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Phillies vs Padres NLCS Series Predictions, Odds & Schedule

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 16, 2022 · 3:48 AM PDT

Manny Machado hugging Brandon Drury
Aug 29, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado (13) puts his arm around first baseman Brandon Drury (17) after a win against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies will face the Padres in the NLCS starting on Tuesday
  • Both teams advanced on Saturday in a remarkable day of baseball, knocking out the Braves and Dodgers, respectively
  • Who is the best bet to move on to the Fall Classic? Read on for the odds, preview, and Phillies vs Padres series prediction

Following one of the most exciting days of the MLB postseason so far on Saturday, we now know exactly who will face off in the Championship Series. The Philadelphia Phillies, who eliminated the defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves in the Division Series, will take on the San Diego Padres, who slayed the dragon up the highway in the Los Angeles Dodgers. Game 1 is scheduled for Tuesday. Continue reading for the Phillies vs Padres series prediction.

Phillies vs Padres Series Odds

Team Odds
Philadelphia Phillies +105
San Diego Padres -125

Odds as of October 15th at Caesars. Get this Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

The Padres come into this series as a -125 favorite, with an implied win probability of 55.5%. The Phils meanwhile, sits as a +105 underdog, which gives them a 48.7% chance of advancing to the World Series.

 

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Philadelphia vs San Diego H2H Results

The Padres and Phillies met seven times in the regular season, with Philadelphia holding the slight edge at 4-3, including three wins in their last four against San Diego.

Phillies vs Padres NLCS Schedule

Date Game TV
Tuesday, October 18th Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres FS1
Wednesday, October 19th Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres FS1
Friday, October 21st San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies FS1
Saturday, October 22nd San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies FS1
Sunday, October 23rd San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies (IF NECESSARY) FS1
Monday, October 24th Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres (IF NECESSARY) FS1
Tuesday, October 25th Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres (IF NECESSARY) FS1

Philadelphia vs San Diego Team Stats

The Phillies barely even made the playoffs, clinching as a sixth seed in the NL. Yet, they’ve now taken out the Cardinals and Braves. Absolutely no one could’ve predicted Philadelphia would beat the reigning champions but it happened in epic fashion. The best part? It was in front of their home fans, who waited over a decade for postseason baseball at Citizens Bank Park again. The Phils absolutely raked in the NLDS, hitting .271 as a group. But, no one was as clutch as Bryce Harper, who shined on the big stage.

The veteran hit .500 (7 for 14), slugging two homers and also raking three doubles. Harper couldn’t be stopped, coming up with big hit after big hit. He also had five RBI. Nick Castellanos proved why the Phils brought him in last winter as well, slashing .313 with numerous timely moments at the dish. On the bump, the likes of Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, Ranger Suarez, and Noah Syndergaard all gave their team a chance in essentially every game.

The staff as a whole owns a 2.55 ERA in the playoffs, with the bullpen holding it down in the late innings, too. This Philadelphia squad is riding a high right now and after beating two very good teams, they’ll be brimming with confidence. Wheeler will likely be the Game 1 starter in the NLCS.

San Diego truly pulled off the unthinkable, sending home the Dodgers, a team who dominated them all season long and has done so for years. The Padres had to dig deep in Game 4 at Petco Park, putting up five runs in the bottom of the seventh inning to ultimately win 5-3. Bob Melvin’s group only batted .239 as a lineup in the NLDS, but there were countless hits that were pivotal.

In fact, they scored just 15 runs in the four games, making every single hit count. Trent Grisham was one of the leading catalysts, hitting .303 in the NLDS and .381 overall in the playoffs to this point.

On the mound, the entire staff was phenomenal against a very good LA offense, surrendering just 11 earned in four games, and pitching to a 2.83 ERA. Josh Hader is also finding his groove again, which is a scary sight for the Phillies. San Diego’s World Series odds are the second-shortest of any club left at +325, behind only the Astros.

Phillies vs Padres Series Prediction

In a seven-game series, it comes down to pitching depth. Both teams have it, but in my opinion, the Padres hold the edge with go-to guys like Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, and Blake Snell. Plus, all three are experienced at this stage. I expect this to be a long series with a lot of good pitching. In the end, though, San Diego will advance past the Phillies.

Pick: Padres -125

 

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