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Dodgers vs Phillies Picks, Predictions & Player Props to Bet on July 9

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 9, 2024 · 8:30 AM PDT

Jul 7, 2024; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Edmundo Sosa (33) hits a single against the Atlanta Braves in the ninth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Philadelphia Phillies (58-32, 33-14 Home) host the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first in a 3-game series Tuesday, July 9 at 6:40 p.m. ET on TBS.
  • This matchup pits 2 of the top 4 records in the league against the other on Tuesday. The Phillies have the best overall record and the best record in the National League while the Dodgers have the 4th best record and the 2nd best total in the National League.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Tuesday’s game below.

One of the best series of the month is here as the Philadelphia Phillies host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Bobby Miller will be on the mound for the Dodgers as the Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler. Tonight’s game is set for first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET.

The 2 top teams in the National League are sort of limping into the station here in terms of injury and recent play, but things are looking up on the Phillies’ side. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are both likely to return tonight after missing the last few weeks each.

The Phillies lost their last series against the Braves while the Dodgers snapped a 2-series losing streak with a win over the Brewers.

Keep scrolling for a prediction, top odds and the best available player prop picks for tonight’s matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

  • PHI vs. LAD pick: Phillies -140

A look at the pitcher vs. batter stats would tell you plainly that the Dodgers have the advantage tonight, but that’s just not the case. I know it’s not exactly breaking news for me to tell you Zack Wheeler may be the better pitcher than Bobby Miller, but Miller has significantly better numbers against the Phillies lineup compared to Wheeler against the Dodgers.

But the numbers don’t tell the whole story. While the Phillies lineup may be batting .231 against Miller, it came in starts last season when he was much, much more effective. Miller’s ERA is hovering north of 6 right now and he’s allowed at least a pair of earned runs and a home run in each of his last 5 starts. And for all that, he’s been worse on the road – 14 IP, 19 hits and 15 earned runs across his 4 road starts this season.

The Phillies and Dodgers are evenly matched as it is, especially from the batters box. If the Phillies can jump on Miller early – and I think they will – they’ll be in good shape to take Game 1.

Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 (-170) +118 O 9 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+143) -140 U 9 (-110)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

The Phillies are respectable favorites for tonight’s matchup in Philadelphia where they already hold the last batter advantage. Philly sits at -140 ML while the Dodgers come in at +118 on Caesars.

The Dodgers, as usual, have the advantage at -170 to win or keep the game within a run while Philadelphia is +143 to win by 2 or more runs.


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The over/under for this matchup has been set at 9 by Caesars, a high total for 2 of the best batting teams in the Majors. We’ve already talked about the Phillies’ advantage against Miller tonight, but the Dodgers are hitting a smooth .343 against Wheeler and will be able to score runs tonight. Despite the over personally seeming like the favorite, the odds are even at -110.

Phillies vs. Dodgers Best Value Player Props (July 9)

Player Props (Los Angeles vs. Philadelphia) Odds
Bobby Miller U 5.5 hits allowed -165
Zack Wheeler U 6.5 Ks -120
Trea Turner O 1.5 Hits +155

All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

I understand this seems hypocritical, but in reality Miller has only allowed above this total once this season. I still think the Phillies will jump on Miller early, but with this being such a high profile matchup I doubt the Dodgers would keep him out there long enough to see 6 hits.

Wheeler’s strikeout numbers have subsided since the start of the year and he’s fresh off a 7-K game against the Cubs. The Dodgers lineup has seen success in the past against Wheeler so I think he’ll be hovering around 4 or 5 Ks by the time he leaves the mound today.

These odds are really high for a guy that has totaled 2 or more hits in 4 of his last 7 and faces a pitcher that he’s performed well against in the past. I like it for that reason alone.

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