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Mariners vs Phillies Odds, Predictions & Starting Pitchers (April 27)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 26, 2023 · 9:05 PM PDT

Phillies players celebrating a home run
Apr 26, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos (8) is congratulated by second baseman Bryson Stott (5) after hitting a two RBI home run during the first inning against the Seattle Mariners at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies are -115 home favorites over the Mariners on Thursday
  • George Kirby (2-1, 3.57) will start for the Mariners against Phillies lefty Matt Strahm (1-2, 3.00)
  • A look at the Mariners vs Phillies matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The rubber game of the three-game series between the visiting Seattle Mariners and Philadelphia is set for 1:05 p.m. ET Thursday at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies (12-13, 7-5 home) beat the Mariners 6-5 on Wednesday night for their fourth win in the last five games. The Mariners (11-13, 4-4 road) had won three of their previous four games.

The game will be streamed on ESPN+.

Mariners vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners -105 +1.5 (-195) Over 8.5 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies -115 -1.5 (+162) Under 8.5 (-105)

The Phillies are -115 favorites on the moneyline over the Mariners on Wednesday in the MLB odds, giving them a 53.49% implied win probability. Both teams have +2500 World Series championship odds.

The weather forecast is calling for partly sunny skies, a high of 65 and northeast wind at 5 mph.



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Mariners vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

George Kirby (2-1, 3.57) will pitch for the Mariners against left-hander Matt Strahm (1-2, 3.00). Kirby will be working on five days of rest and Strahm on six.

Kirby vs Strahm

George Kirby
Matt Strahm
2-1 Record 1-2
3.57 ERA 3.00
4.26 xERA 2.99
1.06 WHIP 0.94
17.00 SO/W 3.86

Kirby had a fine performance in his previous outing last Friday when he beat the Cardinals in Seattle. Kirby allowed two runs on three hits in six innings with five strikeouts and no walks.

This will be Kirby’s first career appearance against the Phillies. He has +6500 AL Cy Young Award odds.

Kirby had a no-decision in his lone road start this season on April 9 when the Cleveland Guardians scored only one run off him in six innings. That was also Kirby’s only start during the day. The Mariners have split his four starts overall.

Strahm struck out 11 in 5.1 innings his last time out but lost to the Colorado Rockies last Thursday at home. He gave up three runs, three hits and two walks.

Strahm will be making his sixth career appearance against the Mariners but first start. He has no record and a 2.08 ERA.

Strahm is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two starts at Citizens Bank Park and 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two games (one start) in day games. The Phillies are 2-2 when Strahm starts in 2023.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Matt Strahm
Cal Raleigh 1.000
Eugenio Suarez .333
AJ Pollock .250
Kolten Wong .000
Teoscar Hernandez .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs George Kirby
Brandon Marsh .000
Kody Clemens .000
Cristian Pache .000

Mariners third baseman Eugenio Suarez is 2 for 6 with a home run against Strahm. Just three Phillies have faced Kirby — Brandon Marsh, Kody Clemens and Cristian Pache – and they are a combined 0 for 7.

Mariners vs Phillies Betting Trends

Alec Bohm hit a go-ahead single to push the Phillies over the Mariners on Wednesday night.

Nick Castellanos had three hits and three RBIs for the Phillies and homered. Bryson Stott and J.T. Realmuto added two hits apiece.

The Mariners’ J.P. Crawford hit a grand slam and Julio Rodriguez, whose AL MVP odds are +3500, added a solo shot. Crawford finished with three hits and Suarez had two to run his on-base streak to a career-best 21 games.

Mariners vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
4/26/23 Phillies Mariners PHI, 6-5
4/25/23 Phillies Mariners SEA, 5-3
5/11/22 Mariners Phillies PHI, 4-2
5/10/22 Mariners Phillies SEA, 5-4
5/9/22 Mariners Phillies PHI, 9-0
6/28/17 Mariners Phillies PHI, 5-4
6/27/17 Mariners Phillies PHI, 8-2
5/10/17 Phillies Mariners SEA, 11-6
5/9/17 Phillies Mariners SEA, 10-9
8/20/14 Phillies Mariners PHI, 4-3

The teams have split 18 games since 2005.

Mariners vs Phillies Prediction

Kirby is following up his strong rookie year with another good season and will keep the defending National League champion Phillies from reaching .500 for the first time this season.

Pick: Mariners moneyline (-105)

Season Record: 12-4 (+6.1 units) ML; 1-2 (-1.0 units) RL; 1-0 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 13-6 (+6.1 units) overall


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