in a month. Woods had originally planned to compete for the first time in an official tournament since the Open Championship in July, but announced Monday he had withdrawn.

Genesis Invitational Odds 2025

GolfersDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Scottie Scheffler+350+400
Rory McIlroy+700+650
Collin Morikawa+1400+1400
Justin Thomas+2200+2200
Hideki Matsuyama+2200+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500+2000
Sungjae Im+3000+2800
Patrick Cantlay+3000+2800
Tom Kim+3500+3000
Tommy Fleetwood+3500+3500
Taylor Pendrith+4000+3300
Jordan Spieth+4000+3500
Jason Day+4000+3500
Shane Lowry+4000+3500
Will Zalatoris+4500+3500
Sam Burns+4500+4000
Tony Finau+4500+4500
Sepp Straka+4500+4500
Robert MacIntyre+4500+4500
Russell Henley+4500+4500

World #1 Scottie Scheffler is betting favorite, coming off T-9 and T-25 finishes in his first two starts of 2025. Rory McIlroy, who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in his last event, is the second choice. Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas and Hideki Matsuyama round out the top-five. Tournament host Tiger Woods, who has won eight times at Torrey Pines in his career, withdrew from competing on Monday.

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Will Zalatoris Comfortable On This Track

Will Zalatoris loves Torrey Pines, having been the runner-up in a playoff in 2022, T-7 in 2021 and T-13 last year. He’s also been strong at this championship, albeit when it was held at Riviera, with a T-2 and fourth place results the last two years. He enters this time at +4500 to win outright, odds that are quite enticing.

Past Five Genesis Invitational Winners

YearWinner
2024Hideki Matsuyama
2023Jon Rahm
2022Joaquin Niemann
2021Max Homa
2020Adam Scott

*Note – those winners were at Riviera Country Club. The champion at Torrey Pines last month was Harris English.

In his last twelve rounds at this venue, Zalatoris is third in strokes gained: ball striking, fourth in total strokes gained, sixth tee-to-green, and eighth in approach. Suffice to say, Torrey Pines has been kind to Zally in the past, and could be the venue for his second PGA Tour title.

Genesis Invitational 2025 Predictions, Picks and Value Bets

  1. Min Woo Lee (+6000): It’s only a matter of time before Min Woo Lee breaks through on the biggest stage, much like Thomas Detry did at the WM Phoenix Open. The last two weeks Lee has been solid, if unspectacular with a T-17 at Pebble Beach and T-12 in Phoenix. Around the world, he’s been no worse than T-27 the last nine times entering a tournament.
  2. Daniel Berger (+9000): Daniel Berger has regained the form that saw him win four PGA Tour events following a lengthy injury stint. He tied for second just last weekend at the WM Phoenix Open, which was his second runner-up in his last five tourneys. Berger also posted a T-7 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines, site of this weeks event.
  3. Cam Davis (+10000): The big hitting Aussie is coming off a tie for fifth the last time teeing it up at Pebble Beach, where he gained over ten strokes tee-to-green for the week. That result was his fourth top-20 in his last six PGA Tour events, which includes a pair of top-5s.
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Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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