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Brooks Koepka vs Justin Thomas: Odds to Win 2018-19 PGA Tour Money List

Justin Thomas PGA Tour
Justin Thomas has won the PGA Tour Money List each of the last two seasons. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas the favorites to win 2019 PGA Tour money title
  • Rory McIlroy with enticing odds to win third career money list
  • The best value picks to take home the most cash

The PGA Tour is on a short break before the 2018-19 season picks back up in Hawaii in January. But that doesn’t mean we’ve stopped trying to find good value for the upcoming season.

Through eight official events, Brooks Koepka holds a slim lead on the money list while Justin Thomas finds himself way down the ranks at 59th. But he’ll surely be in the mix to make it a three-peat of money list titles.

Odds to Win 2018-19 PGA Tour Money List

Golfer Odds to Win 2018-19 PGA Tour Money List at Bovada
Brooks Koepka +550
Justin Thomas +600
Justin Rose +1000
Rory McIlroy +1600
Jon Rahm +2200
Webb Simpson +4000
Billy Horschel +8000
Bubba Watson +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Henrik Stenson +8000
Paul Casey +12500

*Odds taken 12/18

Is Koepka or Thomas more likely to win the money list?

In the last two seasons Brooks Koepka has racked up three major titles, while Thomas has won once (2017 PGA).

However, he consistently makes more money than Koepka simply because he plays more – an average of five more events per season in their four full years on tour.

Koepka vs Thomas Money List Rankings

Brooks Koepka
VS
Justin Thomas

19 2015 37
23 2016 11
8 2017 1
5 2018 1

Despite the fact Koepka has those major titles, he’s never finished higher than fifth on the money list because of the light schedule – so Thomas is more likely to earn more money – perhaps the most on tour for a third consecutive season.

Last 5 Winners of PGA Tour Money List

Year Winner
2018 Justin Thomas
2017 Justin Thomas
2016 Dustin Johnson
2015 Jordan Spieth
2014 Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy a great value at +1600 to win Money List

Rory McIlroy recently made waves claiming he won’t play the full requirement of European Tour events to keep his tour card. However, he seems to have gone back on that and will likely add just two more events to retain playing privileges.

His odds of winning the money title for the third time (2012, 2014) in his career have increased significantly with the heavier schedule stateside.

This is one bet you must make as the Ulsterman is primed to have a big season after two down years (by his lofty standards).

Value Picks to win 2018-19 PGA Tour Money List

  1. Jon Rahm (+2200): The uber-talented Spaniard is poised to take that next step in his career. He’s won five times in the last two years between the States and Europe and recently won the Hero World Challenge. These odds might drop early in the season so it would be prudent to bet sooner rather than later.
  2. Paul Casey (+12500): It’s tempting to take Henrik Stenson at +8000 but he plays the bare minimum events most every year. Of all the other guys listed, Paul Casey has the best value – he’s been no worse than 24th on the money list in the last four seasons – and that’s just with one victory to his credit in that span. These odds are very juicy and would yield a massive payout.
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several other programs TSN.