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LA Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Oct 30)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Published:


New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole on the mound against the Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 25, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) reacts in the first inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers during game one of the 2024 MLB World Series at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
  • The Yankees try to stave off elimination for the second straight day in Game 5 on Wednesday against the Dodgers
  • Ace Gerrit Cole is back on the mound for NYY against Jack Flaherty for LAD
  • See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and player props to target for Game 5

A massive offensive outpouring salvaged the season for the Pinstripes last night in an 11-4 victory. But, still trailing 3-1 in the 2024 World Series, it will all be for naught if the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) can’t earn another win over the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) on Wednesday at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET). The pitching matchup for Game 5 is the same as Game 1 – LAD’s Jack Flaherty vs NYY’s Gerrit Cole – and New York is a -155 moneyline favorite to claw another game back.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Odds

Teams Moneyline Runline Total
LA Dodgers +130 +1.5 (-160) O 8.5 (+100)
NY Yankees -155 -1.5 (+135) U 8.5 (-120)

LA comes back as a +130 underdog in Wednesday’s MLB odds. The game total is sitting at 8.5 runs with the under slightly favored at -120.

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The Yankees overcame an two-run deficit on Tuesday night, courtesy of a record-setting two-run home run LAD’s Freddie Freeman, who has now gone deep in six straight World Series games. (Freeman is priced at +475 to hit another home run in Game 5.)

Despite the Game 4 setback, the Dodgers remain -925 favorites to win the title in the 2024 World Series odds with the Yankees at +625.

LAD vs NYY Game 5 Starting Pitchers

Jack Flaherty vs Gerrit Cole
20.2 Playoff IP 22.1
6.10 ERA 2.82
1.35 WHIP 1.30
15.7% K% 17.0%

Both Game 5 starters were solid in Game 1. Jack Flaherty went 5.2 innings, allowing two runs on five hits and a walk with six strikeouts. He actually pitched 5.2 scoreless innings before a two-run home from Giancarlo Stanton in the sixth innings, which was his last batter of the night.

Gerrit Cole was even better, allowing just one run on four hits over 6.0 IP. The main concern was his lack of swing-and-miss stuff. He recorded just four Ks for the fourth straight time in the postseason and his K% has dropped off from 25.4% in the regular season to just 17.0% in the playoffs.

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 Predictions

In last night’s bullpen game, the Dodger relievers uncharacteristically imploded. But manager Dave Roberts was careful not to burn too many arms, using just four relief pitchers over eight innings, and not many of his top arms. None of Anthony Banda, Michael Kopech, Blake Treinen, Alex Vesia, or Ryan Brasier pitched on Tuesday.

In other words, the LAD bullpen is actually in good shape, relatively speaking, for the day after a bullpen game.  The Yankees somehow used more relievers (five) despite getting 4.0 innings out of starter Luis Gil. That came one day after using seven relievers in Monday’s 4-2 setback.

That means NYY manager Aaron Boone will be wanting some serious length out of Gerrit Cole in Game 5.

While no one in their right mind would choose Jack Flaherty over Gerrit Cole as their starter, Cole isn’t the same dominant pitcher he was last season. Even in his injury-shortened regular season, his ERA ballooned from 2.63 in 2023 to 3.41 in 2024. His K%, which was over 30% from 2018 to 2022, dropped to 25.4%.

In essence, Cole gives the Yankees an edge over Flaherty on the mound, but it’s not huge, and if/when this game is turned over to the pens, the Dodgers actually seem to be in better shape.

LAD vs NYY Game 5 picks:

  • Dodgers moneyline (+130) at ESPN Bet
  • Under 8.5 runs (-118) at DraftKings
  • Cole under 4.5 strikeouts (+125) at ESPN Bet
Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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