Braves vs Padres Odds, Picks, Betting Lines (Sep. 24)
- The Padres are -125 home favorites over the Braves on Friday night
- Max Fried (12-7, 3.31) will start for the Braves against Pierce Johnson (3-3, 3.13)
- The odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction
The Atlanta Braves will look to add to their lead in the National League East when they visit the San Diego Padres on Friday night at Petco Park.
The regularly scheduled game is at 10:10 pm ET. However, the teams will first complete a game suspended July 19 in Atlanta with the Padres leading 5-4 in the fifth inning.
The Braves (80-71) hold a two-game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies in the division race with 11 games to play. Atlanta’s four-game winning streak ended Thursday with a 6-4 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks in Phoenix.
The Padres (77-75) broke their five-game losing streak Thursday with a 7-6 victory over the San Francisco Giants in 10 innings at home. San Diego is six games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for the second NL wild card with 10 games remaining but are favored on Friday.
Braves vs Padres Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | +105 | +1.5 (-190) | Over 8 (-110) |
| San Diego Padres | -125 | -1.5 (+160) | Under 8 (-110) |
Odds as of September 24th at DraftKings.
The moneyline has stayed steady as the Padres opened as -125 favorites. In a rarity for San Diego, there is a 10% chance of thunderstorms at gametime with the temperature forecast for 68 degrees.
Probable Pitchers
The Braves will start Max Fried (12-7, 3.31). Pierce Johnson (3-3, 3.13) is expected to start a bullpen game for the Padres.
Fried has gone nine starts since his last loss on July 28 at the New York Mets. He is 5-0 in that span with a 1.71 ERA.
Max Fried vs Pierce Johnson Stats
| 12-7 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3.31 | ERA | 3.13 |
| 3.72 | xERA | 3.46 |
| 1.15 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 3.61 | SO/W | 3.04 |
Fried is coming off one of his best performances of the season Sunday as he shut out the Giants on three hits over seven innings in a win at San Francisco. He had five strikeouts and one walk.
"He's been their ace and he went out there today and showed you why."
— @Braves legend Tom Glavine on Max Fried's performance pic.twitter.com/LvRnZPqXww
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) September 19, 2021
That extended Fried’s streak of quality starts to 10 in a row, and he has 17 in 26 outings for the season. The Braves have a 16-10 record when he starts.
Fried is 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA on the road and has a 7-6 record at night with a 3.25 ERA in 17 starts.
This will be Fried’s second career start against the Giants. He beat them in Atlanta in 2019, allowing one run in seven innings.
Johnson will be making his third start in 60 games this season. Each of his two appearances as an opener have lasted one inning.
Johnson has been scored on in four of his last six appearances, allowing five runs in seven innings. He is 3-1 with a 1.82 ERA in 27 home games and 3-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 41 night games.
Pierce Johnson’s wicked curve helps strand the bases loaded and keep game 3 scoreless!
Live odds (B3):
Cardinals +115
Padres -145#FriarFaithful #postseason pic.twitter.com/g8xpodntzU— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) October 3, 2020
Johnson has no career decisions against the Giants. He has yielded one run in 6.2 innings against them this season and one run in nine innings lifetime.
One Hit a Big One
Neither starting pitcher has much history against their opponent but Padres’ third baseman Manny Machado’s one hit in six at-bats against Fried is a home run. Machado has also walked twice and struck out twice.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Johnson |
|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | .200 |
| Guillermo Heredia | .000 |
| Ehire Adrianza | .000 |
| Orlando Arcia | .000 |
| Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Fried |
| Manny Machado | .167 |
| Eric Hosmer | .000 |
| Wil Myers | .000 |
| Tommy Pham | .000 |
| Adam Frazier | .000 |
| Jake Marisnick | .000 |
Braves’ third baseman Austin Riley has homered in three straight games and is on a nine-game hitting streak, going 13 for 35 (.371) with four doubles, three homers and eight RBIs. Since the All-Star break, Riley is hitting .333 with 18 home runs in 62 games.
AUSTIN RILEY HAMMERS ONE CAN’T TAKE THIS ONE BACK THIS BRAVES LINEUP pic.twitter.com/tEkvsrIrxQ
— Jared Carrabis (@Jared_Carrabis) September 23, 2021
Braves center fielder Adam Duvall is questionable for Friday. He left Thursday’s game with leg fatigue.
Braves vs Padres Pick
The teams split two games from July 20-21 in Atlanta. Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman were both 3 for 7 with a home run in the series.
The Braves won the season series four straight years from 2016-19, beating the Padres 18 times in 27 meetings.
40 home runs for Fernando Tatis Jr. pic.twitter.com/xlH7lO098i
— MLB (@MLB) September 23, 2021
Fried is one of the hottest pitchers in baseball and he is an underdog against a struggling team. That makes for an easy choice.
The Pick: Braves +105
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
