Upcoming Match-ups

LIV Golf Portland Odds & Picks

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Jun 27, 2022 · 6:57 PM PDT

Sam Horsfield admires a tee shot
Apr 22, 2022; Avondale, Louisiana, USA; Sam Horsfield plays from the fifth tee during the second round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports
  • The LIV Tour’s debut event on American soil at Pumpkin Ridge Golf Club tees off Thursday (June 30th)
  • Sam Horsfield finished fifth in the LIV Golf London event, and is a strong value in the outright market
  • See the LIV Golf Portland odds, analysis, plus best bets to win the event below

LIV Golf makes its American debut on Thursday, and has an excellent chance to upstage the rival PGA Tour for at least one week. That’s because while there is a major shortage of elite talent at the John Deere Classic in Illinois, the LIV Golf Invitational Portland field is loaded with superstars.

Eight of the top-40 players in the world have bolted for LIV, and will all be teeing it up on Thursday at Pumpkin Ridge Golf Club in Portland. The list is headlined by Dustin Johnson, and this week will mark the inaugural starts for Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Reed, and Abraham Ancer among others.

2022 LIV Golf Invitational Portland Odds

Golfers Odds to Win
Dustin Johnson +650
Louis Oosthuizen +1000
Abraham Ancer +1100
Brooks Koepka +1200
Talor Gooch +1200
Bryson DeChambeau +1600
Sergio Garcia +1600
Patrick Reed +1800
Kevin Na +1800
Sam Horsfield +2200
Pat Perez +2200
Ian Poulter +2500
Charl Schwartzel +2500
Branden Grace +2800
Bernd Wiesberger +2800
Justin Harding +3500
Hennie du Plessis +3500
Adrian Otaegui +3500
Matt Jones +3500
Laurie Canter +3500
Graeme McDowell +4000
Scott Vincent +4000
Peter Uihlein +4000
Lee Westwood +4000
Martin Kaymer +4500
Richard Bland +5000
Phil Mickelson +6500
Hudson Swafford +6500
Wade Ormsby +8000

Odds as of June 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

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A whopping $4 Million is on the line for first place, but quite frankly that pales in comparison to the eight figure deals the top stars received just for joining LIV. With $100+ Million already in the bank for some of these guys, no one would be surprised if there was a lack of motivation on their part, similar to the first tournament in London.

Horsfield Coming in Hot

One player whose financials we don’t know is Englishmen Sam Horsfield’s, but it’s suffice to say it wasn’t on the same level as DJ, Phil, Brooks and company. The 25-year-old has a ton of game and represents one of the best values this week in the outright market.

The three-time winner on the DP World Tour finished fifth in LIV’s inaugural event, and posted results of first, 21st, fourth and 12th in his final four starts in Europe.

Horsfield led the DP World Tour in strokes gained approach before departing for LIV, while ranking second in total strokes gained, fifth in strokes gained tee-to-green and 12th in putting.

Horsfield’s 2022 DP World Tour Strokes Gained Ranks

TOT T2G OTT APP ARG P
2nd 5th 74th 1st 38th 12th

He also averages over 300 yards off-the-tee and length will be a necessity at Pumpkin Ridge GC this week. The set-up is expected to play roughly 7,600 yards as a Par-72, meaning driving distance and long iron play will be at a premium.

Pick: Sam Horsfield to Win (+2200)

2022 LIV Golf Invitational Portland Best Value Picks

  1. Hennie du Plessis (+3500): We were on du Plessis in the first LIV tournament and he rewarded us with a second place result. There’s no reason to move off him especially considering his price hasn’t changed. du Plessis led the London event in greens in regulation and bogey avoidance, while finishing eighth in birdies. Also pay attention to him in the First Round Leader market as he ranked second on the DP World Tour in scoring, and owns the circuit’s lowest round of the season (62).
  2. Justin Harding (+3500): A cold putter prevented Harding from threatening the front page of the London leaderboard, but the ball striking numbers were solid. He finished sixth in greens in regulation for the week and 13th in driving accuracy, and he’s been in fine form all season on the DP World Tour. Prior to joining LIV, he posted a 16th and fifth place finish in his final two European starts, after racking up a pair of top-nine results earlier in the season.
  3. Hudson Swafford (+6500): The form hasn’t been terrific lately but this is an outrageous price for someone who’s won on the PGA Tour already this season. Swafford is a terrific iron player, having gained at least 1.5 strokes on approach in nine of his last 15 PGA Tour events. If the putter cooperates he has winning upside like he’s flashed twice at the American Express in the past and also in Punta Cana.

 

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