Mariners vs Phillies Odds, Predictions & Starting Pitchers (April 27)
- The Phillies are -115 home favorites over the Mariners on Thursday
- George Kirby (2-1, 3.57) will start for the Mariners against Phillies lefty Matt Strahm (1-2, 3.00)
- A look at the Mariners vs Phillies matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
The rubber game of the three-game series between the visiting Seattle Mariners and Philadelphia is set for 1:05 p.m. ET Thursday at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies (12-13, 7-5 home) beat the Mariners 6-5 on Wednesday night for their fourth win in the last five games. The Mariners (11-13, 4-4 road) had won three of their previous four games.
The game will be streamed on ESPN+.
Mariners vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | -105 | +1.5 (-195) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -115 | -1.5 (+162) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
The Phillies are -115 favorites on the moneyline over the Mariners on Wednesday in the MLB odds, giving them a 53.49% implied win probability. Both teams have +2500 World Series championship odds.
The weather forecast is calling for partly sunny skies, a high of 65 and northeast wind at 5 mph.
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Mariners vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
George Kirby (2-1, 3.57) will pitch for the Mariners against left-hander Matt Strahm (1-2, 3.00). Kirby will be working on five days of rest and Strahm on six.
Kirby vs Strahm
| 2-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 3.57 | ERA | 3.00 |
| 4.26 | xERA | 2.99 |
| 1.06 | WHIP | 0.94 |
| 17.00 | SO/W | 3.86 |
Kirby had a fine performance in his previous outing last Friday when he beat the Cardinals in Seattle. Kirby allowed two runs on three hits in six innings with five strikeouts and no walks.
This will be Kirby’s first career appearance against the Phillies. He has +6500 AL Cy Young Award odds.
Kirby had a no-decision in his lone road start this season on April 9 when the Cleveland Guardians scored only one run off him in six innings. That was also Kirby’s only start during the day. The Mariners have split his four starts overall.
George Kirby, 94mph Sinker and 85mph Slider, Overlay pic.twitter.com/dM7EiQNSmr
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 22, 2023
Strahm struck out 11 in 5.1 innings his last time out but lost to the Colorado Rockies last Thursday at home. He gave up three runs, three hits and two walks.
Strahm will be making his sixth career appearance against the Mariners but first start. He has no record and a 2.08 ERA.
Strahm is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two starts at Citizens Bank Park and 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two games (one start) in day games. The Phillies are 2-2 when Strahm starts in 2023.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Matt Strahm |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | 1.000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | .333 |
| AJ Pollock | .250 |
| Kolten Wong | .000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | .000 |
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs George Kirby |
| Brandon Marsh | .000 |
| Kody Clemens | .000 |
| Cristian Pache | .000 |
Mariners third baseman Eugenio Suarez is 2 for 6 with a home run against Strahm. Just three Phillies have faced Kirby — Brandon Marsh, Kody Clemens and Cristian Pache – and they are a combined 0 for 7.
Mariners vs Phillies Betting Trends
Alec Bohm hit a go-ahead single to push the Phillies over the Mariners on Wednesday night.
Nick Castellanos had three hits and three RBIs for the Phillies and homered. Bryson Stott and J.T. Realmuto added two hits apiece.
WE UP pic.twitter.com/Y4Uyq13nUO
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 27, 2023
The Mariners’ J.P. Crawford hit a grand slam and Julio Rodriguez, whose AL MVP odds are +3500, added a solo shot. Crawford finished with three hits and Suarez had two to run his on-base streak to a career-best 21 games.
Mariners vs Phillies Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/26/23 | Phillies | Mariners | PHI, 6-5 |
| 4/25/23 | Phillies | Mariners | SEA, 5-3 |
| 5/11/22 | Mariners | Phillies | PHI, 4-2 |
| 5/10/22 | Mariners | Phillies | SEA, 5-4 |
| 5/9/22 | Mariners | Phillies | PHI, 9-0 |
| 6/28/17 | Mariners | Phillies | PHI, 5-4 |
| 6/27/17 | Mariners | Phillies | PHI, 8-2 |
| 5/10/17 | Phillies | Mariners | SEA, 11-6 |
| 5/9/17 | Phillies | Mariners | SEA, 10-9 |
| 8/20/14 | Phillies | Mariners | PHI, 4-3 |
The teams have split 18 games since 2005.
Mariners vs Phillies Prediction
Kirby is following up his strong rookie year with another good season and will keep the defending National League champion Phillies from reaching .500 for the first time this season.
Pick: Mariners moneyline (-105)
Season Record: 12-4 (+6.1 units) ML; 1-2 (-1.0 units) RL; 1-0 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 13-6 (+6.1 units) overall
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
