Astros vs Mariners Odds, Picks, and Betting Lines (Sep. 1)
By Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Astros and Mariners conclude a three-game series on Wednesday afternoon at T-Mobile Park
- Houston is a -130 road favorite in the finale
- Find the odds, lines, analysis, and prediction below
The NL West-leading Houston Astros (78-53, 37-28 away) visit the Seattle Mariners (70-62, 38-29 home) on Wednesday afternoon, with first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park. Prior to Tuesday’s matchup, Houston had won five of the last six meetings.
The Astros will start Jake Odorizzi on Wednesday, while rookie Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the M’s, who are fighting tooth and nail for a Wild Card spot right now.
Astros vs Mariners Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | -130 | -1.5 (+125) | O 8.5 (-120) |
| Seattle Mariners | +110 | +1.5 (-145) | U 8.5 (+100) |
Odds as of August 31st at DraftKings.
Probable Pitchers
For an Astros team that has one of the better pitching staffs in the big leagues, Odorizzi hasn’t exactly been great. He currently has a 6-6 record while posting a 4.47 ERA in 18 starts. For the month of August, with the exception of his very first start, Odorizzi has been effective. The righty took home a no-decision in his last outing against the Texas Rangers, tossing five frames and allowing just two runs. Throughout his last four appearances combined, the veteran has surrendered just seven earned.
Jake Odorizzi has pitched five innings or fewer in 12 of his 18 starts. He's completed six innings only twice.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) August 28, 2021
However, the 31-year-old has had a tough time pitching deep into ballgames. For most of his starts, he’s lasted only five innings. In fact, the furthest he’s gone in 2021 is six innings and that’s only happened on two occasions. On a more positive note though, Seattle’s lineup is hitting a mere .144 off Odorizzi. But, he does have a 4.37 ERA in 11 career starts against the Mariners.
Odorizzi vs Gilbert
| 6-6 | Record | 5-5 |
| 4.47 | ERA | 5.16 |
| 84.2 | Innings Pitched | 86 |
| 75 | SO | 97 |
| 29 | BB | 19 |
Gilbert has been with the major league club since his call-up in mid-May, but he hasn’t enjoyed a lot of success. The former first-round pick has a 5.44 ERA in 18 starts and has been getting absolutely lit up recently. Across his last three outings, the 6 foot 6 right-hander has allowed 19 earned runs. On August 21st, he surrendered nine runs to the Astros. During this span, Gilbert has been prone to the long ball as well, giving up five home runs.
Logan Gilbert has a 7.56 ERA and 1.89 hr/9 in the second half
— John Laghezza MLB / NFL Moving Averages (@JohnLaghezza) August 27, 2021
While he has been getting hit around, the 24-year-old has been able to rack up the K’s and throw strikes, striking out 97 in 86 innings while walking just 19 batters. The Astros have only seen Gilbert once but they really got to him. Unfortunately, his ERA has been even worse at home as well. The key for him will be to limit the mistakes and try to stay away from the homer because Houston’s offense thrives off leaving the yard.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mariners Hitters | Average vs Odorizzi |
|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | .250 |
| J.P. Crawford | .000 |
| Ty France | .600 |
| Mitch Haniger | .250 |
| Jarred Kelenic | .000 |
| Dylan Moore | .000 |
| Tom Murphy | .000 |
| Cal Raleigh | .000 |
| Kyle Seager | .190 |
| Abraham Toro | .400 |
| Luis Torrens | .000 |
| Astros Hitters | Average vs Gilbert |
| Jose Altuve | .1000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | .333 |
| Michael Brantley | .333 |
| Carlos Correa | .000 |
| Yuli Gurriel | .333 |
| Martin Maldonado | .000 |
| Jake Meyers | .000 |
Houston is rolling right now. Before Tuesday’s contest, they’ve won five of their last six games and have a stranglehold on the NL West, sitting six games ahead of the Oakland Athletics. The Astros have an MLB-best .268 team average and are hitting even better on the road, slashing .272. In every offensive category, Dusty Baker’s squad is within the top-10 of the Majors and on the mound, they’re just as good. When it comes to facing divisional opponents, Houston is an impressive 37-17 this season.
Jake continues to rake!#ForTheH pic.twitter.com/5bGf6t1V1C
— Houston Astros (@astros) August 31, 2021
Despite having an atrocious offense that sits in the dead last in average and hits, Seattle still has a realistic shot at the second Wild Card spot. However, it will not be easy, especially with the number of teams alongside them vying for a postseason berth as well. The M’s are 4-6 in their last 10 games and will face the Astros once again next week for a three-game set. Thankfully, Seattle does pitch better during day games (4.00 ERA) but they’re hitting just .218 in afternoon matchups.
dylan moore has done it again with another go-ahead home run versus the houston astros out to left, now that's a clutch pinch-hit plate appearance thanks dylan #RunOnSentenceNight pic.twitter.com/grkQjQanB4
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 31, 2021
Astros vs Mariners Prediction
Six of the last seven games between the Astros and Mariners have hit the “Over” in runs. With two arms on the mound who have struggled to limit the damage, there’s huge value in this trend again in the series finale on Wednesday. At -120, it’s absolutely worth a bet.
Pick: Over 8.5 Runs (-120)
Sports Writer
Quinn Allen is a sports journalist, with a background and education in broadcast journalism (BCIT '17). He is a full-time associate editor at ClutchPoints by day, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football, and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor at SBD.
