Giants vs Dodgers Game 4 Odds, Predictions, and Probable Pitcher
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Dodgers are -142 home favorites over the Giants in NLDS Game 4 on Tuesday night
- The Giants will start Anthony DeSclafani (13-7, 3.17) while the Dodgers are expected to pitch Tony Gonsolin (4-1, 3.23)
- The odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction
The San Francisco Giants will try to close out their National League Division Series when they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 4 at 9:07 pm ET, Tuesday, at Dodger Stadium.
The Giants took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series Monday night with a 1-0 victory at blustery Dodger Stadium. San Francisco (109-56, 54-28 road) has won three of its last five games following an eight-game winning streak.
The Dodgers (108-68, 59-24 home) lost for the just the second time in 11 games.
Game 4 will be televised by TBS.
Giants vs Dodgers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | +120 | +1.5 (-172) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -142 | -1.5 (+142) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
Odds as of October 12th at FanDuel.
While wind isn’t expected to be a factor at Dodger Stadium like Monday night, it will be chilly with the temperature expected to dip to a low of 48 degrees.
Probable Pitchers
Anthony DeSclafani (13-7, 3.17) is expected to start for the Giants while making the first postseason appearance of his career. The Dodgers will go with a bullpen game, though Tony Gonsolin (4-1, 3.23) is likely to be the bulk innings pitcher.
The Dodgers could also go with Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47) on short rest.
DeSclafani vs Gonsolin
| 13-7 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3.17 | ERA | 3.23 |
| 3.92 | xERA | 3.68 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.34 |
| 3.62 | SO/W | 1.91 |
DeSclafani finished the regular season strong by going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in six starts in September/October. He pitched five shutout innings in his last start against the San Diego Padres on Oct. 1, allowing four hits and no walks while striking out three.
The Dodgers have given DeSclafani fits. He is 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA in six starts against them this season and 1-8 with a 5.84 ERA in 12 career starts. At Dodger Stadium, he has a 1-2 record and 3.90 ERA in five outings.
The Giants had a 21-10 record in DeSclafani’s starts during the regular season and he registered 15 quality starts. He is 5-4 with a 5.22 ERA in 17 road starts and 11-4 with a 2.55 ERA in 23 starts in night games.
Gonsolin was limited to 15 appearances, including 13 starts, in the regular season because of shoulder problems.
He went 3-0 with a 3.67 ERA in his last seven games (six starts) and has not lost since July 19 against the Giants. That is his only loss of the season, and he is 0-2 versus San Francisco with a 4.32 ERA in three career games (two starts).
Tony Gonsolin de-bats Pavin Smith. pic.twitter.com/mm0vAytSFU
— Chad Moriyama (@ChadMoriyama) September 25, 2021
Gonsolin is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in eight road games (six starts) and 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 11 night games (10 starts). The Dodgers had a 9-4 record in his starts during the regular season, but Gonsolin did not pitch more than 5.1 innings in any of his outings.
Gonsolin has struggled in the postseason, going 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA in four games (three starts).
Gonsolin and the Longball
No Giants player has more than four plate appearances against Gonsolin. However, Wilmer Flores, Kris Bryant and Buster Posey have all homered off him.
Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers
| Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs DeSclafani | Giants Batters | Batting Average vs Gonsolin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | .500 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 1.000 |
| Matt Beaty | .500 | Alex Dickerson | .500 |
| Corey Seager | .500 | Wilmer Flores | .500 |
| Austin Barnes | .500 | Kris Bryant | .500 |
| AJ Pollock | .389 | Buster Posey | .500 |
| Gavin Lux | .375 | Mike Yastrzemski | .250 |
| Albert Pujols | .333 | Brandon Belt | .000 |
| Trea Turner | .286 | Evan Longoria | .000 |
| Justin Turner | .281 | Brandon Crawford | .000 |
| Chris Taylor | .250 | Steven Duggar | .000 |
| Mookie Betts | .250 | Austin Slater | .000 |
| Cody Bellinger | .083 | Donovan Solano | .000 |
| Billy McKinney | .000 |
Will Smith has been tough on DeSclafani, going 6 for 12 (.500) with a double and two home runs.
Will Smith=Built for October 💪 😤#Dodgers
— Dodgers Nation (@DodgersNation) October 10, 2021
Cody Bellinger is just 1 for 12 with a double and four strikeouts.
Giants second baseman Tommy La Stella is questionable for Game 4 after leaving Monday night’s game with left Achilles tightness.
Giants-Dodgers Pick
The Giants have won 12 of 22 meetings with the Dodgers this season, including the NLDS, and are 7-4 in Los Angeles. That comes after the Dodgers won the season series four years in a row from 2017-20, going 39-28.
In Game 3, Evan Longoria’s home run off Dodgers ace Max Scherzer in the fifth inning stood up as the game’s lone run. Alex Wood, Tyler Rogers, Jake McGee and Camilo Doval combined on a five-hit shutout.
Long gone Longo pic.twitter.com/skV0CcWqPb
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) October 12, 2021
The Giants have the momentum, but it is difficult to ignore DeSclafani’s awful track record against the Dodgers. Look for Los Angeles to find a way to win this game and send the series back to San Francisco for a decisive Game 5 on Thursday.
The Pick: Dodgers moneyline (-142)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
