Cardinals vs Brewers Predictions, Props & Betting Splits (May 27)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Brewers are -168 moneyline favorites over the rival Cardinals this afternoon
- Milwaukee enters play with a 19-10 record as favorites this season
- See the Cardinals vs Brewers predictions, props and betting splits for May 27, below
The Brewers (31-20) host the Cardinals (29-23) at American Family Field this afternoon, with first pitch scheduled for 1:40 PM ET. Milwaukee has taken the first two games of this three-game set, and online sportsbooks are siding with them again today in the MLB odds.
The Brewers victory on Tuesday victory was fueled by two home runs, while St. Louis struggled to generate offensive momentum despite a clean defensive effort.
With the Brewers rolling and elite bats like William Contreras and Christian Yelich anchoring the lineup, I’m looking to back Milwaukee in what I predict to be a high-scoring affair.
Keep reading for the Cardinals vs Brewers predictions, props and betting splits for May 27, below.
Cardinals vs Brewers Predictions
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My two favorite wagers today are the Brewers moneyline and Over 8 runs. The most glaring edge in the MLB starting lineups sits directly on the mound. Milwaukee boasts a massive statistical advantage, carrying a collective 3.19 team ERA and a stifling 1.19 WHIP. Conversely, the visiting pitching staff has struggled to find consistency, posting a 4.27 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP.
The visitors are handing the ball to Dustin May, who has been highly vulnerable throughout his 54.0 innings of work. Expect the home lineup—led by Brice Turang and his .877 OPS—to capitalize on May’s frequent baserunner traffic. Over his last 10 games, May yields a concerning 10.00 hits per nine innings, allowing opponents to hit .290 against him.
On the other side of the diamond, Milwaukee will throw a bullpen game. The Brewers pitching staff boasts the third lowest ERA in the Majors and have limited the Cards to just one run over the first two games of this series.
Recent situational trends back my wagers. The Brewers are 19-10 outright as a betting favorite, reflecting a 65.5% win rate. Furthermore, over their last 10 games, they are nearly untouchable when favored, winning 83.3% of those contests. St. Louis has struggled badly as ‘dogs, winning just 33.3% of their games as an underdog over their last 10 matchups.
Cardinals vs Brewers Props
- Dustin May Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-116 at DraftKings)
- Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+126 at DraftKings)
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Moving over to the MLB props market, where I’m betting over 2.5 earned runs for May. He carries a 5.00 ERA and frequently allows early baserunners. This makes him a highly logical fade against a contact-heavy lineup.
Securing plus-money on Jordan Walker, who’s the most dangerous opposing hitter, provides major value on the board. A single swing can comfortably cash this ticket. Walker has only one hit so far this series, but is slashing .313/.372/.635 this month according to the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.
Cardinals vs Brewers Odds
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Cardinals vs Brewers Betting Splits
When diving into the MLB public betting markets for this clash, the action heavily favors the home team. An impressive 84.2% of the money and 85.4% of the betting tickets are backing the Brewers to win outright. This heavy consensus matches my official moneyline prediction, as I project their elite pitching staff to secure a victory over Dustin May.
While the public expects a lower-scoring affair based on run-prevention metrics, I believe May’s elevated ERA makes the Over more appealing. Importantly, there is no clear sharp versus public divide in the over/under maket, as both ticket counts and handle percentages align around 50%.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.