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Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 Prediction, Lineups & Best Bets

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NHL Hockey

Published:


The Golden Knights celebrate during their Game 2 win over the Avalanche.
May 22, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Vegas Golden Knights left wing Ivan Barbashev (49) and defenseman Noah Hanifin (15) celebrate following a goal during the third period against the Colorado Avalanche in game two of the Western Conference Final of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
  • The Avalanche are -142 moneyline favorites over the Golden Knights in Game 3 of the Western Conference Final
  • Cale Makar (upper-body) is questionable to play
  • Get my favorite Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 prediction below, along with the latest lineups and best bets

The Western Conference Finals hit a critical juncture as the Vegas Golden Knights host the Colorado Avalanche for Game 3 tonight. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena, in Las Vegas, NV, with the Avs favored in the lastest NHL odds. After dropping the first two contests, the visiting squad enters this matchup desperate to avoid a 3-0 series stranglehold.

Despite boasting a high-octane offense featuring Nathan MacKinnon, the Avalanche have run into a brick wall. The Golden Knights are playing lockdown 5-on-5 hockey, perfectly insulating their crease and leaning on opportunistic scoring.

Can the visitors finally light the lamp with consistency, or will the hosts continue their suffocating playoff run? Keep reading for the Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 prediction, lineups and best bets, below.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 Prediction

  • Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline (+125 at Bet365)
  • Under 6 Goals (-115 at Bet365)
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My favorite bets for Game 3 are the Golden Knights moneyline and under 6 goals. Getting the Golden Knights at +125 on the moneyline in this clash of Stanley Cup odds contenders offers tremendous value. The home squad has been an absolute wagon at T-Mobile Arena, posting an 8-2 straight-up record over their last 10 games on home ice. They also thrive when the sportsbooks doubt them.

As home underdogs, they have gone a stellar 5-1 straight up over their last six games in this situational spot (83.3% win rate). Defensively, they have completely stifled the Avalanche attack. Allowing just three goals on 68 shots (.956 team save percentage) is a testament to their elite structure. Backing the home side at plus-money is the sharpest play on the board.

Goals have been harder to find than a loose puck in the crease. These two squads have combined for exactly 10 goals through two games. The checking has been incredibly tight, and the neutral zone is a parking lot. The Avalanche have blocked 31 shots, while the Golden Knights have eaten 39 pucks.

This low-scoring environment is backed by hard historical data. The Under has hit in six of the last seven meetings between these two franchises, an 85.7% success rate. Furthermore, the Over has failed to hit in any of the last four games for the home team.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Playoff Stats

CategoryAvalancheGolden Knights
Goals For Per Game3.64 [N/A]3.64 [N/A]
Goals Against Per Game2.45 [N/A]2.36 [N/A]
Shots For Per Game32.82 [N/A]27.36 [N/A]
Shots Against Per Game25.91 [N/A]29.93 [N/A]
Power Play Percentage24.1% [N/A]24.4% [N/A]
Penalty Kill Percentage80.0% [N/A]86.0% [N/A]
Team Save Percentage.896 [N/A].921 [N/A]
Faceoff Win Percentage51.2% [N/A]53.1% [N/A]
Hits Per Game28.27 [N/A]33.93 [N/A]
Blocked Shots Per Game14.82 [N/A]17.29 [N/A]

These traditional playoff statistics tell the exact story of how the home team built their series lead. Offensively, both squads are deadlocked at 3.64 goals per game with nearly identical power-play conversion rates. The special teams battle is a sheer coin flip.

The glaring mismatch lies in the defensive structure. The visitors dictate shot volume, heavily outshooting opponents, but suffer from a leaky .896 team save percentage. Meanwhile, the home squad bends but does not break. They allow more rubber but lead the matchup in hits (33.93) and blocked shots (17.29), actively punishing forwards.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 Odds

Odds as of May 24. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on the Stanley Cup Playoffs tonight.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 Lineups

CategoryScott Wedgewood [COL]Carter Hart [VGK]
Games Played1014
Record (W-L-OTL)7-3-010-4-0
Save Percentage (SV%).912.921
Goals Against Average (GAA)2.302.25
Shutouts00
Shots Against238419
Saves217387

Carter Hart has been standing on his head during this postseason run. With 14 games under his belt, he boasts a 10-4-0 record and a sparkling .921 save percentage. He has faced a barrage of 419 shots but consistently frustrates elite scorers, heavily validating our Under 6 goals prediction.

The battle down the middle will completely dictate the pace of this game. Nathan MacKinnon centers the top line for the visitors, matched directly against Jack Eichel. However, the home squad’s ability to roll four dominant lines makes them an absolute nightmare to match up against.

William Karlsson and Tomas Hertl provide incredible center depth that Brock Nelson and Nazem Kadri will struggle to contain. Defensively, the stylistic differences are stark. Devon Toews anchors a depleted blue line for the visitors that could be missing superstar Cale Makar due to an upper-body injury. On the other blueline, Brayden McNabb and Shea Theodore operate as a premier shutdown pair for the hosts.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 Best Bets

  • Ross Colton Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (+105 at DraftKings)
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Moving over to the NHL props market, where I’m betting Ross Colton over 1.5 shots on goal. If the visitors are going to claw back into this series, they desperately need secondary scoring to step up. Colton is exactly the guy to target here. He has eclipsed 1.5 shots on goal in three of his last four road contests, averaging 2.5 shots per game during that span.

When facing elite competition, Colton thrives. He has cleared this passing line in six of his last seven road matchups against top-10 scoring defenses (85.7%). Getting plus-money on a guy who already has four shots in this series is an absolute steal.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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